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Emergent Inference and the Future of NASA
Sergio Pissanetzky
[email protected]
Emergent Inference
Any system
VISION
your mom
eyes
SOFTWARE
grab an
object
cameras,
sensors
computer
program
translation
100,000,000
dots of light
memory
memory
EI in the brain
EI in the
computer
“hi, mom”
next move
EI in the
computer
classes
and objects
your mom
with a hat
learning
ROBOT
new
development
environment
Analyst-independent technologies (AITs)
● NASA needs AIT’s for manned and unmanned
space exploration.
● Autonomous robots can fly on their own or help the
astronauts.
● All our current technolgies are analyst-dependent.
● Extricating the analyst from software requires
understanding the analyst.
● Understanding the analist means understanding the
brain.
The brain
AND
The brain is a computer
● Cognition
● In host-guest systems: guest
● We learn
● We remember
● We know
● We decide
● Do we think?
● Do we reason?
I believe that cognition is a giant memory of
behaviors, stored as a hierarchy of
structures. Then, an unconscious
mechanism that von Helmholtz called UI and
I call EI generates new structures, and again
stores them as behaviors in our cognition for
us to use.
The brain is an organ
● Unconscious
● In host-guest systems: host
● Where is the unconscious?
● What does it do?
● Hermann von Helmholtz
● Sigmund Freud
● James Clerk Maxwell
● Carl Jung
● Douglas Hofstadter
● Pink Floyd
● David Eagleman
● Juan Roederer
● Jean Piaget
● Sergio
The Great Unsolved Automation Problems
of Software Engineering (GUAPs)
The automation of:
● Object generation (80’s)
● Refactoring (90’s)
● Integration (2000’s)
● Self-programming (2010’s)
● Parallel Programming
● Image Recognition
● Semantic Web
● Ontologies
● Robots
● ... and counting.
All these problems have exact mathematical
solutions that can be found by emergent inference.
BRAIN
chess
Jeopardy
drive
brain
play
chess
play
Jeopardy
drive
a car
EMERGENT
INFERENCE
SOFTWARE
pixels
Jeopardy
sensors
chess
sensors
chess
program
car
sensors
quiz
program
chess
controls
Jeopardy
controls
set of
programs
problem
of Physics
car driving
program
car
controls
sequential
program
disorganized
software
emergent inference
integrated
program
solution
refactored
+ objects
asignement
recognized
image
Traditional software development cycle
subject-matter
engineer
knowledge
BRAIN (human analyst)
emergent
inference
emergent
inference
emergent
inference
structure
structure
structure
file
data
PROGRAM
•••
•••
History of mankind
HUMAN LABOR
TASKS
SINCE THE
ADVENT OF
HUMANS
Source of
mechanical power
- heavy lifting
- dig trenches
- propel a boat
INDUSTRIAL
REVOLUTION
Source of
Emergent Inference
- program computers
- control machines
- creative tasks
Decision making
- automating systems
You are here
INTELLIGENCE
REVOLUTION
The world cost for non-automation is $60 trillion per year.
Plan and Conclusions
● All current technolgies are analyst-dependent.
● Anayst-independent thecnologies are needed for
space exploration, both manned or unmanned.
● EI provides the only way to extricate the analyst.
● EI should be developed in USA.
● NASA may develop EI.
● Step 1: independent verification.
● Step 2: development.
● Step 3: application in robotics.
2011 publications
● Structural Emergence in Partially Ordered Sets is the Key to
Intelligence. S. Pissanetzky. Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence,
a subseries of Lecture Notes in Computer Science, LNAI 6830, pp.
92-101. Springer-Verlag.
● Emergence and self-organization in partially ordered sets. S.
Pissanetzky. To appear in Complexity.
● Emergent inference, or how can a program become a selfprogramming AGI system? Sergio Pissanetzky. Workshop on
Self-programming in AGI systems. AGI-11 conference, Google
campus, Mountain View, CA. August 3-6, 2011.
[email protected]
www.SciControls.com