Transcript Peru - Unfccc

UNFCCC WORKSHOP ON
MITIGATION ASSESSMENTS OF THE
CGE ON NATIONAL
COMMUNICATIONS
MITIGATION ASSESMENTS:
THE CASE OF PERU
Francisco Avendaño Ugaz
National Environmental Council - CONAM
Seoul, 26/09/2005
CURRENTLY CLIMATE CHANGE ISSUES ARE DIVORCED
FROM ENERGY AND LAND USE PLANNING.
THE ENERGY SECTOR HAS MORE POLITICAL WEIGHT SO
EFFECTIVE MITIGATION ASSESMENT AND ITS APLICATION
ON POLICY MAKING NEED TO WORK THEIR WAY IN THE
POLITICAL AGENDA..
¿HOW DO WE ENVISION THIS TASK?....THE CASE OF
THE ENERGY SECTOR
ENERGY SECURITY
ENERGY PLANNING
COVERAGE
ENERGY SUPPLY
ECONOMIC
GROWTH
ENERGY DEMAND
ENERGY PLANNING
CLIMATE CHANGE
+
IMPACTS
CLIMATE CHANGE
SECURITY
ENERGY PLANNING
COVERAGE
ENERGY SUPPLY
FUTURE COMPROMISES??
CRECIMIENTO
DEMANDA ENERGÉTICA
CUSTOMER AND DECISION MAKERS
AWARENESS??
CLIMATE CHANGE
CLIMATE CHANGE FACTORS TO TAKE INTO ACCOUNT
WITHIN THE ENERGY PLANNING PROCESS
FACTORS
TODAY
POST 2012
IMPACTS
Tropical glaciers retreat affect reliable hydroelectricity
production.
Climate related phenomena affect generation and
electricity transport.
FUTURE COMPROMISES
NA
Depending on post Kyoto
agreements, commercial
treaties (FTA, WTO, ..), etc.
Multilateral FI`s reduction
cuotas???
CUSTOMER AND
DECISION MAKERS
AWARENESS
Poor
It´s upto us...possible
demand of electricity tariffs
as a function of their carbon
intensity. Demand of EE
measures
BUT, WHAT ABOUT OUR EMISSIONS?...
COORDINATION
ENERGY
INDUST. PROC.
SOLVENTS
AGRICULTURE
LULUCF
WASTE
EMISIONES DE CO2 EQUIVALENTE
60,000
50,000
Gg
40,000
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
Consumo de
Combustible
Procesos Ind
1994
Agricultura
2000
Uso de Suelo y
Cambio de Uso
Desechos
EMISIONES NACIONALES DE CO2 EQUIVALENTE
Año 2000
Emisiones Totales = 119 242 Gg
6%
21%
7%
47%
19%
Consumo de combustible
Procesos Industriales
Agricultura
Uso de suelo y Cambio de Uso de Suelo
Desechos
EMISIONES NACIONALES DE CO2 EQUIVALENTE
Año 1994
Emisiones Totales = 98 816 Gg
3%
22%
42%
10%
23%
Consumo de combustible
Procesos Industriales
Agricultura
Uso de suelo y Cambio de Uso de Suelo
Desechos
Final Remarks
• Currently, no organized planning process in Peru as the
government have retreated from the energy business.
However, there is social pressure to regulate the market
and give country directions.
• We aim to include CC into the energy and land use
planning process.
• Peru needs an average of 50 MW of new electricity per
each annual GDP point increase. Where this is going to
come from?..mitigation assessment shall be part of it.
THANKS!!
Francisco Avendano, [email protected]