Transcript presentation

Edinburgh Churches Climate
Change Conference
11’th October 2008
'Scottish and Global
Perspectives - An Action
Framework'
John Ferguson – SEPA and Stirling Baptist Church
My objectives today..
 To leave you:
 Better informed on what you can do
 More determined to do something
 Encouraged that you can do something
…..and most importantly to encourage you to
leave with determination and HOPE…
The Scottish and UK Framework








Kyoto (Global)
Climate Change Bill
Emissions Trading Scheme
Climate Change Levy
Renewable Energy Strategy (and ROC funding)
Biomass Action Plan
Heat Plan
Carbon ‘challenge funds’:
 Carbon Trust
 Private Sector e.g. Shell
 Renewable energy grants – marine and biomass
 Climate Challenge Fund (community)
www.keepscotlandbeautiful.org/ccf.asp
 Climate Change Adaptation Strategy (31/10*)
Impacts and Consequences
Adaptation - Principles





Adaptation should be through actions that build resilience.
Continuous and responsive to new information.
Integrated into normal development and implementation
practices.
Adaptation must be addressed alongside actions to reduce
emissions.
Adaptation by one sector should not restrict adaptation by
other sectors.
And…..
 Where possible, act now.
 Provide leadership and coordination.
 Build adaptive capacity.
 Reduce and manage uncertainty.
 Educate the public and other sectors on the nature of climate
risks and how it can be managed.
Resilience
 The four A’s of resilience:
 Awareness
 Avoidance
 Alleviation
 Assistance
Here’s a sobering thought!
 “Insurance companies estimate that the bill for
severe weather in the 1990s worldwide was
$480 billion, with the economic losses over
that period increasing by a factor of 8… If
these rates are projected into the future in
comparison to a standard growth in GDP of
3% per year, by 2065, the world would
become bankrupt, as damages would outstrip
global earnings.”
Simon Retallack, The Ecologist Report,
November 2001
Addressing the Causes
1. Sustainable Consumption and
Production
Consumption refers to the appropriation of natural
resources by humanity including:


Ecosystem services = resources, habitats, - $33 trillion per
annum;
Ecological functions such as the assimilation of wastes and
the maintenance of conditions that are favourable for human
and other life.
There is also a further social dimension to SCP – equity.

“Eighty per cent of the world’s gross domestic product
belongs to the 1 billion people living in the developed world;
the remaining 20 percent is shared by the 5 billion people
living in developing countries.” [United Nations]
Global Footprint Network 2008:
http://www.footprintnetwork.org/gfn_sub.php?content=oversh
oot
Half the world — nearly
three billion people — live on
less than two dollars a day.
According to UNICEF, 30,000
children die each day due to poverty.
That is about 210,000 children each
week, or just under 11 million children
under five years of age, each year.
EU SCP Action Plan
Current:
 Energy use in products
 Public procurement
 Labelling - verification
 Incentives
Future:
 Promotion of resource efficiency
 Sustainable industrial policy initiatives
 Eco-innovation
In short – we need to consume less stuff!
Go Google – ‘The Story of Stuff’….great for kids and adults
too!
Addressing the Causes
2. Energy
Sir James Smith – Chairman Shell – Sustainable
Cities Conference - Glasgow October 2008.
 Arithmetic:
 2050 – 5x > energy demand - globalisation
 At ½ the CO2
 = a factor of 10 reduction in terms of the
carbon implications of energy use!
Global emissions of greenhouse gases
come from a wide range of sources
Agriculture
5.6 Gt 14%
mostly from
soils &
livestock
Land Use
changes
7.6 Gt 18%
primarily
deforestation
Source: World Resources Institute. 2000 estimate.
Electricity &
Heat
Generation
Transport
Other
energy
Industry
All GHG in CO2 equivalent
Energy –
25.6 Gt 61%
Consuming
fossil fuels
Global emissions are forecast to grow from all sources transport &
power generation growing fastest
18
2002 actual emissions
+2.1%
16.8
16
2030 projected emissions
14
annual average forecast %
growth in emissions to 2030
+2.1%
12
10
9.4
+1.2%
9.3
8.1
+1.1%
8
5.6
5.4
6
7.6
7.6
5.8
+0.7%
4.1
4
1.5
2
1.9
0
Power
Generation and
Heat Plants
Transport
Industry
Source: International Energy Agency, US Environmental Protection Agency, CO2 equivalent
Agriculture
Waste
Land Use
Decarbonise Energy
Renewable energy, energy security and
climate change
• 50% of electricity generated in Scotland (as a proportion of whole demand) to come
from renewable sources by 2020, with an interim target of 31% by 2011.
•The EU has established a target for renewable fuels to make up 10 % of transport
fuels by 2020.
Use Less Energy
 Cleaner technologies.
 Reduced energy demand.
 Products
 Buildings
 Transport
Addressing the Causes
3. Waste less
 National Waste Strategies – the 4R’s –
Reduce, Re-use, Recycle, Recover
 Zero Waste
 Waste and carbon – re-use and recycling is
best
 The landfill – Incineration debate
Food Waste
 Food:
 £420 per annum per family
 = taking1/5 cars off the road
 …..and people starve to death every single
day….one down side of affluence…
http://www.lovefoodhatewaste.com/
Be more self sufficient in our
local, regional and national
economies e.g. food
Ensuring the UK’s Food Security in a Changing World – July 2008
(DEFRA)
Increase Resource Use Efficiency
Use less – recycle more
Addressing the Causes
4. Develop new solutions to how we live
The Environmental Technology Sector
Chart 1: Environmental Goods and Services Market by Country 2004
250
211(38.5%)
210 (38.3%)
200
$ Billion
150
93 (17.0%)
100
50
45 (8.2%)
UK
18(3.2%)
14 (2.5%)
0
US
EU
Japan
China
India
Global sector estimated to grow to $688 billion (2010) and around
$800 billion (2015)
Some far out solutions…or are
they?
 Soil remineralisation
www.seercentre.org.uk/
www.reminforum.org.uk/






Seeding the seas – algal blooms
Carbon Capture and Storage
Space based solar reflectors (cooling and energy)
Novel energy technologies (cold fusion, H2, )
Marine energy and water islands
Sustainable Cities
www.transitiontowns.org
www.sustainablecities.org
 Innovate, Innovate, Innovate
Who is my
neighbour? …..
‘You shall love your
neighbour as
yourself’. Matthew
22v39.
‘Anything you did for them you did for
me…’ Matthew 25v40.
“Like Slavery and apartheid, poverty is not natural. It is man-made and it
can be overcome and eradicated by the actions of human beings. And
overcoming poverty is not a gesture of charity. It is an act of justice. It is
the protection of a fundamental human right, the right to dignity and a
decent life”. Nelson Mandela.
‘What does the Lord require of you?
To act justly and to love mercy and
to walk humbly with your God’.
Micah 6:8
Hurt not the earth nor the
trees Gen 2:4
The earth is the Lord’s and
all that is in it, Psalm 24:1
In summary - What can we do?







Be aware…learn and act!
Get involved prayerfully and as witnesses by your behaviour
Consume less
Travel wisely
As Churches – join Eco-congregation
Help build capacity – Tearfund, Christian Aid, Arocha
Be joyful…not worrisome:
 We are to be stewards
 We are to love and care for God’s creation but not to
worship it
……..above all…do not despair…….we take with us a gospel of
restoration, peace and hope….
Thank You so much for listening…
John Ferguson
[email protected]