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Yang Zixiao, HKUST
Does Anti-Americanism
correlate with Pro-China?
A Regression Analysis to
Sixteen Countries’ Public
Opinions
HKPSA, 20-21 August 2009
• Research Questions:
what is the relation between global public
opinion, or public attitudes of citizens in
major countries, toward the China and the
United States?
Key Hypothesis
• Individuals with higher anti-Americanism
will tend to express more amity toward
China.
Methodology
• Dataset: Pew Global Attitudes Project,
Spring 2005.
• Conducted in sixteen countries: France,
Germany, Spain, Britain, the Netherlands,
Poland, Russia, India, China, Canada, the
US, Turkey, Pakistan, Indonesia, Lebanon
Jordan and Morocco.
• Overall sample size: 15,575.
Key Dependent Variables
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Overall do you think that China’s growing
economy is a good thing or a bad thing
for our country?
Overall do you think it would be a good
thing or a bad thing if China were to
become as powerful militarily as the US?
Please tell me if you have a very
favorable, somewhat favorable,
somewhat unfavorable or very
unfavorable opinion of China?
Figure 2. Sixteen Countries' Public Opinion toward China, the US,
Germany, France and Japan, Source: PEW 2005 Spring Survey
5
Is your overall opinion of … : very favorable(=5); mostly favorable(=4);
don't know(=3);mostly unfavorable(=2);very unfavorable(=1)?
China
Pa national average score
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the US
Germany
France
Japan
Key Explanatory Variables
• Five relevant questions about the US, including
evaluations of its entire national image,
superpower position, foreign policy, war on terror
and President George W. Bush.
• Factor analyses help us to create a single “ProUS” factor.
• In all 17,766 observations, the minimum and
maximum values are 0 and 1; the average is
0.459 and standard deviation is 0.260.
Control Variables
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Age
Gender
Income
Education
Use of Internet
Country Dummy Variables
• People who are more pro-American are
“somewhat” likely to approve China’s
rising economic power, “very” likely to
disapprove China’s rising military power,
and “moderately” likely to have a favorable
view of China.
Demographic and Socioeconomic Variables:
• Young people are most likely to be
approval of China.
• Mid-high income people and people with
high secondary educational degree show
the least amity.
• Females are less likely to have a favorable
view.
• There is no significant difference between
netizens and non Internet users.