Transcript - Centre for Climate Change Research (CCCR)

Introduction of MAIRS Activities
Ailikun
International Program Office
Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study
(MAIRS)
The 2nd CORDEX South Asia Science and Training Workshop, 27-30 August 2013, Kathmandu
Monsoon Asia Integrated Regional Study
The vision of MAIRS is “To significantly advance
understanding of the interactions between the
human-natural components of the overall
environment in the monsoon Asian region, and
implications for the global earth system, in order
to support strategies for sustainable
development. “
MAIRS Themes

Multiple stresses in high mountain zones

Vulnerable systems in dryland zones

Rapid transformation in coastal Urban zones

Rapid development of urban zones

Modelling and observations
Observation network in dryland east Asia
55°N
50°N
45°N
11
13
8
5
14
10
4
40°N
2
15
16 3
1 6
9
12
35°N
7
30°N
70°E
80°E
90°E
100°E
110°E
120°E
130°E
140°E
Drought Impact on Rangeland
Herders in Inner Mongolia
- Study by Xiaoyi Wang, CASS
- Pastoral village of 80 households
- 10,000 livestock
- Decade-long drought & rising temperature
affected pasture & water availability
- Herders' incomes significantly reduced
- But there are social factors
Social Factors interacting with
Drought Impacts
Xiaoyi Wang, CASS
Impact of Warming on
Precipitation
Comparison of
precipitation intensity in
Taiwan for the two
coolest years (blue) and
two warmest years
(red) over the period
1961-2005
Find similar result for
GPCP data
Response is larger than
expected from
Clausius-Clapeyron
S. Liu et al. (2009)
Air Pollution in Mega-Cities
Beijing
Seoul
Osaka
Shanghai
Guangzhou
Tokyo
Primary pollutant
concentrations are
expected to increase
as:
C ~ N
where N: population
  
IGBP/IGAC Program
Parrish and Zhu, 2009, Science
Expanding of Guangzhou
---Urban Case study
Going to deeper water --New Nansha Harbour
(100KM from city central)
Mountain
Fresh water supply of
Nansha is rely on upstream
Xijiang river
Influence of sea level rise
and coastal erosion
Future scenario of cyclone
and urban flood in Pearl
River Delta
City
Field
Sea
Nansha
AusAID Public Sector Linkages Program
(PSLP)
Working towards improving resilience and adaptive
capacity to climate change in the Hindu Kush-Himalayan
(HKH) Region (China, Bangladesh, India & Nepal).
PI: Lance Heath, Climate change Institute, ANU
Time: 2013-2015
This project will use a number of approaches to
identify the risks, vulnerabilities and opportunities of
climate change impacts on small downstream
communities in Bangladesh and upstream
communities in Nepal and India.
Build the local capacity to help communities cope
better with those risks and vulnerabilities identified.
A key outcome resulting from this project is the
development of a climate change adaptation toolkit.
Asian Dryland Model
Intercomparison Project (ADMIP)
- Led by Jun Asanuma and Dennis Ojima
- Support from APN, MAIRS and MEXT-JSPS
- Few observations and relatively poor
performance of LSM in Asian drylands
- Data from sites at Tongyu, China; Kherlen Bayan
Ulaan, Mongolia (AsiaFlux)
- 7 LSMs and 7 TEMs from Japan, China, Korea,
USA, Australia
Model performance at dryland
lower model
reproducibility of
soil moiture
correlation between GSWP2 (multi model analysis) and
GSMDB(obs.)
figures made by Dr. Yorozu at Kyoto Univ.
13 JGR,
ADMIP
Kickoff,
Beijing
2010/7/11
in reference
to Guo, and Dirmeyer
(2002)
Vol.111, D22S02
Goals of ADMIP
Evaluating & improving land surface models (LSM,
energy and water) & terrestrial ecosystem model
(TEM, carbon) through offline model intercomparison
using data obtained at Asian dryland
but not to improve a model/models specific to Asian
dryland
Better reproduction/prediction of landsurface state at
Asian dryland using improved models
2010/7/11
14
ADMIP Kickoff,
Beijing
RMIP Simulation Design
Integration Domain: (45-165E, 0-45N)
Resolution: 60KM (for whole area, downscaling to 30KM in some
key areas)
Participating Countries: China, Japan, Korea, Australia, US
Regional Models: 6 models in RMIP II, and 9 models in RMIP
III
Simulation Periods: 1978-2000 for control, 2038-2070 for
projection, A 2-year spin-up time is applied to both control and
projection runs
Shuyu Wang, Nanjing University
RMIP Activities
- Regional projections for 2040-2070 with
uncertainties
- Data sharing
- Development of integrated assessment tool for
urban policy and planning (UrbanCLIM – Yinpeng
Li)
- High-resolution precipitation events
- High-resolution urban simulations
- High-resolution mountain simulations (WCRP
CORDEX south Asia, ICIMOD)
Training workshop on remote sensing
and regional land surface processes
 Date: 16-20 Sep. 2013
 Location: Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS
 Sponsors: UNESCO, MAIRS, NSFC,
CARRI/CAS
 Jointly organized by CARRI/CAS, MAIRS
Future Earth: A New Initiative by ICSU/ISSC
To provide the knowledge
required for societies in the world
to face risks posed by global environmental
change and to seize opportunities in a transition
to global sustainability
Objectives:
To report the latest research on integrated studies in Asia-Pacific
region
To promote the research of both natural and social scientists
To promote the research by young scientists from the region
To promote multi-disciplinary studies and the new ICSU-ISSC Future
Earth in Asia-Pacific region
To discuss the implementation of the Future Earth initiative