Transcript Critical Transportation Assets and Sensitivty to Climate Change

Critical Transportation
Assets, and Sensitivity to
Climate Change
Gulf Coast Study, Phase 2: Impacts of
Climate Change and Variability on
Transportation Systems & Infrastructure
FHWA Office of Planning
Environment and Realty
May 4, 2010
U.S. Department of Transportation
Federal Highway Administration
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Purpose of Today’s Meeting
• Provide overview of Tasks 1 & 2 within the context of the
project
• Introduce proposed plan for identifying:
• Critical transportation assets (Task 1)
• Mobile-relevant climate information (Task 2)
• Sensitivity of critical assets to climate (Task 2)
• Discuss process for obtaining input and feedback from
the Climate Work Group
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Overview of GC2 Project
• Task 1: Identify Critical Transportation Systems
• Task 2: Evaluate Climate Change Effects and Stressors
• Task 3: Determining Vulnerability of Key Links and Assets
• Task 4: Develop Risk Assessment &Risk Management Tools
• Task 5: Coordination with Planning Authorities and Outreach
• Task 6: Information Dissemination
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Overview of GC2 Project (cont’d)
• Task 1: Identify Critical Transportation Systems
• Which assets in Mobile are most important?
• Task 2: Climate Impacts
• How do we determine the likely effects of climate change on Mobile?
• How could these changes in climate affect the critical transportation
infrastructure?
Tasks 1 and 2 feed into Task 3
• Task 3: Determining Vulnerability of Key Links and Assets
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
What is “critical” infrastructure in the
Mobile region?
Need to define a process applicable to Highways, Rail,
Airports, Ports, Pipelines, and Transit
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
What Is the Purpose of This Effort?
Determine Subset of Entire Transportation Network on
Which to Perform Vulnerability Assessment and Identify
Adaptive Measures
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Key Aspects of Critical Infrastructure
Connections
Connecting Mobile
To the Region and
Nation
Purpose
Function
Distribution Centers
Multimodal Centers
Access to
Employment Centers,
Hospitals, etc.
Includes public and private services, facilities, and infrastructure
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Operational Considerations
• Identify the components of critical infrastructure from a modal
perspective
 Functional Classification
 Usage
 Operations and Maintenance
 Freight Route
 Control and Enforcement Centers
 Hazardous Materials
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Emergency Preparedness
• Emergency evacuation
• Disaster relief
• Disaster recovery
Both severe events and longerterm environmental changes are
considered
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Socio-Economic Assessment
• Serves Regional Centers
• Availability of Redundant System
• Provides Community Connection
Infrastructure Important to the
Functioning of the Region
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RAIL
Provides Access to Health Facilities
Component of National Defense System
Component of Disaster Relief and Recovery Plan
RAILS
Operational
Identified Evacuation Infrastructure
Major Customers served
Interchange Annual Tonnage
Originating/terminating Annual Tonnage
SocioEconomic
Yard Annual Tonnage
Annual Gross Tonnage
Main Track Classification
Serves Regional Economic Centers
No System Redundancy
Functions as Community Connection
• Matrices for each
infrastructure mode
Important Multi-Modal Linkage
Component of National/International Commerce System
Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Measuring Criticality
Health and Safety
Facility List
Facility A
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HIGHWAYS
Facility List
Facility A
Provides Access to Health Facilities
Component of National Defense System
Identified Hazardous Materials Route
HIGHWAYS
Ops.
Component of Disaster Relief and Recovery Plan
Identified Evacuation Route
Usage
SocioEconomic
Functional Classification (Interstate, etc.)
Serves Regional Economic Centers
No System Redundancy
Functions as Community Connection
• Matrices for each
infrastructure mode
Important Multi-Modal Linkage
Component of National/International Commerce System
Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Measuring Criticality
Health and Safety
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PORTS
Provides Material to Health Facilities
Component of National Defense System
Identified Hazardous Materials Transfer Point
PORTS
Operational
Component of Disaster Relief and Recovery Plan
Identified in Evacuation Plans
Maximum Vessel Size
Channel and Berth Depth
Operations (Warehousing, Distribution, etc)
SocioEconomic
Port Cargo Value
Port Capacity
Port Use/Demand
Serves Regional Economic Centers
No System Redundancy
Functions as Community Connection
Important Multi-Modal Linkage
Component of National/International Commerce System
Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Measuring Criticality
• Matrices for each
infrastructure mode
Health and Safety
Facility List
Facility A
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AIRPORTS
Facility A
Provides Support to Health Facilities
Component of National Defense System
Component of Disaster Relief and Recovery Plan
AIRPORTS
Operational
Identified as Part of Evacuation Plan
Category within Statewide Airport System Plan
Category within National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems
Instrumentation
Aircraft Performance and Operations
SocioEconomic
FAR Part 139 Certification
Status (Civilian, Military, Public-Private)
Serves Regional Economic Centers
No System Redundancy
Functions as Community Connection
Important Multi-Modal Linkage
Component of National/International Commerce System
Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Measuring Criticality
• Matrices for each
infrastructure mode
Health and Safety
Facility List
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TRANSIT
Facility List
Facility A
Provides Access to Health Facilities
Component of National Defense System
Component of Disaster Relief and Recovery Plan
TRANSIT
Operational
Identified as Part of Evacuation Program
Garage and Maintenance Facilities
Intermodal Connectivity
Customer Facilities
SocioEconomic
Ridership
Serves Regional Economic Centers
No System Redundancy
Functions as Community Connection
Important Multi-Modal Linkage
Component of Interstate Commerce System
Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Measuring Criticality
• Matrices for each
infrastructure mode
Health and Safety
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PIPELINES
Facility List
Facility A
Provides Access to Health Facilities
Component of National Defense System
Component of Disaster Relief and Recovery Plan
PIPELINES
Operational
Identified Evacuation Route
Pumping and Compression Booster Facilities
Pipleline Content
Pipeline Flow Rates
SocioEconomic
DOT Classification
• Matrices for each
infrastructure mode
Operating Maximum Pressure
Pipleline Size (ID/OD)
Serves Regional Economic Centers
No System Redundancy
Functions as Community Connection
Important Multi-Modal Linkage
Component of National/International Commerce System
Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Measuring Criticality
Health and Safety
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
Bringing it All Together
• Applying critical infrastructure tools:
1.
Delineate important assets and gather data
2.
Estimate future travel and economic activity
3.
Solicit stakeholder input and develop a critical infrastructure consensus
• Defining criticality excludes engineering and environmental
considerations
• Outputs Feed Assessment during Task 2 efforts
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Task 1:
Identify Critical Transportation Systems
• ICF and PB will develop a preliminary list of critical assets
 Review MPO Model & other available modal or special purpose models
• Enhance models as needed to identify critical infrastructure & assess
vulnerability
• Re-run model as needed to test critical links (stress on system if one link down)
 Review plans & programs, interview staff
 Collect & review asset data & asset management tools in use
• Score and rank critical assets
• Send draft critical asset list to climate workgroup to request feedback
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Task 2: Identify Climate Data
• Collect, review, and summarize climate/weather data to develop
datasets of past and future conditions
 Observations and model projections
• temperature
• precipitation
• winds
• runoff
• waves
• sea level rise
• storm surge
• will examine changes in both means and extremes
 Approach will be different than Phase I, e.g.
• focused explicitly on Mobile
• use of more advanced models (e.g., ADCIRC; downscaling)
• provide near-term, mid-term, and end-of-century futures
 One illustrative output will be GIS-based maps indicating potential
inundation
• incorporating: global sea level rise, local subsidence, LIDAR-based
elevation, and storm surge modeling
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Task 2: Identify Climate Sensitivity
• Develop qualitative assessments of the sensitivity of critical
transportation infrastructure and services in Mobile to climate
 Parametric modeling – time series analysis
 Analog analysis – assessment of extreme events. Guidance from the
CC Work Group is requested.
• Katrina (other?)
• Heat wave (2007?)
• Non-hurricane-related storm (?)
 Infrastructure cost analysis
• For this to be as useful as possible to Mobile we need relevant
transportation data for:
 Bridges
 Highways
 Tunnels
 Railroads
 Marine ports and terminals
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Waterways
Airports
Bicycle and Pedestrian infrastructure
Public Transportation
Natural Gas and Oil Pipelines
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Task 2: Identify Climate Sensitivity
We need your help! Names,
web sites, documents, etc.
• Data types, e.g.
 Asset value; replacement cost
• Includes infrastructure and equipment
 Maintenance and repair frequency and cost
• Including in relation to other costs/values
 Post-weather-event survey – damage estimate; service loss
 Insurance claims
 Asset monitoring – e.g.
• Condition, projected life span, etc.
 Travel information – e.g.
• VMT, transit time, avg speed, accident data, etc.
 Value and quantity of goods transported
• roadway, marine, air, pipeline
 Regional/national economic dependence on Mobile transportation
• transportation through and out of the region
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Data Needs: Task 1 vs. Task 2
• Tasks 1 and 2 will mostly rely on similar data, e.g.:
 vehicle miles traveled
 freight value
• Some data will be exclusively for a specific task,
e.g.:
 Task 1—specific location
 Task 2—historical damage to assets
• Some data will later be useful for Task 3, e.g.:
 Engineering specifications of a particular asset
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Next Steps
• Task 1:
 Develop draft list of critical transportation assets in Mobile
 Share list with Climate Work Group and ask for feedback
• Task 2:
 Follow up to pursue access to particular data
 Interview key individuals regarding impacts from past weather
events
 Present preliminary results from sensitivity analysis to receive
feedback from the Climate Work Group
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Contact
Rob Kafalenos
Federal Highway Administration
Office of Natural and Human Environment
Sustainable Transport & Climate Change Team
202-366-2079
[email protected]
US DOT Transportation and Climate Change Clearinghouse:
http://climate.dot.gov/index.html
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