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A sea of Opportunities
A SWOT of the Future of Our Seas
Luc van Hoof
January 12th, 2016
Today’s menu
 The Big Challenge
 Use of the seas!
 SWOT
 2050?
 2050!
Planet EARTH???
 70% of our world is
ocean
The Challenge
 Feeding the world
 Renewable energy production
 Blue Growth
To feed 9-10 billion people by 2050
Blue Revolution
Thinking of the Sea
Several images come to mind
Geographical area
Ecosystem
Political Area
Ruimte voor
Windenergie
WatersportAquacultuur
Defensie
Scheepvaart
Olie & gas winning
Recreatievissers
Kabels & Leidingen
Zandwinning
Visserij
Zandsuppletie
Natuurbescherming
Future use of the Sea
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World demand for fish & fish products
Aquaculture
Recreational Fisheries
Marine Tourism
Shipping
Wind farms
Oil & Gas
Conservation
Its getting crowded
 More activities out at sea
 More sectors
 More stakes
 More stakeholders
 Globalisation
Strengths
 Lots of space
 Lots of water
 Lots of resources
 A lot of potential
● Food, feed, pharmaceuticals, energy,
transport, ingredients, materials,
minerals, nature, climate buffer
 Lots of possibilities
Weaknesses
 Not all waters are equal  coastal zone vs high seas
 Lack of an ocean knowledge base
 Also on the potential economic challenges
 Resilience but tipping points
 Open Access  Jurisdictions
 Lack of management of critical marine resources
 Governance, regulation and ocean policy
Opportunities: Blue Growth (1)
 Aquaculture
 Seagriculture
 Coastal tourism
 Marine biotechnology
 Ocean energy
 Seabed mining
Opportunities: Ocean Food production
 Fisheries?
●Discards & Management
 Sea ranching
 Mari-culture
 Building with Nature
Options
 Produce more food
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 Sustainable Intensification
 Ecosystem approaches
 Ocean production
More efficient use of food
 there is no such thing as waste
 Alternative sources of proteins
 “Ingredientisation”
Major threats to the world's oceans (1)
 Unsustainable fishing
 threat to ocean life, habitats, livelihoods and
food security
Major threats to the world's oceans (2)
 Inadequate protection
 MPAs, working policies
Major threats to the world's oceans (3)
 Tourism & Urban Development
 Coastlines and the coastal zone
Major threats to the world's oceans (4)
 Shipping
 oil spills, ship groundings, anchor damage, and
the dumping of rubbish, ballast water, and oily
waste
Major threats to the world's oceans (5)
 Oil & gas
 prospecting and drilling  windfarms
 Oil spills
 What to do with abandoned equipment
Major threats to the world's oceans (6)
 Pollution
 sewage, garbage, fertilizers, pesticides,
industrial chemicals, plastics
Major threats to the world's oceans (7)
 Aquaculture
 pollution the farms discharge, escaped farmed
fish, increased parasite loads, and the need to
catch wild fish as feed.
Major threats to the world's oceans (8)
 Climate Change
 Coral bleaching, rising sea levels, changing
species distributions
So where will we be in 2050?
2050?
Marine Dead Zones
2050!
seaweed
statice
samphire
spirulina