Transcript EARTHQUAKE MECHANICS AND GEOTECHICAL EFFECTS: …

OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH
EARTHQUAKES IN THE NEW
MADRID SEISMIC ZONE
WALTER HAYS
GLOBAL INSTITUTE FOR ENERGY AND
ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS
UNIVERSITY OF NORTH CAROLINA AT
CHARLOTTE
CENTRAL UNITED STATES
• OWENSBORO
NEEDS TO
PREPARE FOR A
POTENTIAL
EARTHQUAKE
DISASTER UNLIKE
ANY PAST
DISASTER IN THE
UNITED STATES
OWENSBORO: LIVING WITH AN
EARTHQUAKE THREAT
• LOW ANNUAL
PROBABILITY OF
OCCURRENCE,
BUT...
• A HIGH
PROBABILITY OF
A CATASTROPHE
COMMUNITY LEADERS NEED
TO KNOW THE KINDS OF
SITUATIONS THEIR
COMMUNITY IS LIKELY TO
FACE IN THE FUTURE AND THE
OPTIONS FOR PREVENTING A
DISASTER
WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS
NEED TO KNOW
• WHERE ARE FUTURE
EARTHQUAKES MOST LIKELY TO
OCCUR?
• HOW BIG WILL THEY BE?
• HOW OFTEN WILL THEY OCCUR?
WHAT FIRST RESPONDERS
NEED TO KNOW
• WHAT ARE THE LIKELY
PHYSICAL EFFECTS AND
SOCIETAL CONSEQUENCES?
• WHAT ARE THE MOST EFFECTIVE
WAYS TO REDUCE THESE
CONSEQUENCES ?
RULES ABOUT FAULTS AND
SEISMICITY
• ALTHOUGH NOT A
LONG FAULT, THE
NEW MADRID
FAULT CAN
GENERATE A
GREAT
EARTHQUAKE
SEISMIC WAVE ATTENUATION
FAULT RUPTURE
DAMAGE/LOSS
EARTHQUAKE
VIBRATION
DAMAGE/LOSS
TSUNAMI
DAMAGE/ LOSS
REGIONAL
DEFORMATION
DAMAGE/ LOSS
FOUNDATION
FAILURE
DAMAGE/ LOSS
AMPLIFICATION
DAMAGE/ LOSS
LIQUEFACTION
DAMAGE/ LOSS
LANDSLIDE
DAMAGE/ LOSS
AFTERSHOCKS
DAMAGE/ LOSS
SEICHE
DAMAGE/ LOSS
GROUND SHAKING
LIQUEFACTION
REDUCTION OF COMMUNITY
VULERABILTY
RESEARCH
RISK MANAGEMENT
• PREVENTION
• MITIGATION
TECHNOLOGY
BASE
• PREPAREDNESS
• PREDICTION AND
WARNING
• INTERVENTION
• EMERGENCY
RESPONSE
POSTDISASTER
INVESTIGATIONS
• RECOVERY
SITUATIONS OWENSBORO
MAY FACE
BUILDING DAMAGE AND
MASS CASUALTIES
LIQUEFACTION AND LOSS OF
FUNCTION
LOSS OF FUNCTION:
TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS
LOSS OF FUNCTION: AIRPORT
DAM FAILURE
FIRE
SEARCH AND RESCUE