Transcript Odds - KPRDSB

• Odds are another common way to
express a level of confidence about
an outcome.
• Very similar to probabilities
• More common in sports
• In probability theory and statistics the odds
in favour of an event or a proposition are the
quantity p / (1 − p), where p is the probability
of the event or proposition.
• For example, if you chose a random day of
the week, then the odds that you would
choose a Sunday would be 1 to 6.
• The probability in favour of choosing a
Sunday would be 1/7.
• The odds against you choosing Sunday are
6 to1.
Stanley
•
•
•
•
1. Detroit Red Wings -- 3-1
The Red Wings rightfully have drawn considerable praise for masterful work
in making the transition from relative free-spending to the cap age, but it will
take another Stanley Cup to completely validate all of that. The only reason
the Wings' odds aren't shorter is that goalie Dominik Hasek will have to
prove he can hold up physically through the two-month run. For all the
Wings' strength as a puck-moving, puck-control team playing keep-away,
does anyone think they can win a second time with Chris Osgood in the
crease?
2. Anaheim Ducks -- 6-1
The defending champs face serious roadblocks in the West again -- and not
just the Red Wings. But with Scott Niedermayer and Teemu Selanne back
from their sabbaticals, and Ryan Getzlaf and Corey Perry coming even
more into their own, and Jean-Sebastien Giguere proven as a money
goalie, they're big-time threats to repeat unless Chris Pronger has too many
postseason cases of team-hurting brain lock or Todd Bertuzzi's bad karma
tips the balance.
3. San Jose Sharks -- 8-1
The Sharks are the hottest team in the league, and the addition of Brian
Campbell at the deadline added a dimension that nudged them to another
level. It would help if Patrick Marleau, who got going in the second half,
cranks it up even more in the postseason.
4. Pittsburgh Penguins -- 9-1
It might be a case of beat 'em this season or maybe forget about it for at
least a couple of years. The cap era makes it tough to even get a dynasty
debate started, much less maintain a dynasty, and this roster is going to be
difficult to hold together as it matures. But Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin,
Sergei Gonchar & Co. are the favorites to come out of the East.
• 13. Ottawa Senators -- 50-1
The defending Eastern Conference champions pulled off one of
the biggest collapses in recent memory, and I suppose you
could argue that if they awaken and knock off the Penguins,
that will mean they've snapped out of it and their 2007
experience will come into play. But Daniel Alfredsson's and
Mike Fisher's knee injuries are the last straws in a bizarre
season.
• 14. Boston Bruins -- 60-1
The banged-up Bruins did a good job under coach Claude
Julien just to get here, but it won't last long.
• 15. Washington Capitals -- 100-1
It's a great story for the league with Alexander Ovechkin taking
his refreshing act -- so much talent with showmanship that
hasn't (yet) gone over the top -- into the postseason, but it won't
last long.
• 16. Nashville Predators -- 150-1
Given the offseason mess, it's amazing the Predators made the
playoffs -- and just being competitive against the Red Wings
would add to the accomplishment.
A sock drawer contains three red,
five white, and four black socks.
Event A: picking a red sock
P(A) = 3 / 12
= 1/4
A sock drawer contains three red,
five white, and four black socks.
Event A: picking a red sock
Odds in favour of A
3 to 9 or
1 to 3
If the odds in favour of event A are “h to k”, then
P(A) = h
h+k
• Pg 318
• 1-5, 9,12