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The Role of Military in Climate Stephen O. Andersen & K. Madhava Sarma Montreal Protocol Technology and Economic Assessment Panel Durwood Zaelke International Network for Environmental Compliance & Enforcement 29 October 2009 IES - Climate Change & Security at Copenhagen - III Climate Change: The Role of the Military Washington, D.C., 29 October 2009 Organizations of this Workshop Are Beacons to Copenhagen • Honor to be Part of this Team • Charting a New Course for Security • Networked and Confident Climate Change Reality Faster than Predicted: UK Met 4C Study Linear and Non-Linear Abrupt and Irreversible Tipping Points Committed Warming The Only Uncertainty: When PNAS Published online October 12, 2009, doi:10.1073/pnas.0902568106; www.pnas.org Reducing Abrupt Climate Change Risk Using The Montreal Protocol And Other Regulatory Actions To Complement Cuts In CO2 Emissions Mario Molina, Durwood Zaelke, K. Madhava Sarma, Stephen O. Andersen, Veerabhadran Ramanathan and Donald Kaniaru Molina, Zaelke, Andersen, et al. 2009 • ~ 0.76 Realized • 0.5 Lagged in oceans • 1.1 Masked Molina, Zaelke, Andersen et al. National Academy of Sciences • Without Fast Action Impacts Are Certain • Himalayas & Arctic First to Go • Need Fast Action, including non-CO2 50%: – Black Carbon, HFCs, Tropospheric Ozone & Methane • 40 yr Delay • Help Avert Disaster as CO2 Reductions Kick-in • Military Organizations Key Part of the Solutions /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ MP = Best Climate Treaty /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\ climate mitigation of HFCs & ODSs 171 Gt CO2e 12-13 Gt CO2e 4-5 Gt CO2e 14 -18 Gt CO2e HFC Phase-out by 2050 195 Gt CO2e (net of 135) 30-36 Gt CO2e HCFC Phase-out & Banks ODS Banks Developed Countries (11 Gt CO2e/yr.) ODS Banks Developing Countries HCFC Phase Out Developing Countries 1 Gt CO2e/yr Kyoto Protocol Objective 2008-2012 1.5 Gt CO2e Current CDM Pipeline Montreal Protocol Mitigation 1990-2010 Military Leadership in Environmental Protection • National Vision & Leadership • Scientific Expeditions & Data Collection • Atmospheric & Oceanographic Research • Engineering Centers of Excellence • Facilities, Operations, & Green Procurement Committed Military Leadership • Technology Leadership – Stewardship and Destruction of Surplus ODSs, HFCs, SF6, and PFCs • Military Tiger Teams – confident & decisive • Energy Security – Self-Sustaining Energy at the Battlefront • Embrace Climate & Global National Security • Stop Climate Change, at all Costs You are Invited to Join & Support Organizations Featured in Climate Leadership Book THE IMPORTANCE OF MILITARY ORGANISATIONS TO CLIMATE PROTECTION Contact Information Stephen O. Andersen [email protected] K. Madhava Sarma [email protected] Durwood Zaelke [email protected]