Transcript unfccc*ipcc

Contribution to UNFCCC and
IPCC/TFI by GHG satellite data
September 13th, 2016
JAXA
UNFCCC & IPCC Inventory Task Force(TFI)
 IPCC TFI Guideline will be revised in 2019.
 Discussion for updating has already started and revising
outline will be defined at the next IPCC plenary in October.
 Guideline produced in 2006 indicated that it’s preferable
to use independent data for verification of inventories.
 Space agencies have accumulated scientific data by GHG
satellites such as GOSAT and OCO-2 for this decade.
 Therefore it will be a very important opportunity to
define role of GHG satellite data as independent
verification tool in revised IPCC TFI guideline.
 We will consider the relationship with other activities
such as GCOS IP 2016, CGMS joint GHG- WG, GEO GHG
initiative plan and the work of IG3IS.
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Goal of GHG Satellite Data Utilization
If satellite data utilization is defined in the guideline, statistics
officers of each country inevitably become to use GHG satellite data.
How to use 1
1. Each country summarizes 2. The Statistics Officers estimate GHG
NDC(Nationally Determined Inventory based on IPCC Guideline.
[Satellite data is used to verify
Contribution ) of CO2
estimation results]
reductions.
3. GHG Inventory is
reported to UNFCCC.
How to use 2
1. Inventories of each
2. Global Stocktake will take place
country are accumulated
each 5 year from 2023.
to understand global
[Satellite data might be used to
situation.
assess the accumulation]
3. Each country improves
and enhances the
essential actions.
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Back up chart
IPCC TFI Guideline
 TFI Guideline Contents （Revised in 2006）
To be revised
in May 2019
1. General Guidance and Reporting (Data collection, Methodological Choice,
Quality Assurance, Reporting Guidance)
<Target Gases>
2. Energy Estimation Method
Carbon dioxide (CO2), Methane (CH4),
3. Industrial Processes (and Product Use)
Nitrous oxide (N2O), Hydrofluorocarbons
Estimation Method
(HFCs), Perfluorocarbons (PFCs), Sulphur
4. Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use
hexafluoride (SF6), Nitrogen trifluoride
Estimation Method
(NF3), Trifluoromethyl sulphur
5. Waste Estimation Method
pentafluoride (SF5CF3), etc.
 Emission Estimation Method
Emission = Activity Data （Statistics）×Emissions Factor （Research Result） × Global
Warming Potential （IPCC Factor）
<Example: Rice Paddy Crop>
CH4 Emission = Cropping Area (Activity Data) × CH4 Emissions per Area (Emissions Factor) × CH4
Global Warming Potential
 Verification of Emission Estimation
1. Comparing estimation methods to confirm that there are no calculation
errors nor major source missing
2. Calculating using Inverse Models from atmospheric concentration
Contribution by GOSAT and OCO-2
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Outline for GHG plan
UN Framework Convention
on Climate Change (UNFCCC)
Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC)
Promoting the Policy Planning and its
Implementation of global warming
Paris Agreement (to be issued in 2020)
Summarizing the Physical Science Basis of
global warming
Nationally Determined Contribution
(NDC)
 Countries submit Intended Nationally
Determined Contributions (INDC) and
progress of GHG reduction every 5 years
Global Stocktake
 Progress of global warming measures is
globally confirmed every 5 years
 Results are used to improve and
enhance actions and support of counties
 The first Global Stocktake will be in 2023.
Guideline (produced in 2006)
Inventory Task Force（TFI）
 Method and software for calculation
/report of GHG absorption/emission
by country are developed and
improved.
 Wide use of above method is
encouraged to IPCC member
countries and UNFCCC ratified
countries
 The 2006 Guidelines for GHG
estimation method will be revised in
2019
Parties of UN Convention are required to use IPCC Guideline to estimate Inventories under UNFCCC.
Issues in IPCC Guideline： 1: It’s preferable to verify data independently.
2: It’s difficult for developing countries to estimate inventories which are
necessary to accumulate through elaborate statistic calculation.
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Structure for utilization of GHG data
UNFCCC
Scientist
Community
IPCC
Science Paper
Paris Agreement
IPCC Inventory Taskforce（TFI）
Global Stock Take
(2023~)
IPCC Guideline （2019 update）
Stakeholders
for Climate Change and UN
Guidance Document
③Spread Guidance
document
②Develop Guidance document
for national statistician to use
GHG data for verification
④High accuracy data set
Data platform
(Carbon & GHG
initiative)
Japan
MEXT
Japan
NIES
【Goal】 They will use
GHG satellite data
under IPCC/TFI revised
guideline.
⑥Understanding of
effective GHG data
usage
GEO
Japan
MOE
statistics
officers
Satellite-based GHG
Dataset/Platform
COP22
①Identify satellitebased GHG data as
Verification
IGES
(Japan)
JAXA
GOSAT
③Spread Guidance
document
⑤Identify source of GHG
⑦Capacity building
CEOS
NASA
ESA
OCO-2
Sentinel-5
CNES
Microcarb
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Schedule for IPCC and UNFCCC
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
May. IPCC-49
Approval of
the TFI Guidelines Revision
Aug.
Scoping Meeting
IPCC/TFI
Jun.
Oct 17-20.
Deadline for Articles to TFI
IPCC-44
Approval of the TFI Guidelines’ Outline
UNFCCC
Nov.
COP22
COP23
COP24
COP25
CEOS
Nov.
Plenary
Nov.
Plenary
Nov.
Plenary
Nov.
Plenary
GEO
JAXA
MOE
NIES
Nov.
Nov.
Nov.
Nov.
Plenary
Plenary
Plenary
Plenary
Jan.
AP-Symposium
Sep.
Draft of Guidance
GOSAT-2 Launch
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