CwU 2004 - Johns Hopkins University

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Transcript CwU 2004 - Johns Hopkins University

The need for linking micromechanics of materials
with stochastic finite elements:
a challenge for materials science
Dimos C. Charmpis and Gerhart I. Schuëller
Institute of Engineering Mechanics
Leopold-Franzens University
Innsbruck, Austria, EU
Probability & Materials: From Nano- to Macro-Scale
Johns Hopkins University Homewood Campus, Baltimore, MD, USA
January 5-7, 2005
1
Outline of the presentation

Scope

Modeling of material uncertainties in structural mechanics

Random fields

Stochastic finite element analysis

The need for micromechanically derived information

Options and assumptions for random fields
(using numerical example)

Conclusions
2
Spectrum of uncertainties
Mechanical
Model
Physical
Entire Spectrum
3
Evolution of Structural Analysis
pn
Deterministic
Structural
Analysis
p1
rn
p2
r1
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Non-deterministic
Structural
Analysis
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r2
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p2
r1
r2
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Modeling of material uncertainties in structural mechanics
Quantification of Randomness
Random Variables
Random Fields
(stochastic analysis)
f(x1 ,x2 )
x2
x1
FX1 X 2 ( x1 , x2 ) 
x1 x2
  f x , x  dx dx
1

2
1
2
Autocorrelation Function:
CHH x, y   CHH x   , y   
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Random fields (1)

Each uncertain variable is represented by a stochastic field
Variation of uncertain property P:
P0: mean value of the uncertain property P
f (x): 1D-1V zero-mean stochastic field
Px   P0 1  f ( x)
f (x,y): 2D-1V zero-mean stochastic field
Px, y   P0 1  f ( x, y)
1D
2D
Sample functions (1D):
Karhunen-Loeve Expansion
f x   f
( 0)
m
x     j f ( j ) x 
j 1
Spectral Representation Method
N 1
f x   2 [ Αn cos( n x  n )]
…
n 0
6
Random fields (2)
Modeling the spatial variation of material properties
240
1D
2D
230
E (GPa)
220
210
200
190
180
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
x (m)
Autocorrelation function:
According to this function correlation decays as the distance of the
locations of two random field variables increases
Correlation length b:
Distance between two stochastic field locations, over which correlation
7
approaches zero
Random fields (3)
explicit discretization of random fields into random variables
230
continuous sample
E (GPa)
220
discretized sample
210
200
190
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
x (m)
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Stochastic finite element analysis
E x   E0 1  f ( x)
e.g. stochastic modulus of elasticity
Stochastic elemental stiffness matrix:
k
e 

B
e 
e T
e  e 
e 
D0 B d 
B
e 
e T
D0e  B e  f e   x d e 
k e  k0e  k e
D0: mean value of constitutive matrix D
B: strain-displacement matrix
ne
Stochastic global stiffness matrix:
K   k e   K0  K
e 1
Linear static stochastic system of equations:
K0  K u  f
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The need for micromechanically derived information (1)
Research efforts in SFEM:

Intense from the mathematical/numerical point of view
 sophisticated SFEM approaches developed

Very little space left for progress in collecting and studying
measured data for spatial variation characteristics
Consequences:

Data are even today very scarce

Assumptions made for qualitative and quantitative random field
characteristics

Criticism on the correctness and usefulness of SFEM results
Implicit circumvention of this situation:

Parametric studies examining several options for the stochastic
parameters

Bounds on the response variability of structural quantities
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The need for micromechanically derived information (2)
A promising approach:
Probabilistic information for macroscopic properties
from micromechanical material characteristics

Acquire data on the micromechanical characteristics of various
material types

Detect basic rules connecting the random micro- and macroscales

Determine the particular material and microstructure types
available each time  obtain macroscopic stochastic information
with only few and inexpensive measurements
Therefore:

Systematic effort to establish a formal and complete link between
microstructural material models and stochastic material properties
at the macroscale

The contribution of materials scientists in this effort is crucial
11
Options and assumptions for random fields
representing stochastic material properties
Issues affecting the type, the shape and the number of random fields
involved in a SFEM application:

statistical homogeneity and isotropy

probability distribution functions and corresponding parameter
values (mean, variance or coefficient of variation)

autocorrelation function

correlation length

stochastic modeling of one or multiple material properties

cross-correlations between different stochastic material
properties

cross-correlations of the same material property at different
structural components
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Numerical test example:
Stochastic FE analysis of wing-shaped structure
A
4.0m
2.0m
y
x
16.0m

94 triangular shell elements

Variable thickness (19cm  4cm)

Subjected to static & turbulence loads

Direct MCS (nsim=100,000),
COSSAN software

Calculation of exceedance
probabilities P(wA>wA,cr)

Independent
stochastic material
properties:
Ex, y   E0 1  f E ( x, y)
vx, y   v0 1  f v ( x, y)
E0=2.06∙1011N/m2, v0=0.3
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The effect of probability distribution functions (1)
1.E+00
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
Lognormal
Normal
1.E-01
Uniform
Exponential
Rayleigh
1.E-02
Large_I
Small_I
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
E is a random field with μ=E0, σ=10%, exponential autocorrelation and b=10m
14
The effect of probability distribution functions (2)
1.E+00
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
Lognormal
Normal
1.E-01
Uniform
Exponential
Rayleigh
1.E-02
Large_I
Small_I
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
E is a random field with μ=E0, σ=10%, exponential autocorrelation and b=1m
15
The effect of probability distribution functions (3)

Choice of probability distribution  significant effect

The effect becomes more pronounced for large correlation length
values

The effect tends to diminish (until it even practically disappears)
for smaller correlation length values
Generally:

No experimental data  arbitrary selections are typically made

Usually Gaussian (normal) random fields,
other distribution functions utilized more rarely (e.g. lognormal)

Insignificant effect on the first two statistical moments (mean,
variance) of a structural response quantity,
but strong influence on tails of a response distribution (e.g.
exceedance probabilities or probabilities of failure/reliability)
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The effect of random field mean μ
1.E+00
μ=(1-20%)Εο
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
μ=(1-15%)Εο
μ=(1-10%)Εο
1.E-01
μ=(1-5%)Εο
μ=Εο
μ=(1+5%)Εο
1.E-02
μ=(1+10%)Εο
μ=(1+15%)Εο
μ=(1+20%)Εο
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
E is a lognormally distributed random field with σ=10%, exponential autocorrelation
and b=10m
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The effect of random field coefficient of variation σ
1.E+00
b=1.0m, σ=5%
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
b=1.0m, σ=10%
b=1.0m, σ=15%
1.E-01
b=1.0m, σ=20%
b=10.0m, σ=5%
b=10.0m, σ=10%
1.E-02
b=10.0m, σ=15%
b=10.0m, σ=20%
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
E is a lognormally distributed random field with μ=E0, exponential autocorrelation and
b=1m, b=10m
18
The effect of random field mean μ and coefficient of
variation σ

Choice of μ, σ  significant effect

The effect is stronger for large correlation length values

The effect diminishes for smaller correlation length values
Generally:

Values of μ, σ are typically assumed

σ often involved in parametric SFEM studies

Common values used for σ are in the order of 10%
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The effect of correlation lengths b (1)
1.E+00
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
b=0.5m
b=1.0m
1.E-01
b=5.0m
b=10.0m
1.E-02
b=20.0m
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
E is a lognormally distributed random field with μ=E0, σ=10% and exponential
autocorrelation
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The effect of correlation lengths b (2)

Choice of correlation length  decisive effect

Influence on simulation results and

Effect on the behavior of other random field properties
Generally:

Most often involved in parametric SFEM studies

The number of random variables required to adequately represent
a field is practically a function of the correlation length

Directly affects the computing effort needed to generate random
field samples during SFEM simulations
21
The effect of autocorrelation function types (1)
1.E+00
b=1.0m, exponential autocorrelation
1.E-01
b=1.0m, convex autocorrelation
b=10.0m, exponential autocorrelation
b=10.0m, triangular autocorrelation
b=10.0m, convex autocorrelation
1.E-02
1
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
autocorrelation function value
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
b=1.0m, triangular autocorrelation
0.9
exponential autocorrelation
0.8
triangular autocorrelation
0.7
convex autocorrelation
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.3
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.2
0.1
0
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.8
2
dimensionless distance
E is a lognormally distributed random field with μ=E0, σ=10% and b=1m, b=10m
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The effect of autocorrelation function types (2)



Exponential autocorrelation R ff σ ff2 exp  d  d  x 2  y 2  z 2


 bf 

Triangular autocorrelation

Convex autocorrelation
R ff

σ ff2


0

 d
d
 exp 
 2  2m
 bf
bf


R ff
 2
σ
  ff
0


1  m d

bf


 b 
 if d  0, f 

 m

else


 if 2  2m d  exp  d

 bf
bf


else

0


m

Choice of autocorrelation function  insignificant effect

Preference shown in exponential autocorrelation (physically
reasonable)

No complete experimental validation for any function
e 1
e
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The effect of multiple stochastic material properties (1)
1.E+00
Exceedance probability P(w A>wA,cr)
b=1.0m, σ(Ε)=10%, σ(ν)=0
b=1.0m, σ(Ε)=10%, σ(ν)=10%
1.E-01
b=10.0m, σ(Ε)=10%, σ(ν)=0
b=10.0m, σ(Ε)=10%, σ(ν)=10%
1.E-02
1.E-03
1.E-04
0.25
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.45
0.50
0.55
0.60
0.65
0.70
0.75
0.80
0.85
0.90
Critical displacement wA,cr (m)
E and v are lognormally distributed random fields with exponential autocorrelation
and b=1m, b=10m (for E: μ=E0, σ=10% – for v: μ=v0, σ=0 or σ=10%)
24
The effect of multiple stochastic material properties (2)

Stochastic modeling of E and v  negligible effect compared to
E-only stochastic variation

This may not be the case with other stochastic material properties
(e.g. E & ρ)
Generally:

Typically only one stochastic material property assumed (E)

The same physical reasoning leading to the assumption that a
particular material property varies randomly in space is very likely
to apply also to other material properties of the same structure
 multiple stochastic material properties
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Other random field properties
Statistical homogeneity and isotropy

Random fields usually assumed to be homogeneous, isotropic

Homogeneous field: distributional and autocorrelation
characteristics are invariant under translations in the spatial
domain

Isotropic field: distributional and autocorrelation characteristics
are invariant under rotations in the spatial domain
Cross-correlations between different stochastic material properties

Typically ignored, although they may have significant effect
Cross-correlations of the same material property at different
structural components

Typically ignored
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Conclusions (1)
Effect of random field assumptions based on numerical investigation:

Decisive:
correlation length

Significant:
probability distribution functions and related parameters (μ, σ)

Insignificant:
autocorrelation function types
simultaneous stochastic E & v
Effect of random field assumptions based on engineering reasoning:

Significant:
statistical homogeneity and isotropy
27
Conclusions (2)

The need for experimental data to realistically quantify material
randomness is evident

This work identifies the most critical of the random field properties
needing closer and more urgent attention

The contribution of materials scientists in this effort is crucial

A challenge for material scientists:
they can make a valuable contribution in the understanding of
unexplored issues affecting the application of sophisticated
stochastic formulations that are being developed for decades
28