Transcript millions

Mary Krantz presents
Who – Greystone Communities
Michael Lanahan
Paul Steinhoff
Mark Andrews
John Spooner
When - 1982
What – Consulting Services
Strategic Planning
Market and Financial Analysis
Site Analysis
Planning
Development
Resident Marketing and Sales
Capital (re)financing
Mergers and Acquisitions
Operations Management Services
Statistics
Consulted with more than 4oo owners &
sponsors in more than 40 states
Development responsibility for 88 senior living
community start-ups, redevelopments and
expansions involving more than $5.0 billion in
capital costs and providing approximately
List in your binder in section 1
Greystone Marketing Role
Interview and hire staff
Conduct ongoing training based on marketing phase
Set clear goals
Develop marketing program base on proven marketing strategies as
well as innovative ideas that would appeal to our prospects.
Direct Advertising efforts
Develop sales promotions to help team close the sale
Problem solving/trouble shooting to help improve sales performance
Monitor the lead tracking system
Track the marketing budget during development phases .
Communicate with the sponsor and gain approval for all marketing
efforts.
Friends/Priority Phase
Conversion Phase
Construction Phase
Fill-up Phase
Maintenance Phase
Redevelopment Phase
Mary Krantz presents
Match the Acronym
ADA
ADL
AL
ALFA
CCRC
CCAC
CON
EF
IL
LTC
MSF
HC
HH
HS
SNF
Health Services
Assisted Living
Certificate of Need
Entrance Fee
Independent Living
Monthly Service Fee
Long Term Care
Home Care
Skilled Nursing
Assisted Living Federation of America
Americans with Disability Act
Continuing Care Retirement Community
Activity of Daily Living
Home Health
Continuing Care Accreditation Commission
Continuing Care Retirement Community
Life Care
Fee for Service
Types
A
B
C
Levels of Care
Independent Living
Assisted Living
Memory Support
Skilled Nursing
Describing our clientele/Prospects/Leads &
Residents:
Seniors
Elders / Elderly
Mature Adults,
55 plus / 55 and better
Retirees
Older Adult
Bruce Byers presents
Market driven opportunity – compelling
demographics
Mission – more purposeful today
Keeping up with customer – changing at a faster pace
Aging physical plants, out-dated programming and
challenged business models
Limited increase in new product growth
Changing definitions of success
2010 census confirms well-known trends
75+ market will double over next 25 years
By 2030, 1 out of every 5 persons will be 65+
Recession curtailed new project growth
Preferences of coming seniors will not accept
older product and programs
33%
growth
25.0
25%
growth
Households (millions)
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
3.7
million
4.2
million
4.6
million
6.8
million
7.7
million
8.6
million
2000
2010
2015
5.4
million
10.1
million
6.3
million
11.7
million
7.1
million
7.7
million
13.2
million
14.2
million
2030
2035
2020
2025
Untargeted
35% ofHouseholds
Households
Top 35%Households
of Households TopOther
Senior Household Growth (Top 35%)
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
1.2
million
500
0
2.1
million
2.9
million
3.5
million
400,000
2010-2015
2010-2020
2010-2025
2010-2030
2010-2035
Absolute demographic trends
Seniors’ propensity to choose senior living:
Market education/sophistication
Impact of new product on market
Living healthier, living longer
Dispersed family unit
Obsolescence of much older CCRC product
Physical plant
Programming
Business mix
According to 2010 state of seniors housing:
38% of all CCRC Units opened before 1986
Another 35% are between 10 and 25 years old
Median CCRC is 20 years old compared with 10 years
for stand-alone independent living units and assisted
living units
Median opening year for AZ100 CCRCs: 1983
Suggests many CCRCs are or will become dated
Much talk about adapting product to “new
economy.” We must do that
Change is typically longer-term evolutionary
House - still serves same function, but how it’s
designed/used has evolved over time
We are seeing:
“Smaller” projects with phasing
Focus on pricing strategies and tactics to incent
move (not price cutting)
Programming focused on healthy aging
Changing business mix
Phase II
ILUs
ILUs
ILUs
ILUs
Cottages
ILUsApartments
ILUs
Catered Living
SNF
1960's
ALUs
ALUs
SNF
MS
SNF
1980-2000
2000-2005
ALUs
ALUs
MS
SNF
2005-2010
MS
SNF
Future
SNF
1970-1980
Providing what the senior wants to buy
Continuing drive to maintain independence
Services to promote aging in place
Impact of technology and Home and Community
Based Services (HCBS)
Services to allow
Wellness and healthy aging focus
Lifelong learning, giving back, “green initiatives”
Impact of healthcare reform and regulatory
environment
State of economy and senior perceptions
Meeting affordability and value
Simplify
Smaller projects and more focus on phasing
More innovative and flexible space programs
Fewer floor plans with recurring spaces
Areas that matter to our customer
Wellness and healthy aging
Dining
Socialization
More diversified business
Continued segmentation of the continuum of care
Renewed focus on health services
Value scaled resident service options
Alternate pricing plans, marketing tools
Flexibility in defined health care benefits
Put the “customer” in charge
Hospitality
Healthy Aging
“Community Connectedness”
Life long-learning
How do I fill my empty units?
What can be done about my aging plant?
How can I improve my margin?
In what ways can we better serve our market?
Can I serve the community at large?
Is now a good time to “grow”?
Where/How can I expand into new markets?
What do I do about my ghost town markets?
How do we rebalance our business portfolio?
How do I keep my costs in line?
What changes are needed to my strategic plan?
What does the consumer want?
How do I get my Board to understand we can’t
sit still?
How should my future growth be different than
what’s worked for me in the past?
How do I know that we have the right priorities?
How do I balance fixing older assets with
pursuing new growth assets?
How do we/should we measure success?
Identify Growth Initiatives
(Repositioning, Expansion,
Acquisition,
New Development)
Consider Ancillary
Opportunities
(HCBS, PACE, etc.)
Optimize Existing
Operations
Planning
Financing
Development
Construction
Fill-Up
ABERDEEN
HEIGHTS
CONCORDIA
• Add 18 ILU and • Reconfigure
6 MS
Health Center
• $6.7 MM
• Add 7 AL and MS
• $9MM
FIELD HOME
• Start up CCRC
with 134 ILUs
• Add 102 ILUs
• $132 MM
• $50.2 MM
• Add 102 IL
downsize to 96
SNF
• $114 MM
• Add 18 MS &
20 SNF
• $14 MM
• Start up CCRC
with 243 Apts
• $178.8 MM
JEWISH HOME
Loomis
• Planning for
four
communities
SAN FRANCISCO
• Planning 150200 ILUs
• Planning
repositioning
for 430 SNF
40
CONCORDIA
CONCORDIA
Sponsor
Edgewood Summit, Inc.
Charleston, WV
Phase I – 1995
Phase II – 2001
Current Scope
122 ILUs
10 ALs
$5.8 Revenue
Project
18 MS
20 SNF
$14.0 MM Total Uses
Sponsor
Lutheran Senior Citizens
Oklahoma City, OK
Phase I - 2005
Current Scope
96 ILUs
37 ALs
16 MS
30 SNF
$6.5 Revenue
Project
18 ILUs
6 MS
$6.1 MM Total Uses
49
Sponsor
Field Home – Holy Comforter
Cortlandt Manor, NY
SNF Built in 1985
AL built in 2003
Existing
202 SNF
40 AL
40 MS
$27 MM revenue
Project
102 ILUs
96 Replacement SNF
$114.3 MM Total Uses
Sponsor
Santa Fe Healthcare
Bonita Springs, FL
POS issued August 2011
Scope
144 ILUs
49 ALs
18 MS
40 SNF
$172.7 MM Total Uses
Market growth remains – need will always be there
Slower economy has limited new supply, yet aging
continues
Have to constantly craft our approach and product to
meet changing definition of what “retirement” means
and customer’s sense of value
Near term opportunities with land and construction
($/timing)