Transcript Desertec EU-MENA

EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP
on EU-MENA COOPERATION on Solar Power
Side event to the extraordinary session of EMPA Dead Sea/Jordan 2008
DESERTEC
Clean Power from Deserts
The global challenge of energy, water and climate security
Gerhard Knies
DESERTEC Project Promotor for The Club of Rome and
co-ordinator of TREC
www.desertec.org , [email protected]
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
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Our Earth 2050
a World with 10 Billion People
Our Region EUMENA
a community of 1.4 Billion People,
rich in solar energy
Our Neighbourhood
with conflicts for land and water
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
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Our Earth 2050
has a problem:
mankind
Our Region
Our Neighbourhood
How can
10 Billion
People live
together
on Earth ?
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
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5 Essentials for our Earth
with 10 Billion People in 2050
1. Lasting and sufficient water, food + energy
2. Stable economy
3. Stable climate
4. Limit to further population growth
5. Peace
 Enough energy for “civilization”:
Enough water: by desalination and re-use
Enough food: by irrigation
Enough and stable economy
Enough wealth to stop population growth
Enough energy precondition for enough water, food and wealth to avoid
large scale migration and to avoid conflicts for resources.
 Clean energy for stable climate
New SECURITY paradigm: enough + clean energy
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
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How much power is “enough” ?
1. Power per person per year: 5 (+/- 1) MWh
2006: world 3.1, OECD =8.6, USA=12.2, India=0.9,
Germany=6.4, Egypt=1.2MWh
2. World pop. 2050: 10 (+/- 0.5) billion people
50,000 TWh/y, (+/- 20%)
world in 2050
 18,000 TWh/y in 2007
Is there a way to provide enough + clean energy?
There are several, a very powerful one is
DESERTEC
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
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DESERTEC =
Clean Power from Deserts for the World
3000 km
world electricity demand
(18,000 TWh/y)
More than 90% of world pop could be served
can be produced from
by clean power from deserts !
300 x 300 km²
=0.23% of all deserts
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
distributed over “10 000” sites
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50,000 TWh/y => 10,000 solar GW
Global 10 billion people 2050
5 MWh/person/year
Total global power demand
50,000 TWh/y
EUMENA = 1/7 world population
7,000 TWh/y (14%)
50% as solar power from deserts
25,000 solar TWh/y
CSP Collector capacity (2,500 solar h/y) 10,000 GW
„collector GW“
1,400 GW
CSP Plant capacity (7500 op. h/y)
3,300 GW
plant capacity = 2-3 x collector capacity
Collector deployment world-wide 1 GW/day
over 30 years
EUMENA
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
1 GW/week
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Our Region - EUMENA
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EUMENA Study
By DLR
MED-CSP
TRANS-CSP
deserts + technology for energy, water and climate security
Club of Rome
White Paper 2007
(www.desertec.org)
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Our Neighbourhood 1: Nile Delta
food shortage
Egypts
food source
- under water !
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Our Neighbourhood 2: GAZA
Water shortage
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Strong over-pumping of aquifer underneath Gaza
Ground Water Level (m) below Mediterranean Sea Level
Pollution of Wells by Salt Water  threat to young children
.
P/61
L/57
0.00
1.50
-1.00
1.00
-2.00
0.50
-3.00
0.00
-4.00
-5.00
-0.50
-6.00
-1.00
-7.00
-8.00
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
-1.50
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
B/4
A/107
5.00
2.00
4.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
-1.00
1.00
-2.00
0.00
-3.00
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003
Sea
level
-1.00
1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002
 Salt intrusion !
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Basic parameters for Solar Water &Power Source
Population in
Expected in
2015
In 2025
In 2035
1.4 Mio
2.0
2.6
3.3
Assuming 3.0%
ann. Growth
Assuming 2.0%
ann. Growth
2005
From Palestinian Central Bureau of
Statistics
Demand
Per person and year
for 3 Million inhabitants
Power
5 MWh
15 TWh electricity/y
Water
350 m³
> 1 billion m³ water/y
Required solar collector size (5 km² for 1 TWh/year):
 75 km² for collectors = 20% of Gaza area
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Solar Power&Water Plants in Egypt and/or Israel
+ Pipe and Power Lines into Gaza
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Summary
• The whole world is vulnerable to climate change and energy scarcity.
• A bold emergency plan is needed. DESERTEC offers a global defense line
against climate change and energy scarcity!
• North Africa and Middle East are extremely vulnerable to climate change:
Mediterranean Solar Plan  community for energy and climate security.
(like community for coal and steel 60 years ago).
• Co-operation of desert and technology belts (DESERTEC, Union for the
Mediterranean, Mediterranean Solar Plan ) holds the promise
– to stop climate change,
– to achieve wealth and just development,
– to resolve water and energy conflicts in the region
Gerhard Knies, EMPA DS 2008
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10:30 – 10:40
Opening of the EUROMED SOLAR WORKSHOP
Prof. Hans-Gert Poettering, President of the European Parliament, President of the Euro-Mediterranean
Parliamentary Assembly (EMPA), Honorary Member of the Brussels-EU Chapter of the Club of Rome
10:40 – 10:55
Chairman’s opening remarks
Dr. Gerhard Knies, DESERTEC Project Director, German Association CLUB OF ROME; Coordinator, TransMediterranean Renewable Energy Cooperation (TREC)
10:55 – 11:15
Dr. Nikolaus Benz,
11:15 – 11:20
11:20 – 11:35
Survey on solar technologies; Projects in Spain and North Africa
Vice President, European Solar Thermal Electricity Association
Questions
Combined heat, power, desalination and district cooling with CSP;
Potentials in the EU-MENA countries: the MED-CSD project
Jürgen Kern, Managing Director, kernenergien | the solar power company
11:35 – 11:40
Questions
11:40 – 12:00
Survey on solar energy potentials; Expected demand for power and
water in MENA; and power export to Europe
Prof. Dr. Dr.-Ing. Hans Müller-Steinhagen, Head of the Institute of Technical Thermodynamics,
German Aerospace Center (DLR)
12:00 – 12:05
Questions
12:05 – 12:20
The Mediterranean Solar Plan as part of the Barcelona Process:
Union for the Mediterranean (UfM)
Antoine-Tristan Mocilnikar, Mission Union pour la Méditerranee, Presidence de la République
Française
12:20 – 12:25
Questions
12:25 – 12:40
Bottlenecks and options for market introduction and EU-MENA
cooperation
Dr. Peer Günzel, Head of Renewables – Solar Energy Europe, HSH Nordbank AG
12:40 – 13:10
What can the EMPA(s) do? Open discussion
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