Transcript Southeast Asia - watershed areas - START

AN INTEGRATED ASSESSENT OF IMPACTS,
ADAPTATION AND VULNERABILITY IN
WATERSHED AREAS AND COMMUNITIES
IN SOUTHEAST ASIA
Juan M. Pulhin
Ekawati S. Wahyuni
Objectives of the
Presentation
To briefly discuss:
 Overview of the research
project
 Analytical and methodological
gaps before the workshop
 Proposed analytical and
methodological tools to
address gaps and influence
decision makers being
targeted by the project
Overview
Watersheds and their
importance in the Philippines
 critical to economic
development and environmental
protection
 More than 70% of the total land
area lies within watersheds
 421 principal river basins, 18 of
which are major basins with
drainage areas of more than
140,000 ha
 > 1.5 M ha of agricultural lands derive
irrigation water from watersheds
 Hydropower major energy source
 18-20M people living in uplands
Project objectives
 Assess the impacts of climate change to water
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resources, forest ecosystems, and social
systems of the watersheds;
Conduct integrated vulnerability assessment of
natural and social systems in the watershed
areas;
Develop adaptation strategies for natural water
resources, forests ecosystems and social
systems;
Promote stakeholder participation in the
research process;
Contribute to peer reviewed literature; and
Help build capacity of local scientists to conduct
integrated assessment studies.
Research Methods
 Study will focus on a watershed each in
the Philippines (Pantabangan
watershed) and Indonesia (Tulang
Bawang Watershed).
 Stakeholders will be involved at various
steps of the research process
 Local communities will also be able to
participate in impact assessment and
adaptation planning
General Conceptual framework of the study (Original)
GMC Climate
Scenario
National Climate
Scenario
Land use and cover
Change in the
Watershed
Adaptation
Assessment
Vulnerability
Assessment
Impacts on water,
forests and
communities
Research Framework at the Watershed Level
Climate change
scenario
Forest/carbon
budget
Local
communities
Water
Budget
Land use and land
cover change
THE WATERSHED SYSTEM
Biophysical
factors
Socio-economic
political factors
Expected Outcomes
 results will be useful to national policy
makers as well as watershed planners in
SE Asian countries
 enable local communities in watershed
areas to adapt to climate change
ANALYTICAL AND
METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
BEFORE THE WORKSHOP
 Balancing “top-down” with “bottom-up”
analysis to make assessment more
robust
 Engaging the stakeholders’ participation
in the research process
 Promoting the use of the research
outputs by decision makers
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND
METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Balancing top-down with bottom-up
approach
 Revised research framework to incorporate
current coping strategies and vulnerability
assessment
 Methods: Assessment of current vulnerability and
adaptation strategies of relevant stakeholders
 Tools: Stakeholder/Institutional Analysis, PRA
techniques (time lines, focus group discussions,
seasonal calendar, wealth ranking, in-depth
interviews)
General Conceptual framework of the study (Revised)
GMC Climate
Scenario
National Climate
Scenario
Land use and cover
Change in the
Watershed
Climate
Variability/
Extremes and
Current Coping
Mechanisms
Current Vulnerability
Assessment
Future
Vulnerability
Assessment
Future Adaptation
Assessment
Impacts on water,
forests and
communities
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND
METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Engaging the stakeholders’ participation in
the research process
 Method: Multi-spatial, Multi-level Stakeholder
Analysis/Involvement
 from on-site and downstream communities and
institutions to the regional and national agencies/groups,
to the policy makers at the various stages of the research
process (Scenario building, present and future
vulnerability and adaptation assessment/planning)
 Tools: Various tools on SA and Participation,
Multisectoral consultation, Facilitation
Methods
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND
METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Promoting the use of research outputs by
decision makers
 Wide range of decision makers involved in the
project: from the de facto resource users to the
policy makers
 Challenge: build awareness and interest on climate
change in different sectors in the process of
conducting the research
 Approach: Move from a “laboratory-oriented” to a
more stakeholder-oriented”, advocacy type of
research
ADDRESSING ANALYTICAL AND
METHODOLOGICAL GAPS
Promoting the use of research outputs by decision
makers
 Tools: Various tools on SA and Participation,
Multi-sectoral consultation, IEC tools
 Specifics (other than those mentioned already):
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Development of IEC materials such as posters, website, etc.
Presentation of project concepts/outputs in local and national
seminars/for a/symposia, etc.
Incorporation of climate change topics in existing university
courses or development of new courses and student
researches
Use of spatial analysis (GIS) to better communicate research
results
Bringing research results in the halls of the Congress.
CONCLUSION
 Both the research process and outputs are
important to influence decision makers
 If stakeholders are aware and involved, the
likelihood that they will use the research
outputs/results increases
 In climate change assessment, the
challenge is to put more human dimension
and local perspectives into the modeler’s
equation
Thank you!