Transcript Climate Change Presentation

January ‘06
Advice to Minister
1
About this Presentation
• Understanding Climate Change
• Climate Change Action Plan Elements
• Climate Change Action Plan Target
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
2
Why a Climate Change Action Plan?
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•
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•
Climate Change is a reality
Global & local issue
Environmental, Social & Economic
No quick fix
No silver bullet
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
3
Who is Affected by Climate Change?
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•
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Farmers
Fishers
Foresters
New Brunswickers
Visitors
Commerce
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
4
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
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New Brunswick Greenhouse Gas Emissions
(2004)
Nitrous oxide
3%
Methane
6%
Others
Carbon dioxide
91%
January ‘06
Carbon dioxide
Advice to Minister 91%
6
Climate Observations in NB
• Temperature -
Up 0.70 C
• Snow pack –
Down 25% (N) & 50% (S)
• Sea level rise –
Up 30 cm
• Extreme storm events –
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
5 X as frequent
8
Why a Climate Change Action Plan?
• A plan for New Brunswick
• What we can do
• Goals
•
•
•
•
January ‘06
Contribute to the global effort (Kyoto)
Help achieve NEG/ECP targets
New Brunswick’s share
Local response
Advice to Minister
9
NB’s Climate Change Action Plan
• Emission reduction
• Adaptation,
• Community engagement
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
10
NB’s Climate Change Action Plan
• Built by departments’ & agencies’
contributions
• Stakeholder consultation
• Charter for Change & Self Sufficiency Goal
• Many of the actions already endorsed by
other jurisdictions
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
11
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.0
22.0
20.0
16.1
15.0
Actual
10.0
1990
2004
Year
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB
Advice
to Minister
Departments of Energy & Environment
13
NB Emission Sources
• Total of 22 Mt. in 2004
• 13 Mt. From Industry
• NB Power 8.0 Mt.
• Refinery 3.3 Mt.
• Pulp and Paper 0.6 Mt.
• Other 1.1 Mt.
• 6 Mt. From Transportation
• 3 Mt. Other Sources
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
14
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
20.0
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
2004
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
16
NB’s Climate Change Action Plan
• Emission reduction
• Adaptation
• Community engagement
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
17
NB’s Climate Change Action Plan
Emission reduction
•
•
•
•
•
Renewable Energy & Efficiency
Transportation
Waste Management
Industrial Sources
Other
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
18
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy & Efficiency (2.2)
20.0
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
20
Renewable Energy & Efficiency
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•
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Efficiency NB programs
400 Mw of wind energy
Biomass opportunities
Tidal power opportunities
Building & equipment stds.
Off electricity strategies
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
21
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
20.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
23
Transportation
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•
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Intelligent Transportation System
Provincial Public Transportation Strategy
Alternative Fuels
Trucking industry partnerships
Fuel efficient vehicles
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
24
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
26
Waste Management
• Methane capture
• Composting
• Air conditioning replacement gases
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
27
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emmissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
Industrial Sources (0.7)
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
29
Industrial Sources
• Best-available technology standards for new
projects
• Less carbon-intensive energy options
• NB Innovation Foundation – funded
research
• GHG offset credits
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
30
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
Industrial Sources (0.7)
Other* (0.2)
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
Other* Government
Leading by
Example /
Partnership &
Communications
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
32
Other
• Government Leading
by Example
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•
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•
•
• Partnerships with
Communities
Procurement
Transportation
Buildings
Energy management
Sharing best practices
January ‘06
• Establish dialogue
• Remove barriers to
green municipal
actions.
Advice to Minister
33
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
17.7
Industrial Sources (0.7)
Other* (0.2)
Other* Government
Leading by
Example /
Partnership &
Communications
16.1
15.0
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
35
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
Industrial Sources (0.7)
17.7
16.1
15.0
Federal Leadership & Support (1.6)
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
Other* (0.2)
Other* Government
Leading by
Example /
Partnership &
Communications
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
37
Federal Framework
• 18% emission intensity reduction in 2010
• 2% a year after that
Through:
• Credit for early actions
• On site improvements
• Technology Fund investment credits
• Other credit trading
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
38
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
17.7
16.1
15.0
Federal Leadership & Support (1.6)
(1990) 16.1
14.5
(NEG/ECP)
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
Industrial Sources (0.7)
Other* (0.2)
Other* Government
Leading by
Example /
Partnership &
Communications
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
40
NB’s Climate Change Action Plan
• Emission reduction
• Adaptation
• Community engagement
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
41
Adapting to Climate Change
• Already impacting communities &
commerce
•
•
•
•
•
Seasonal uncertainties
Water concerns
Habitat and ecosystem changes
Health & public safety
Resource industry sectors impacted
• The “do nothing” approach will result in
greater cost, vulnerability and risk
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
42
Actions to Adapt
• Provincial risk assessment to identify
vulnerabilities and priority actions
• “Climate proof” development decisions
• Strengthen measures to protect coastal
areas
• Adaptive management of natural
resources
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
43
NB’s Climate Change Action Plan
• Emission reduction
• Adaptation
• Community engagement
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
44
Community Engagement
• Education / Awareness
• Shared responsibility addressed by all
levels of government
• Support the development of communitybased engagement
• Encourage beneficial individual actions
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
45
Implementation
• Coordination through Climate Change
Secretariat
• Responsibility rests with individual depts.
• Regulatory/Policy changes
• Variable implementation timelines
• Must begin now in order to realize reductions
in 2012
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
46
Financial Considerations
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•
•
•
Generation of economic opportunities
Cost to consumers in short term
Cost savings to consumers in near term
ecoTrust funding/other federal “Eco” $
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
47
Summary
•
•
•
•
•
7.1 Mt. reduction in 2012
Lays groundwork for 2020
Maintain level playing field for industry
“Climate proof” development decisions
Engagement of communities and New
Brunswickers
January ‘06
Advice to Minister
48
Projected Greenhouse Gas Emissions
Scenarios in New Brunswick
CO2 Equivalent (Megatonnes)
30.0
25.3
25.0
23.2
22.0
Renewable Energy
& Efficiency (2.2)
Transportation (1.2)
20.0
Waste Management (1.2)
17.7
16.1
15.0
Federal Leadership & Support (1.6)
(1990) 16.1
14.5
(NEG/ECP)
Estimated
Actual
10.0
1990
Industrial Sources (0.7)
Other* (0.2)
Other* Government
Leading by
Example /
Partnership &
Communications
2004 ’07
AdviceYear
to Minister
2012
January ‘06 References – National Inventory Report: 1990-2004/NB Departments of Energy & Environment
2020
50