Transcript Yuri van Geest

Exponential Technologies –
Singularity & ExOs
Yuri van Geest
Founder Singularity University the Netherlands
Author Exponential Organizations
Yuri van Geest
Founder
Caring (why)
will be
the next competitive
advantage for
people & organizations
9+
10
How will you positively impact
1 billion people in the next decade?
The best vision on
the future is
peripheral vision
Accelerating
Technologies
Al
Robotics
Biotech
Nanotech
Medicine
Neuroscience
Energy
Computing
EXPONENTIAL GROWTH &
THE LAW OF ACCELERATING RETURNS
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Credit: Ray Kurzweil and KurzweilAI.net
Exponential Technologies
Declining Costs
Increasing
Capabilities
“Software is Eating the World”
Estimated Share of Capex by Industry
Source: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Effects of Singularity / New Disruptive Era:
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Digitization (1)
Dematerialization (2)
Demonetization (3)
Decentralization / Democratization (4)
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Explosion of Innovation & Startups
Do-It-Yourself
Abundance / Solving Grand Challenges
Sharing Economy
Audi RS 7 - Autonomous Car
Even more disruptive is the
technology behind Bitcoin:
Future Disruptors
NANO-MEMS (chips)
& PAYMENTS GATX
Qingdao Unique Products - House 3D Printer
Based on Graphene glass fiber
reinforced plastic: light, strong,
conductive, corrosion-resistan
MIT - 4D Printing
4D printed materials morph in
response to weather or energy
(temperature, humidity, etc.).
Possible applications:
• (Temporary) Buildings
• Furniture
• Pipes and Valves
Google & NASA - Quantum Computing
The D-Wave 2X quantum computer is 100 million
times faster than a conventional computer with
a proof-of-concept optimization problem. Leaps
in Big Data & AI.
DeepMind - Deep Learning
acquired by
Google for
$500M
Viv Labs - Self-learning AI Assistant
New Artificial Intelligence Startup by the people behind
Siri. Can analyze different nouns in sentences
independently to compile an accurate and useful answer.
> Beyond Google Now!
Zero-employee Robot Factories
Toyota - Japanese
automotive
manufacturer
Softbank - Japanese
telecom & Internet
corporation
Foxconn - Taiwanese
electronics
manufacturer
Factories with robots
creating new robots
(STM Machines)
Starting Q3/Q4 2016
Graphene - Nano Materials
Titanium Dioxide (TiO2) Nanocoating
Benefits:
- Anti-corrosive
- Wear-resistant
- Self-cleaning
- UV-resistant
- Hydrophobic
- Anti-bacterial
- Deodorization (no scents)
(Exponential)
Organizations
“The average half life of
a business competency
has dropped from 30
years in 1984 to 5 years
today”
“89% of the Fortune 500
companies from 1955 are not
on the list today.”
“The average lifespan of an
S&P 500 company has
decreased from:
67 years (1920’s) to
12 years (today)”
Market Cap to a Billion
What are ExOs?
Definition
An Exponential Organization (ExO) is one whose
impact (or output) is disproportionally large — at
least 10x larger — compared to its peers because
of the use of new organizational techniques that
leverage exponential technologies.
Attributes
Attributes
How to create ExOs?
Strategies for Corporates
Yuri van Geest
Co-Author Exponential Organizations
+31 6 113 19 290
@vangeest
[email protected]
www.exponentialorgs.com