Transcript Understanding and Rebuilding After Disasters

Understanding and Rebuilding
After Disasters
Edward J. Blakely
University of Sydney
Member of the Urban Land Institute
Here it comes!
Little Things Bring Big Trouble
Large Land Masses
Building into Trouble
source: USGS
water at the city gates
predicted land loss 1932-2050
Road Destruction
Loss Component
Gross Industry Loss
Range
Notes
1st Landfall in Florida
$1-2 billion
Predominantly wind loss;
<$100 million from flood
Offshore Energy
$2-5 billion
Loss of production could
be substantial, $1-2bn in
platform losses
2nd Landfall Wind &
Surge
$20-25 billion
Wind component ~2/3 of
total gross loss
New Orleans Flooding
$15-25 billion
Excludes expected losses of
~$10bn to NFIP
Additional Loss Sources
Total
Loss
$2-3 billion
$40-60 billion
estimated
Marine, aggravated
BI/ALE, off premises
power, localized flooding
Storm Damages
Wind, surge and flood damaged commercial
properties, St. Bernard Parish
Flood and surge damage to civic center in St
Bernard Parish
Happy Jack
Safety of buildings!
• Not possible at this
stage to have a safe
building “if you
don’t have a safe
community to put it
in” Geis (1994a)
Regular or Irregular Communities
Post Disaster Disease
Building Communities
Where to Start?
Lessons From Oakland
Lesson 1
Priorities Reflect Key Sectors
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Port
Film and television
Music
Healthcare and
biosciences
• Food
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Tourism and culture
Special events
Sports
Higher education
Energy
Retirement
*For Whom are you planning—
today or tomorrow or yesterday?
City Design
Lesson 2
Important Landmarks cannot be left to the end
Bad or shoddy rehabs last forever
Lesson 3
Dead Spaces 20 Year Later due to Planning
and Historic Preservation Rules
Key Sites must be Controlled Early
Historic death
Lesson 5
Bad Street Form make bad city
Great Boulevards
The Esplanade: Chico, California
What Needs to Be done
Lesson 6 Developing a rebuilding strategy
for the Whole City
Lesson 7 Commit to making Good Real
Estate with Healthy Communities
 Pedestrian-oriented,
mixed use design
 Frequent bus service
 Preservation of mature
shade trees
 Renewable energy
 Recycled building
materials
Building Blocks of Economic
Development
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Workforce
Leadership
Culture
Equity
Capital
Strategy
Healthy Community as an
Economic Force
Lesson 8 Create a
Rebuilding Corporation
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Buys homes and property
Purchases and restructures mortgages
Finances redevelopment
Land banking
Bond issuance
Neighborhood planning
Foster community development corporations
– create New Orleans Housing Partnership
• Supports the functions of city agencies
Lesson 9
Make sure you Integrate Facilities
• Communities need to
be based on multiand joint use facilities
that reduce
movement and create
more community
interactions
Civic Heart As Recovery Symbol
Preservation with Meaning
University as Collaborative
Builder
 University to
University relations
 University to key
constituents as
verifier
 University to Civic
Leaders as unbiased
actor
 University to
government as
honest broker
City as Crafted
New Flex-space
Lesson 10
Revitalize Transport Infrastructure to
create value
Lesson 11
Generate New Civic Imagery
Lesson 12
Quality Real Estate is Winning and preventing
new tragedies