Transcript Climate Change Action Plan Development Process

The NH Climate Action Plan
The Transportation and Land Use
Connection
Strafford Region Planning Commission
May 28, 2009
Thomas S. Burack
Commissioner
NH Department of Environmental Services
Overview
• Climate Change in the Northeast
• New Hampshire Greenhouse Gas Emissions
• Climate Change Policy Task Force Action Plan
Recommendations
• Implementation
Earth’s “CO2-Blanket”
http://earth.rice.edu/mtpe/atmo/atmosphere/hot/anom_99/0Greenhou
se_Effect.html
Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide & Temperature Record
0
o
Carbon Dioxide (ppmv)
Temperature
300
-5
260
220
-10
CO2
180
400,000
Petit et al., 1999
300,000
200,000
100,000
Years before 2000 AD
0
Temperature ( C)
5
Historical and Future Carbon Dioxide Levels
CO2 Concentration in Ice Core Samples and
Projections for Next 100 Years
700
ProjectedProjected
(2100)
(2100)
650
600
Vostok Record
Vostok Record
Law Dome Record
Scenario
IPCC IS92a
Mauna
Loa Record
Law Dome
IPCC
IS92a Record
Scenario
Mauna Loa Record
500
450
400
Current (2009)
Current
(2001)
350
300
250
200
150
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
Years Before Present (BP 1950)
(B.P. -- 1950)
—
h aKeeling
l l e n gand
e sT. P.o Whorf;
f a Etheridge
C h a n g et.al.;
i n g Barnola
E a r t et.al.;
h
J u l y /2IGBP);
0 0 1 IPCC
Source: C.CD.
(PAGES
0
CO22 Concentration
Concentration (ppmv)
CO
(ppmv)
550
Indicators of Climate Change
in the Northeast
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
More precipitation
More frequent extreme precipitation
Winter warming
Decreased snowfall
Fewer days with snow on ground
Lake ice out dates earlier
Earlier spring runoff
Extended growing season
Sea-level rise
Hodgkins et al., 2002; 2003; Wolfe et al., 2005;
Wake and Markham, 2005; Wake et al., 2006
Presidentially Declared
Storm-Related Disasters
30
25
20
15
10
5
Year of Storm Event
J-08
J-06
J-04
J-02
J-00
J-98
J-96
J-94
J-92
J-90
J-88
J-86
0
Days per year over 90oF
Projections of Climate Change
in New Hampshire
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Projections
NH Greenhouse gas emissions [MMTCO2e/year]
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
1990
2000
2010
2020
Historical data from EPA
Business as Usual (BAU) estimates from CSNE
2030
2040
2050
Climate Change Policy Task Force
• Established through Executive Order 2007-3
December 6, 2007
– Establish quantified greenhouse reduction goals
– Recommend specific actions to achieve its
greenhouse gas reduction goals
Action Plan Development Process
• Climate Change Policy Task Force
–
Twenty-nine (29) members
• Working Groups (6)
–
125+ Participants
• Six (6) Official Public Listening Sessions
–
–
–
15 Locations
275 Participants
100 Commenters
• 300 Pages of Public Comments
–
e.g., mail, email, phone calls
Climate Change Policy Task Force
Recommended Goals
•
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions
20% below 1990 levels by 2025
•
Reduce greenhouse gas emissions
80% below 1990 levels by 2050
STATE ACTION COMPLEMENTS GLOBAL EFFORTS
Overarching Strategies
to Achieve Goals
1. Maximize energy efficiency in buildings and
transportation;
2. Increase renewable and low-emitting heat and
electric power sources;
3. Protect our natural resources to maintain the
amount of carbon sequestered;
4. Develop an integrated education, outreach and
workforce training program; and
5. Adapt to existing and potential climate
change impacts.
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Transportation Sector
Transportation CO2 Emissions
Fuels
Vehicles
Transportation Demand
(VMT)
1800
16
1600
14
1400
12
1200
10
1000
8
800
6
600
400
4
200
2
0
0
Year
Annual GHG Emissions (MMTCO2e/Yr)
NH Population (Thousand)
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Transportation Sector
NH Population
(Million)
Transportation
Emissions
[MMTCO2e/yr]
Current New Hampshire
Land Use Patterns
• Rapidly growing small towns
• Scattered development
• Dispersing population
• Increasing rate of land consumption
• Segregated land uses
• Lack of activity centers
• Poor accessibility
Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONS
Transportation Sector
Transportation CO2 Emissions
Fuels
Vehicles
Transportation Demand
(VMT)
Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONS
Transportation Sector
Transportation CO2 Emissions
Fuels
Vehicles
Transportation Demand
(VMT)
Land Use
Transportation
Options
Available
Price of Driving
and Options
Desired Land Use Conditions
• Open space preservation
• Higher density development
• Concentrated activity centers
• Mixed use development
• Pedestrian oriented design
• Increased density near transit
Recommended Land Use Actions
• Assess Greenhouse Gas Development Impact Fees
• Streamline Approvals for Low- Greenhouse Gas
Development Projects
• Develop Model Zoning to Support Bus/Rail Transit
• Develop Model Zoning for Higher-Density, MixedUse Development
• Continue/Expand Funding, Education, and Technical
Assistance to Municipalities
Key:
Encourage Appropriate Land-Use Patterns
that Reduce VMTs
Actions:
2009
Essential
2.C.1.a State GHG-Impact Fees
2.C.1.b Streamlined Permitting
for Low-GHG Development
2.C.2 Transit Zoning
Overlay/Model to Support
Bus/Rail Transit
2.C.3 Develop Model Zoning for
Higher-Density, Mixed-Use
Development
2.C.8 Expanded Tech Assist to
Municipalities
2012
2015
Begin Work on Action
Active Implementation
Action Continues
2020
2025
Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONS
Transportation Sector
Transportation CO2 Emissions
Fuels
Vehicles
Transportation Demand
(VMT)
Land Use
Transportation
Options
Available
Price of Driving
and Options
Desired Transit Outcomes
• Expand existing transit availability
• Increase transit options
• Increase connectivity and accessibility of
transportation system
Recommended Transit Actions
• Implement a Stable Funding Stream to
Support Public Transportation
• Improve Existing Local/Intra-Regional Transit
(Bus) Service
• Expand Local/Intra-Regional Transit (Bus)
Service
• Improve Existing Inter-City Bus Service
Recommended Transit Actions
• Maintain and Expand Freight Rail Service
• Maintain and Expand Passenger Rail Service
• Expand Park-and-Ride Infrastructure
• Expand and Improve Bicycle and Pedestrian
Infrastructure
Reduce VMTs through an Integrated
Multi-Modal Transportation System
Actions:
Essential
2.B.1.a Expand Local Bus
Service
2.B.1.b Improve Existing Local
Bus Service
2.B.2 a Maintain and Improve
Passenger Rail Service
2.B.2.b Maintain and Improve
Freight Rail Service
2.B.2.c Establish a Dedicated
Funding Source for Public
Transportation
2.B.2.e Expand Park-and-Ride
Infrastructure
2.B.2.h Improve Existing Intercity Bus Service
Supporting
2.B.1.c Expand/Improve
Bike/Ped Infrastructure
2009
2012
2015
Key:
Begin Work on Action
Active Implementation
Action Continues
2020
2025
Climate Action Plan
Emission Reduction Potential
NH Annual Greenhouse Gas Emissions
tons COper
metric
[Million
year]
Emissions
NH
year)
tons CO
metric
(million
2 equivalents
2 per
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
Mid-Term Goal
10
Future Reductions
5
Long-Term Goal
0
1990
2000
2010
2020
2030
2040
2050
Greenhouse Gas Emission REDUCTIONS
Transportation Sector
Transportation CO2 Emissions
Fuels
Vehicles
Transportation Demand
(VMT)
Land Use
Transportation
Options
Available
Price of Driving
and Options
Addressing Climate Change Impacts
Newmarket, NH
May 2006
Fosters Daily Democrat photos
Desired Adaptation Outcomes
• Facilitate early responses/avoided impacts
• Enhance communities’ resistance to change
• Promote resilient communities
Moving Forward
• NH Climate and Energy Collaborative
– Six members from the business community.
– Six members from the public sector.
– Six members from the education and nonprofit sectors.
• Implementing Partners
– “Boots on the Ground”
Contacts
Thomas S. Burack
Commissioner
NH Dept. of Environmental Services
[email protected]
(603) 271-2958