Transcript Scenario planning is well suited to the task of dealing with

A Rough Overview of the Japan Conference by Larry Philbrook
Shared with ICA Europe meeting Sept 2009
Not for distribution
World Café 10 Topic Arenas
Site visits – Nightly Cultural Events
10 topics
1. Effective Governance and Protection of
Human Rights
2. Persistence of Poverty
3. Environmental Degradation and Climate
Change
4. Sustainable Agriculture and Livelihoods
5. Violent Conflict and Social Disintegration
6. Access to Healthcare and Preventing the
Spread of Disease
7. Literacy and Education
8. Consumerism and Over-Consumption
9. Disconnectedness and Barriers to
Engagement
10. Private Sector Collaboration
Open
Spac
e
World
Cafe
Current
Reality
Wave
Analysis
Site Visits – communities, schools,
projects, companies
TRENDS BUILDING
TOWARD THE FUTURE
Connections across borders and
to very local (even videoing rights
violations)
Learning to be politically savvy
New energy, voice around
Obama phenomenon
Exponential increases of
environmental organizations –
new energy and initiative
Mental image of roles &
responsibilities shifting to include
gender/ Race/ Culture
Review market economy
Lost culture to revive – Aboriginal,
Ainu, Maori, Native American
Internet power – You tube, Face
book – Mr. Obama has changed it
SWELL
More and more seniors are working in many areas
Peru training local people to lead local teams in disaster situations
The law that prohibits age limits from being carried in advertisement has been
established
Against war – hope for no more
Gender equality is getting more attention
Barriers for handicapped people are decreasing
Participatory democracy (Obama Campaign)
There are more and more opportunities for women to express their opinion
HIV/AIDS work with Massai in Kenya
Expanding networks focused on issues collaboration
New Zealand Maori cultural recovery
Participation of youth in decision making
Facilitation teams internally promoting broad based governance
Apology by Canadian government to the indigenous people of Canada
Networking through internet and partnerships in civil society
“Sorry” ceremony by Australian government to the Aboriginal people
Women elected in high offices
EMERGING
Finger printing for foreigners to come to Japan
Hope for no discrimination against people forever
Young people struggle with tough working conditions
Financial crash is forcing to review the financial system
with more inputs from developing countries
The information available to the global community now/
People started to respond in such cases as landmines
and environment degradation
Immediate local person news
How to improve employment conditions are discussed
among people concerned
Face book and You tube
New generation of western political leaders emerging
ex: Kevin Rudd, Obama
Massive Philanthropy (Bill Gates) shifts rights and
needs support options
Signing of climate change accords seen as testing
human rights of all people
Opening space for democracy
UNDERTOW
Lost cultures continuing to be destroyed
(TV/ culture selling)
Global wars
Disparity between the rich and the poor
getting bigger and bigger
Terrorism as protest mode
Pre-emptive strikes
Anti Obama “White Rights”
Multi generational poverty
Governance
WAVE ANALYSIS
CREST
Unregulated market
Safety of food – threatening the lives ourselves
and forces us to review market
Access to global markets
Freedom of expression
ODA has to be reviewed with more inputs from
local grassroots and NGO’s
Positive not to have a government of national
unity
Power over small countries
TRENDS HOLDING US BACK
Climate volatility resulting in more
hunger, refugees, and drought
Always new more refined challenges
support hopelessness of change
Abuse of internet
No system to put back money in the
system the rich and poor gap
Terrorism
No freedom of expression
Moving from more developed to
underdeveloped (poor governance)
TROUGH
No freedom of association
Discrimination between men and women
China Taiwan Connection – Political – Economic –
Social
Paternalistic rights programs (Not systemic support)
Limited freedom of travel due to visa restrictions
Deportation of illegal immigrants due to political /
Economic situation
Practical Vision
Environmental Degradation and Climate Change
What do you want to see happen in the future?
Local in 5 years we want…
In order to reduce
CO2 everybody
should use hybrid
cars.
Wind power is good
Wind power
Cheaper eco friendly electric
appliances
Low-priced hybrid car
Development
of Public
Transport
Public transport in
rural area
Public transport in
cities
Developing public
and private
transport
Clean Environment
Urban planning (avoid
environmental degradation)
More trees in the city
Less yellow dust in spring
Clean sea water flows
between Malaysia,
Singapore, Indonesia
No sand storm grassland
Green & clean city
Action and Mind
for Environmental
Problems
Public awareness
regarding environment
Change our mind about
environmental problem
All love and work a
positive action towards
environment
Sustainable use
of resources
Reduce trash
Sustainable use of
resources
Reduce garbage
Production linked to
recycling
Financial
aid for local
Global in 20 years we want …
To make the
world safer
foR all living
beings
Feel free to
breathe in the
street
We can
control rain
balance in the
world
World with no
CO2
Sufficient
places for
polar bears
To have
safe and
enough
access to
pure
drinking
water
To see
environmen
tal
managemen
t with
LEAST
pollution
Change sea
water into
clean water
Pure drinking
water & fresh
air
Safe access
to clear water
Managed and
sustainable
forest
No kind of
pollution in a
world
Plants on
every
buildings walls
Recover
nature
To live
together
Humans
and Earth
Sustainable
society
More
sustainable
natural energy
sources
Co-existence
between
human and
environment
Cheap
technology
to keep
environmen
t clean for
every body
Affordable
high
technology
Clean energy
(low cost and
high quality)
Develop and
affordable,
ubiquitous,
secure
cyberspace
Eco friendly
farms
Farming
without
chemicals
Organic
agriculture
Global rules
and
cooperation
Government
conclude
official
agreement of
reducing
greenhouse
gas with
companies
Common law
to keep the
earth clean
No hunger
No war
Family
planning
(reduce
population
growth)
No global
conference on
environmental
& climate
change
Contradictions - PERSISTENCE OF POVERTY
Profit
Inadequate
social
accountability &
singular
obsession with
profit








Wrong business
model
Individualism
Losing farms to
development & lack
of workers
Culture of profit
before people
A few owners
monopolize land &
make purchase
expensive
Profit is only
measure of
business success,
missing value-base
or serving of
societal interests
“obsession with
profit”
“lack of values &
accountability”
Short Term
Inadequate
vision &
preparation for
the future








Unavailability of
sustainable
technology
Still training for the
old economy
Education designed
for good soldiers,
worker, wife
Urgency crisis
overrides strategic
planning
Live for the day
mindset
Slowness to keep
up with the
changing world
Rapid rate of
change
Paradigm shifts
used to take
centuries now takes
decades
Resources
Developed
Health
countries control
Governance
Health care seen
the resources
Presence of
as privilege not a
that come from
corrupt practices
right
developing
countries





Large waste of food
Unequal access to
resources
Developed
countries consume
too much resources
Unfair resource
allocation
Lack of food
processing
factories




Lack of affordable
HIV medicine
Medicine focus of
illness vs wellness
Health care
treated to much
like a business
Privilege vs right



Use of food as
weapon
Corruption in gov’t
and society
Corrupt systems
Sustainable Agriculture and Livelihoods
Contradictions: What is in the Way of Achieving our Vision?
Agricultural
Policies Still
Favor
Middleman
Low
Productivit
y Due to
Overuse
and Nonmaintenance of
Land
Farmers
Caught
Between
Short- team
Needs &
Longer Term
Environmental
Necessities
High level
corruption in
government
Inconsistency of
policy
Different Vision
between rural
area and
government
Distribution
system which
makes no profit
for farmers
(middleman get
more profit
High cost to
distribution
Disadvantageous
conditions to
cultivate in
mountain area
High price of
forage and
fertilizer
Soil
degradation
Nonproductive
land (low)
Manpower,
hardworking
War
Desert
encroachment
Vulnerabilit
y of farmers
due to
variation of
climatic
patterns
Inadequate
water supply
Farmers
believe
(misunderstand
) that organic
fertilizer works
too slowly.
Farmers don’t
want to change
their way.
(conservative)
Aging farmers
and decrease of
number of
successors
Low evaluation
to organic
vegetable
High price of
organic fertilizer
Cheap
chemical
fertilizer
Competitivene
ss Barrs
Sharing of
Technology
Between
Devel-oped &
Undevel-oped
Countries
Low
productivity,
low price, no
storage
facilities
Technology is
closed (in a
company or in a
country
Less
technology in
3re world
countries
affected the
maximum
outputs
expected
No knowledge
on how to make
and how to use
Non-exposure
to improved
farming
techniques
Govt. is
Insensitive to
Farmers Due to
Focus on Industralization/Cann
ot Assure
Consumers that
Food is Safe
Uncertain Loan
Payment &
Uncertain
Farmers’ Yield
Government
ignore farmers’
needs
Promises without
action by
government
Infrastructure of
village was low
due to area,
economy of
inbalance
Fragment of
human resource
development for
technical
assistance not
integrated
Not producersoriented policy
High interest
notes from
loaning banks
thus less interest
in farmers
High price of
agricultural
materials
Price drop of
rice
STREAM 6: ACCESS TO HEALTHCARE AND PREVENTING THE SPREAD
OF DISEASE
STRATEGIC DIRECTIONS
ARENA
INADEQUATE KNOWLEDGE OF NEED FOR AND USE
OF APPROPRIATE AVAILABLE SANITATION
TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGI
C
DIRCTION
S
5 years later 80% of the family which doesn’t have
a toilet can find the public toilet in their villages.
The government has introduced the class to
educate children having a good habit of sanitation.
And then these children can tell their parents
what is right and what is wrong. It can save a huge
number of people from contaminated
underground water.
ACTIONS
TO MOVE
TO
VISION
ARENA
UNAFFORDABLE AND UNAVAILABLE HEALTH
INSURANCE AND HEALTH CARE PAYMENTS
STRATEGI
C
DIRCTION
S
Increase funding and efficiency of public health
insurance system
Goal is to provide basic medical care to general
public. Healthcare funding should be declared a
priority. Each country should use its allocated
budget efficiently.
It’s important because a healthy public is
productive population. The private insurance is
only affordable to a small high income group. The
majority of population should be covered by a
government insurance policy – universal insurance
or health for all. The population may be asked to
subsidize the universal insurance by paying a small
monetary figure for both outpatient and inpatient
sewias prouded. This is the concept of cost sharing
to avoid abuse of “so called free medical services”.
ACTIONS
TO MOVE
TO
VISION
Cost sharing not to go beyond 10% of total cost
Get private insurance to contribute a % of
income to national insurance.
Increase funding for health
Registration by parliament
Unlocking
Human
Potential
16-21/11/08
Education and Literacy-Strategic Directions
Cross Cultural
Learning
Raise Status of
the teaching
profession
Education Option
for Non-literate
Adults
Providing Multiple
Streams of Education
Innovative
Funding
Channels
Raise the standing
of women and
girls in education
Lower Cost
Systems of
Education
Cross cultural pen
pal
Raise teacher
Image (TV
program on
inspiring
teachers)
Oral education
Develop and use
innovative teaching
techniques (body and
hand)
Local taxes
collected for
schools
Encourage female
teachers
Teaching
Computer
lady
Organize
international
exchange
Raise the
standing of
teachers as
professionals
Oral education to
parents (promote
girls education)
Values, respect,
flexibility, selfenhancement
Lobby for
more
government
spending on
education
Separate female
teachers and
female classrooms
Schools without
walls, Education
without
boundaries
1,000,000 village
school exchanges
(school to school)
Good salary and
improved
wortking
conditions
Promote oral
literacy
Involve corporations in
Edu-mission, funding and
involvement (PPP, Public
Private Partnerships)
Involve
corporation
in
educational
mission
Raise the profile of
oral component of
education
Parents Handbook that
states the importance of
education
Village level groupings of
small children
Continuous Teacher
development system
Mobile Phone input to
school websites
Much free time + many
practices = interested
study
Open Content
Repositorie
s
OPEN SPACE to Actions