Transcript - Governance Assessment Portal

Future trends for governance:
some correlates, additions and
complications
Dr FM Orkin
Oslo Governance Forum, Session 3D
Voksenasen, 3-5 October 2011
A start: two precepts, jointly true...
• What are the lying
bastards trying to
sell us next?
A start: two precepts, jointly true...
• What are the lying
bastards trying to
sell us next?
• What do those noisy
amateurs want now?
...and less cynically expressed
• What are the lying
bastards trying to
sell us next?
• What do those noisy
amateurs want now
• Holding government
accountable is not
only better for
citizens, but makes
government more
moral and efficient
• Civil society will be more
effective for developing
the capacities and
constituencies to engage
government, not merely
monitor or criticize it
Sarah’s slate of governance trends...
Global
Global financial
volatility
Media
Regional configurations
Urbanisation
Migration
Arab spring
Inequality
Youth
Local
Socio-Cultural
Transnational crime
Climate change
Economic
Powerful South
Slate of governance trends related...
Marketised
globalisation
Powerful South
Transnational crime
Media
Regional configurations
Urbanisation
Migration
Arab spring
Inequality
Youth
Local
Socio-Cultural
Economic
Global financial
volatility
Climate change
Global
... and some correlates
Global
Powerful South
Transnational crime
Regional configurations
Food and
water
Media
Urbanisation
Migration
Xenophobia
Inequality
Poverty
Indigenous people
Local
Arab spring
Youth
Socio-Cultural
Economic
Global financial
volatility
Climate change
Popular
unrest
... plus some additions for consideration
Global
Powerful South
Transnational crime
Regional configurations
Food and
water
Media
Urbanisation
Migration
Xenophobia
Inequality
Poverty
Indigenous people
Arab spring
Youth
HIV & AIDS
Exploitation
of women
Local
Socio-Cultural
Economic
Global financial
volatility
Climate change
Popular
unrest
... and some serious complications
Global
Powerful South
Transnational crime
Regional configurations
Macro/micro
Corruption
Food and
water
Public sector
Urbanisation
(in)-capacity
Arab
Migration
Inequality spring
Xenophobia
Poverty
Indigenous people
Media
Youth
HIV & AIDS
Exploitation
of women
Local
Socio-Cultural
Economic
Global financial
volatility
Climate change
Popular
unrest
Some reminders when tackling the issues
1. Many of the issues affect governance in the North as well as South
2. Appropriate mode of engagement for governance context?
Autocratic → Pre-democratic → Transitional → Democratic
Confront ational → Critical → Cautionary → Constructive
3. Reality check re civil society: flexible, ethical, committed; but also
programme-level, uneven quality, un-elected, maybe ephemeral
4. Importance of not bypassing fragile states
5. Advantages of appropriate “mainstreaming” via engagement near or
with government: scale, resources, sustainability, legitimacy
6. “Informal” institutions? Maybe need to be reckoned on for interim
implementation; but often patrimonial, unfair, unaccountable
7. Participatory implementation is desirable; also non-linear, timeconsuming, intricate, contested, and has unintended consequences