Transcript Topic Lecture - Military Presence 2010

The United States federal government
should substantially reduce its military
and/or police presence in one or more of
the following: South Korea, Japan,
Afghanistan, Kuwait, Iraq, Turkey.
List(en)
Focused Research
Predictable
Intent
Why foreign presence?
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Military Presence
Troops
Bases
Weapons
Military Presence
Bases are the literal and symbolic anchors, and the most visible
centerpieces, of the U.S. military presence overseas. (1)
Bases are the literal and symbolic anchors, and the most visible
centerpieces, of the U.S. military presence overseas. The level of American
involvement in an area in which an opportunity takes place is perhaps the
most visible demonstration of US commitment. US military involvement as
defined includes: (1) an established American military presence, defined as a
U.S. military base, (2) the furnishing of military aid to some state or
organization, or (3) a prior use of force. Such investment represents
American interest and obligation to allies, enemies, and neutral parties alike.
(2)
Can the Affirmative Plan Reduce the
Troop Presence with Actions Short of
Withdrawal? (Smaller bases/footprint
or rotational commitments)
Can the Affirmative Reduce Commitments that
Establish “Virtual” Presence?
Are Temporary Visits Sufficient to
Constitute “Military Presence”?
Can the Affirmative Reduce Private
Military Contractors?
Must the Affirmative Plan Involve the
Abrogation or Renegotiation of a
Formal Agreement?
Does “Sea-Basing” Constitute Military
Presence?
Iraq
Tons of Troops
PMCs - Private Military Contractors
Deadline Exists (Pace)
Withdraw v. Withdrawal
Iraq
1. Relations
a. US-Iraq
b. Middle East
3. Domestic Politics
4. STABILITY
2. Modeling
a. Democracy
b. Credibility
c. Terrorism
Kuwait
Important Because of Oil
(Cause of First Gulf War)
Smallest Country (and part of topic)
Stationing for other Operations
Does have Missile Defense
Weapon of the Week
South Korea
28,000 US Troops
Very Political / Symbolic
"Deter hostile acts of external aggression
against the Republic of Korea by a
combined military effort of the United
States of America and the ROK; and in
the event deterrence fails, defeat an
external armed attack against the ROK."
South Korea
1. Straight Reduction of Troops
a. Great Solvency Advocates
2. Critical Reductions
b. Big Advantages
a. Prostitution
i. North Korea
b. Cultural Destruction
ii. Relations
iii. Modernization
iv. Korean War... Inevitable?
3. Korean Soft Power
a. “Middle Power”
Afghanistan
70,000 US Troops
+ 30,000 (Surge)
+40,000 NATO Forces
Current Withdrawal Deadline:
July 2011
Afghanistan
1. Pure Withdrawal - We Can’t Win
a. It Hurts Hegemony and Legitimacy
b. Emboldens Enemies
c. Overstretch
2. Withdrawal Inevitable - Just a question of meeting
the deadline.
3. Drug Enforcement
Turkey
3,000 US Troops
Only Country With Nukes
Only NATO Country
Turkey
1. Hegemony
a. Probably Bad
2. Islam / Middle East Relations
a. Democratic Modeling
b. Terrorism
3. Remove Tactical Nuclear
Weapons (TNWs)
a. Proliferation
b. Iran
Japan
WWII and
The Constitution
Hatyama and Party Politics
“Commitment to Defend”
Okinawa
40,000 Troops
2014 Guam Agreement
(Gradual v. Immediate)
Japan
i. North Korea
ii. Relations
iii. Modernization
iv. Environment