Transcript Probability
11.2 Probability Day 1
5/3/16 Tuesday
Warm – up #2
5/3/16
Work on Extra W-S Counting Principle. (one sided)
I will stamp Friday 4/29, when finished.
Yesterday:
Notes Pg.
3-4
Today:
Notes Pg.
5-7
Homework Log
Tues
5/3
Lesson
11 – 2
Learning Objective:
To use permutations &
combinations to count
possibilities
Hw: W-S 15-9 (both sides)
Pg. 5-7 Notes packet
5/3/16 Lesson 11-2 Probability
Day 1
Algebra II
Pg. 5 Notes packet
Probability
# of favorable outcomes
P(Event) = P(E)
# of total outcomes
“Probability of an event”
Toss of coin:
Probability of landing on heads:
1
P(H) =
2
Pg. 5 Notes packet
Probability
P(will definitely occur) = 1
ex: Have 1 die. P(roll a #) = 1
P(never occur) = 0
ex: Have 1 die. P(roll a letter) = 0
Pg. 5 Notes packet
Ex:
EX: A die is rolled. Find the probability the number
showing is even.
Even: 2, 4 , 6 # of favorable outcomes = 3
# of total outcomes = 6
3 1
P(Even) =
6 2
EX: A die is rolled. Find the probability the
number showing is a 5 or a 6.
2 1
# of favorable outcomes = 2
P(5 or 6) =
6
3
Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
EX: A spinner is divided into tenths. The sections are
numbered 1 to 10. If the spinner is spun, find the
probability the number is
a)
10 1 2
a multiple of 4
4 or 8
2
1
P(4 or 8) =
10
b)
5
between 0 and 30
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, …10
10
1
P(1, 2, … , 10) =
10
9
8
3
4
7 6 5
Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
A spinner is divided into tenths. The sections are
numbered 1 to 10. If the spinner is spun, find the
probability the number is
c)
d)
2
1
P(2) =
10
½
½ isn’t on the spinner
P(½) = 0 0
10
10 1 2
9
8
3
4
7 6 5
Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
EX: A bag contains 8 brown socks and 6 black socks.
If two socks are randomly drawn, what is the probability
that they will match?
Total socks = 14
Two cases:
OR
only 7 brown &
13 total left now
56
8 7
1. Two Brown:
14 13 182
30
6 5
2. Two Black:
14 13 182
only 5 black &
13 total left now
56 30
182 182
86 43
182 91
Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
EX: A die is rolled. Find the probability of each event.
a) The number showing is less than 5
4 2
6 3
1, 2, 3, or 4
b)
The number showing is between 2 and 6.
3, 4, 5
3 1
6 2
Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
EX: Two dice are rolled and the numbers are noted.
Find the probability of each event.
a) The sum of the numbers is less than 5
Pg. 7 Copy it down!
Part a) Sum < 5 ?
Possibilities when 2 dice are rolled
TOTAL = 36
Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
Two dice are rolled and the numbers are noted. Find
the probability of each event.
a) The sum of the numbers is less than 5
6 1
36 6
b)
The sum of the numbers is 4 or 5.
Part b) Sum = 4 or 5 ?
Possibilities when 2 dice are rolled
Back to Pg. 6 Notes packet
Probability
Two dice are rolled and the numbers are noted. Find
the probability of each event.
b)
The sum of the numbers is 4 or 5.
P(4 or 5) =
7
36
Probability
EX: There are 12 tulip bulbs in a package. Nine will yield yellow
tulips and three will yield red tulips. If two bulbs are selected at
random, find the probability of each event.
a)
Both tulips will be red
only 2 red & 11
total left now
b)
6
3 2
1
12 11 132 22
12 total
9 Yellow
3 Red
One tulip will be yellow and the other red
9
12
3
R/Y
12
Case I: Y/R
Case 2:
27
3
11 132
27
9
11 132
27 27
54
9
132 132 132 22
Homework
15-9 Probability WS