Transcript but with the very high emission per capita in developed

Comparing Apple and Durian
A Sample of How to Cheat with Statistics and
International Negotiations on Climate Change issues
Re-Framing the debate
North versus South, Annex-1 versus Non-Annex, Major
Emitter Countries versus Major Emitter Intensity Countries
Climate change cannot be tackled without developing
countries – agree – but with the very high emission
per capita in developed countries, the deeper cut has
to be delivered by the high emitter people first - before
asking the low emitter people to make sacrifice
Science has told us that the poor will suffer the most,
but, what has been the effort of the rich?
Trillions of dollars spent on Wall Street Mess
Less than 1 percent of the bail out package is pledged to Climate
Change, and what worse - most of the pledges are loans.
Where is the monkey??
After the Wall Street
Mess, there is no
more money in the
coffers of developed
and rich nations.
Forget about grants.
Accept loans or be a
part of the next
carbon market.
But, what market?
A market with 100% auction by the government or a traditional
commercial transaction of CERs between project owner and brokers?
Is it Climate Investment Fund?
• It has received impressive pledges
• It can combine grants, loans, guarantees
• It has the most political support from the donor countries
• It is also controversial because of the hosting institution
• G77 and China register lukewarm or inconsistent support
• Is it a curse or an answer to our financing need?
• The devil is in the details: a) separation of grants and loans,
b) combination of grant and loans for productive investments
Skewed Priorities:
Mitigation versus Adaptation
Twelve billions
dollars pledged
on Mitigation.
Only 2% of
CDM proceed
for Adaptation,
or equal to 3% of
Mitigation pledge
The WDR should come up with fresh
ideas and propose a new shared vision
What about developing a regional (West Pacific) carbon market that
starts from Australia, Indonesia, Korea and Japan?
What about a Technology Transfer Fund that will buy climate friendly
technology through auction from private companies?
What about developing an incentive for the emitters? Should China
provide grants and soft loans to US companies? Or should we ask the
International Court of Justice to sanction the rouge emitters?
No one says that the world is fair …
But, at least the WDR (and the World Bank) should have the courage
to brought forward the disparities of the paid attentions and the illframed statistical comparisons between apple and durian.
I thank you.