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20
Global Climate Change
Overview of Chapter 20
Introduction to Climate Change
Causes
of Global Climate Change
Effects of Climate Change
Melting
Ice and Rising Sea Level
Changes in Precipitation Patterns
Effects on Organisms
Effects on Human Health
Effects on Agriculture
Dealing with Global Climate Change
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Climate Change Terminology
Greenhouse Gas
Positive Feedback
Change in some condition triggers a response that
intensifies the changed condition
Infrared Radiation
Gas that absorbs infrared radiation
Radiation that has a wavelength that is longer than that of
visible light, but shorter than that of radio waves
Greenhouse Effect
Increase of heat in a system where energy enters (often as
light), is absorbed as heat, and released sometime later
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction to Climate Change
Evidence for Climate Change
16
warmest years since mid-1800s have occurred
since 1990
Phenological spring in N. hemisphere now begins
6 days earlier (date the buds of specific plants
open)
Warming is not due to natural causes
Human
produced greenhouse gases are most
plausible explanation
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Introduction to Climate Change: Mean
Annual Global Temperature 1960–2010
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Greenhouse Gases
Greenhouse gas concentrations are increasing
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Causes of Climate Change
Increased
concentration of
CO2 (right)
Burning
fossil
fuels in cars,
industry and
homes
Deforestation
Burning of forests
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Greenhouse Effect
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Pollutants That Cool the Atmosphere
Atmospheric Aerosols
Both
human and natural sources
Tiny particles (or sulfur) that remain in
troposphere for weeks or months
Sulfur-laden layer in the atmosphere reduces the
amount of sunlight reaching earth
Complicates models of climate change
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Climate Models
Climate affected by:
winds,
clouds, ocean currents, and albedo
Used to explore past climate events
Advanced models can project future warming
events
Models are only as good as the data and law
used to program them
They
have limitations
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Climate Models
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Effects of Global Climate Change
Wildfire in California
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects of Global Climate ChangeMelting Ice and Rising Sea Levels
IPCC projects sea-level rise of18-59cm by
2100
Sea level rise caused in 2 ways
Thermal
Expansion
Melting of land ice
Melting has positive feedback
Increased
melting decreases ice, which
decreases albedo leading to further warming
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Melting Ice and Rising Sea Levels
1938
Insert Figure
20.6a
Insert Figure
20.6c
1981
1998
Insert Figure
20.6b
Insert Figure
20.6d
2005
Grinnell Glacier, Glacier National Park
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Case-In-Point Impacts in Fragile
Areas
Eskimo Inuit live
traditional life dictated
by freezing climate
Climate change is
altering their existence
Wildlife
displaced
Reduced snow cover
and shorter river ice
seasons
Thawing of permafrost
(right)
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects of Global Climate ChangeChanging Precipitation Patterns
Some areas will get more water, some areas
will have greater droughts
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects of Global Climate ChangeEffects on Organisms
Zooplankton in parts of California Current have
decreased by 80% since 1951
Affecting
entire food chain
Species have shifted their geographic range
Migrating birds are returning to summer homes
earlier
Ecosystems at greatest risk of species loss
(short term): coral reefs, mountain
ecosystems, coastal wetlands, tundra, and
polar spas
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects on Organisms - Coral
Reefs
Coral reefs can be bleached (right) due to
increase in water temperature
Affects
coral symbiotes and makes them more
susceptible to diseases
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effect on Organisms - Vegetation
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effect on Organisms - Vegetation
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects on Human Health
Increased number of
heat-related
illnesses and deaths
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects on Agriculture
Difficult to anticipate
Productivity
will increase in some areas and
decrease in others
Rise in sea level will inundate flood plains and
river valleys (lush farmland)
Effect on pests is unknown
Warmer temperatures will decrease soil
moisture - requiring more irrigation
Location (i.e., elevation and altitude) where
certain crops can be grown may have to
change
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
International Implications of
Climate Change
Developed vs.
Developing
countries
Differing
self-
interests
Differing ability to
meet the
challenges of
climate change
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Dealing with Global Climate
Change
Two ways to manage climate change
Mitigation:
Limiting greenhouse gas emissions to
moderate global climate change
Adaptation:
Learning to live with environmental
changes and societal consequences brought
about by global climate change
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Relationship Between Mitigation
and Adaptation
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Dealing with Global Climate
Change - Mitigation
Locate/invent alternative fuels to fossil fuels
Increase efficiency of cars and trucks
Carbon Capture and Storage
Plant and Maintain trees to naturally sequester
carbon
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
Dealing with Global Climate
Change - Adaptation
Rising sea levels and coastal populations
Move
inland
Construct dikes and levees
Adapt to shifting agricultural zones
NYC sewer line
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.
International Efforts to Reduce
Greenhouse Gas Emission
Kyoto Protocol
Legally
binding
Provides operational rules on reducing
greenhouse gases
By 2010, 183 countries had ratified it
US
has not sign it - it will be difficult to implement
without US backing
EPA is taking it upon itself to define laws associated
with CO2 reduction in US
© 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. All rights reserved.