Transcript Presentation

REPUBLIC OF ZAMBIA
ECOSYSTEM–BASED ADAPTATION
AND CLIMATE RESILIENCE
Experiences with M&E in the Context of
PPCR in Zambia
DRAFT
David C. Kaluba
National Coordinator PPCR and Principal Economist
Government of the Republic of Zambia
6th June 2013
Zambia Strategic Programme for Climate Resilience
(SPCR) – Overview
 Pilot Programme for Climate
Resilience (PPCR) – integral
part of Zambia’s effort to
respond to climate change
 Phase I (2010-2013) supports:
 mainstreaming, capacity building
and information sharing at
national level
 Preparing for Phase II (design
outlined in SPCR), endorsed in
June 2011
Zambia SPCR – Overview
 Phase II (2013-2019) supports:
 Three highly complementary
PPCR Projects, administered by
IBRD, AfBD and IFC, as well
an NDF-funded project
 Government to move from
capacity building to climate
resilience priorities
 Overall Program Coordination
Zambia SPCR - Overview
Map Showing the Sub Basins of the Zambezi Basin
Three PPCR Projects
Barotse
Sub-Basin
Kafue
Sub-Basin
Chiengi
Kap uta
Mp ulungu
Mb ala
Nch eleng e
 AfDB PPCR project – Kafue Subbasin
Mp orokoso
Mu ngwi
Mansa
Chilubi
Chinsali
Chama
Chi li labom bwe
Samfya
Chi ngol a
Mileng e
Mp ika
Mwinilung a
Mufuli ra
Solwezi
 IBRD PPCR project – Barotse Subbasin
Iso ka
Kasama
Luwingu
Mwense
S UB B A
Nakon de
Kawambwa
Lundazi
Ndo la
Lufwanyama
Luanshya
Masaiti
Chavu ma
Kab ompo
Mu fumb we
Serenje
Kasempa
Mamb we
Mp ongwe
Chipata
Zambezi
Petauke
Kap iri Mposh i
Lukulu
Mkush i
Katete
Chadiza
Kab we
Nyimb a
Kalabo
Chibomb o
Kao ma
 IFC PPCR Project – private sector
support: index-weather insurance,
climate information, micro credit, etc
Mu mbwa
Lusaka
Mo ngu
It ezhi-tezh i
Nam wala
Senang a
Siavonga
Shang 'o mbo
Data S
Zambe
Mazabuka
Mo nze
Choma
Sesheke
Chong we
Luangwa
Kafue
Gwem be
Deskto
by VAM
Kazung ula
Kalo mo
Sinazongwe
Livin gston e
Due to high vulnerability, the Barotse and Kafue Sub-Basins of the Zambezi were chosen as focal
areas for SPCR interventions. They comprise 24 districts, and a potential population of 3.8 million
Oversight and Institutional Arrangements
INTER-MINISTERIAL NATIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE
SECRETARIAT
National Coordination of
Climate Change and Disaster
Risk Management
• Implementation by line ministries
Coordination of PPCR M&E
• Government-led channel for
coordination with MDBs and
external Partners
Core Team from Key Sectoral
Ministries
• Complemented by contracted
staff
Zambia’s Results Framework
Country
Transformative
Impact
10 - 15 years
A Prosperous Climate Resilient Economy
Strengthened climate
Strengthened
resilient infrastructure
structure, strategic
Country
planning, coordination and
Catalytic
Strengthened adaptive
and livelihoods of
vulnerable farmers and
policies and pilot
rural communities
implementation
institutional
awareness for climate
resilience
Climate Change mainstreamed in the most economically important and vulnerable sectors of
Replication
5 -15 yrs
Program
the economy
Outcomes
and Impacts
2 -7 Years
1. Participatory
2. Climate Resilient
Adaptation
Infrastructure
3. Strategic Programme
Support
SPCR
3.2 Strengthened Climate
1 -7
Information
3.1 Institutional Support to
Zambia’s Climate Change
3.3 Private Sector Support
Program
Years
Five Core Indicators
National Level
Mainstreaming
• Changes in budget allocations to climate-smart
programs in national budget
Local Adaptive
Capacity
• Vulnerable districts, wards and communities use
improved tools, information and instruments to
respond to climate change and variability
Target Beneficiaries
Institutional
Framework
Climate Responsive
Investment
• Number of beneficiaries supported directly by the
project to adapt to the effects of climate change
• Evidence of strengthened Government capacity
and coordination mechanism to mainstream
climate resilience
• Climate responsive financial instruments
developed and tested
Other Indicators –Baroste Sub-basin Project
• Change in area of
canals with
optimal average
flows
• Changes in area
with sustainable
access to reliable
canal water
Degree of
integration of
climate resilience
in local area
planning
• Number of subgrants approved
and completed
• Incremental labor
generated
through cash-forworks
Strengthened
institutional and
financial
mechanisms to
ensure climate
resilience
Number of
relevant climate
information
products/services
made available
for decision
making at various
levels
Sample Results Framework and Monitoring -Baroste Sub-basin Project
PDO Level Results
Indicators*
Core
Project Development Objective (PDO): To strengthen Zambia's institutional framework for climate resilience and improve the adaptive capacity of vulnerable
communities in the Barostse sub-basin
Data
Source/
Methodol
ogy
Responsibil
i-ty for
Data
Collection
Annual
Yellow
Book
(budget
allocations)
by Ministry
and program
ZCCN and
MoF
Baseline,
Mid-Term,
SubProject
Approval
and EOP
Survey of
Beneficiarie
s
Baseline,
Midterm and
EOP –
Independent
Evaluation
Sub-Project
Approval:
M&E Team
Annual
Technical
Survey
Assessment
Study and
M&E Team
Cumulative Target Values**
Baseline
Unit of Measure
Indicator One (National Level
Mainstreaming)
Changes in budget allocations to
climate-smart programs in
national budget1
Allocations to climate resilient
programmes increased by 25%
in real terms in vulnerable
sectors by EOP (agriculture,
environment, natural resources,
energy, water, infrastructure,
health and DRM) from 20072012 baseline
Indicator Two: (Local Adaptive
Capacity)
Vulnerable districts, wards and
communities use improved tools,
information and instruments to
respond to climate change and
variability
% of targeted councils, wards
and community groups assessed
as having developed
incremental decision making
capacity and applied climate
information to adapt to longerterm climate change and
variability 3
Indicator Three: (Canal
Operation in Floodplain)
Change in area of canals with
optimal average flows
Average flow velocity of
targeted canals at 80% of
limiting flow standard (0.6
m/s for sandy clay soils)
measured 3-4 months after
floods recede
Indicator Four:(Target
Beneficiaries)
Number of beneficiaries
supported directly by the
project to adapt to the effects
of climate change
Number of direct
beneficiaries (cumulative)4:
Total HH
Women-headed HH
Other vulnerable HH
Total no. of people
YR6
YR 1
YR 2
YR3
YR 4
YR5
118.8
million
ZMW/
Year2
124.7
130.7
136.6
141.3
144.9
148.5
million
ZMW/
year
0%
--
--
50% of
first
tranche
subprojects
--
--
70% of
all subprojects
0.6 m/s
0.5 m/s
0.5 m/s
0.48
m/s
To be
assessed
by
baseline
study
Frequenc
y
M&E Team
0
0
0
0
-----
375
160
215
1,900
2,600
1,100
1,500
13,100
7,900
3,400
4,500
40,000
16,100
7,000
9,200
81,100
25,800 Annual
11,000
14,800
130,00
0
Records by
M&E
Team
Challenges of M&E
• Lack of quantitative baseline
data (allowing for monitoring of
long term transformational
impact)
• Limited skilled human
resources and capacities
Challenges of M&E Climate Change Resilience
• Difficulties in developing a
composite indicator that
measures different aspects of
community resilience (e.g.
observed behavioral change)
• Inter-sectoral participatory
project in a centralized
Government system
• Difficult to
attribute/distinguish progress
achieved through adaptation
or sectoral policies and
activities
Measures to address Challenges
PPCR includes capacity building
and awareness raising activities
A baseline survey (funded under a
Project Preparation Grant) to be
undertaken
Composite indicator based on
score card (to be developed)
Engagement of stakeholders at all
levels (Secretariat responsible for
sharing and “ground-truthing’ the
results )
Measures to address Challenges
Inter-ministerial Secretariat established
composing of staff from key sector
ministries
Clear roles and responsibilities:
 Secretariat : Overall Program (SPCR)
level monitoring
 PPUI’s and Provincial Officers :
project/sectoral and sub-basin
monitoring
 Partner NGOs and Private Sector firms:
sub-basin monitoring
 Beneficiary communities: participatory
monitoring though scorecard system
Will make use of existing M&E systems
in districts
For More Information, Please Contact
[email protected] or [email protected]