Transcript Presentation_Thomas,Masha,Katya

Finding a job after unemployment:
key factors in Russia and Germany
Gladnikova Ekaterina (HSE, Moscow)
Ketzmerick Thomas (ZSH, Halle)
Malkova Maria (HSE, Moscow)
Problem
Scientific problem
 Comparison of two countries by the same methodology
=> finding universal and specific factors
Practical problem
 High level of unemployment – problem of both countries
 Long term unemployment => social exclusion
 The need to reveal contributing factors of finding a job
after unemployment (especially long term)

Recommendations to social policy
Transitions from
unemployment to employment
t
has a job
has no job
had a
job
regular employees
short-term
unemployed at
the moment
had no
job
successful employees at
the moment that had
experience of
unemployment in the
past
long-term
unemployed
t-1
Object and Subject

The object of the investigation is divided into
two groups
1) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who
moved from unemployment into a job
2) Russians and Germans at the age of 20-60 who
were and stay unemployed

The subject is factors influencing the
probability of finding a job after unemployment
The Aim and Tasks
The aim: to find out factors influencing the probability of
finding a job after unemployment in Russia and Germany.
To achieve the aim it is necessary to set the following tasks:

To describe who are the unemployed (particularly longterm) in Russia and Germany?

To reveal factors that have a negative / positive impact
on finding a job after unemployment in each country.

To find and to explain differences and similarities
between countries.
Methodology


1st task
methods of descriptive
statistics (frequencies and
crosstabulations, methods of comparing
means etc.)
2nd task
regressional analysis: binary
logistic regression
Database and Variables


Russian Longitude Monitoring Survey, RLMS (Russia), 2001-2007
German Socio-Economic Panel, GSOEP (Germany), 2001-2007
Variables
Dependent:

Successfulness in a job finding after unemployment (two groups
who are succeed and are not)
Independent (in t-1 period):

wave (year)

socio-economical and demographic characteristics of employees
(sex, region, family structure, education etc.)

ways of job searching

duration of unemployment or economic inactivity

expectations about future job etc.
Hypothesis

Positive factors of finding a job:








Duration of unemployment (short term),
Education (higher),
Sex (male),
Age (30-40),
Type of area (urban),
Region (West Germany, Moscow, St. Petersburg),
Family structure (partnership, no children at the
age of 0-3 years),
Year (2006 in Germany and 2003-2006 in Russia)
etc.
Thanks for your attention!