Transcript Proactive and Reactive Adaptation: An Introduction

Incorporating Climate Change
in USAID Projects
Joel B. Smith
Stratus Consulting Inc.
1-303-381-8218
[email protected]
Dr. Kenneth Strzepek
University of Colorado
Ruhiza Jean Boroto
Source Strategic Focus (Pty) Ltd.
USAID Considering Ways of Incorporating
Climate Change into Project Planning,
Design, and Management
Stratus Consulting is working with USAID on:
 Developing guidance for AID on methods for
incorporating climate change
 Testing methods in three pilot studies
 Will revise guidance based on lessons
learned
Pilot Studies
 Examine incorporation of climate change in planned or
ongoing USAID projects
 Work with stakeholders to define objectives, identify
adaptations, and review results
 Use in-country analysts to conduct research
 Will develop implementation plans
 Pilots:
 Polokwane, South Africa: Water supplies
 La Ceiba, Honduras: Flooding and coastal erosion
 Mali: Agriculture (specific project TBD)
 I’ll briefly discuss Polokwane and La Ceiba
Polokwane, South Africa
 Concern is with longterm water supplies
Polokwane, South Africa
 Water is transferred to
the city
 Polokwane is growing
 Planning has not
considered climate
change
 Climate models indicate
potential for reduced
runoff and soil moisture
Polokwane Study
 Use a broad suite of climate change scenarios to
capture possible changes in climate
 Estimate changes in water demand from population and
economic growth
 Examine climate change effects on runoff and demand
 DWAF will examine implications and adaptations using
their planning model
 Will meet with stakeholders to examine results and
adaptation
 Will develop implementation plan with AID Mission and
stakeholders
La Ceiba, Honduras
La Ceiba Scope
 Concerns about flooding,
poor drainage, coastal
erosion
 Already serious
issues
 We are working with
municipal planners,
business community, and
NGOs in La Ceiba
La Ceiba Project
 We’ll develop scenarios of
 Sea level rise
 Intense hurricanes
 Intense rains
 Based on increases in
temperature, not model
output
 Working with stakeholders
and regional researchers on
analyzing adaptations
 Will develop implementation
plan
I hope we can present results
next year