The Economic Impact of a Ban on Imports of Air freighted

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Transcript The Economic Impact of a Ban on Imports of Air freighted

The economic impact of a ban
on imports of air freighted
organic products to the UK
Simon Bolwig
Danish Institute for International Studies
Based on study commissioned to DIIS by the
International Trade Centre, Geneva, carried out by
P. Gibbon, S. Bolwig, L. Riisgaard and N. Grunth
(DIIS Working Paper 2007/23)
Emergence of ‘climate change’
standards in agro-food sector
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UK retailer initiatives to reduce CO2 emissions
(‘carbon footprint’)
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Reduce energy use
CO2 labelling of products
Reduce amount of food imported by air
Label air-freighted foods as 'flown‘
Initiatives by private organic standard setting
bodies in the EU (my focus today)
 Emerging focus is on CO2 emissions from food
transportation - especially air freight
Private organic standards important
for EU market access
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Organic movement influences the EU regulation
of organic production and trade
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Private organic standards in excess of EU
regulatory requirements often dominate – e.g.
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UK – Soil Association: 70% of operators
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Germany – Naturland & Bioland: 45%
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Sweden – KRAV: 100%
Private standards de facto govern conditions for
accessing organic food markets in the EU
Organic standards and climate
change: two main approaches
1)
Include specific CC standards within organic
standards

Broad standards on CC (Bioland)
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Focus on a single ‘climate killer’
• Soil Association and Bio-Suisse: air freight
2)
Develop independent, additional CC standards
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KRAV and Swedish Farmers’ Federation: both
organic and conventional products
The UK Soil Association proposal
to ban air-freight of organic imports
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Green paper & public consultation in 2007
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Critiques from within UK and developing countr.
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One-sided focus on air freight as the CO2 source
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Protectionist of UK and other EU farmers
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Skewed impact on developing countries
Options for importers in case of a ban?
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Shift from the SA to the EU standard or stop importing
organic products flown by air
UK organic fresh produce market
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Large, diversified, profitable and growing
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More diversified and value added products
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More continuous supply (multi-seasonal)
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High premia and high import growth
Competitive and efficient
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5–6 supermarket chains dominate organic retail
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15–20 large importers/wholesalers supply retailers
Fresh organic produce imported by
air to the UK (2006)
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1.9% of all organic imports (6278 tons)
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Beans & peas, vegetables, exotic & temperate fruits
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8.1% of organic fresh produce retail value
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Virtually no sea freight alternatives in medium term
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A ban would immediately reduce retail sales in the
UK by ₤42.6 million, indirectly affect demand for
other organic products and generally slow growth
in the sub-sector
Likely impacts of a ban in
developing countries
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60 exporters worldwide: de-certify or close the
business!
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Minimum 21,500 livelihoods compromised
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Specialized organic firms will suffer most
Women, youth and smallholders hardest hit
Biggest impact in LI and LMI countries
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Account for 79% of all air freighted organic imports
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Egypt, Kenya, Morocco, Zambia, …, Ghana, …
LI countries most dependent on air freight
So what did the SA decide?
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Air freight is allowed on condition of additional
certification to Fair Trade or Ethical Trade ‘to
ensure that food is only air freighted if it delivers
genuine development benefits’
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Importers must ‘plan for reducing any remaining
dependence on air freight’
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SA will ‘consider implementing carbon labeling
for all organic goods …’ when feasible
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Standard in effect from January 2009
Broader issues
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Private climate change standards can have
significant effects on exporters, producers and
workers in developing countries
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Loss of market access
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Loss of price premia (if linked to organic or FT)
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More demanding and costly standards compliance
Broader issues (2)
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Northern NGOs and movements were key actors
in developing and promoting the ‘air freight’
standard – a general pattern for ‘sustainability
standards’
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Developing countries had little or no influence on
standard setting in this case and did not raise
their voice (except for Kenyan-based exporters)
Lessons for developing countries
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Strengthen national industry organizations
(improve ability to defend business interests)
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Get a voice in the end markets where standard
setting takes place
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Dialogue with EU private standard setters and the
IFOAM EU group
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Lobbying work in EU institutions
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Mobilization of sympathetic international organizations
Lessons for developing countries (2)
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Strengthen capacity to follow developments and
potential threats in international standards
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Accept the fact that it may be necessary to have
‘ORGANIC +’ standards in order to maintain /
maximise the benefits of market access