Transcript Mid-Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System

MIDDLE
ATLANTIC
REGIONAL
ASSOCIATION
COASTAL
OCEAN
OBSERVING
SYSTEM
1000 km
Cape to Cape
CT
RI
MA
Cape
Cod
NY
PA
NJ
MD
VA
DE
MARACOOS’ MISSION:
To seek, discover, share, and
apply new knowledge &
understanding of our coastal ocean
MARACOOS into the 21st century:
Moving from Observing to Forecasting
in order to Save Lives, Protect
Livelihoods, and Boost the Economy
in the Mid-Atlantic
NC
Cape
Hatteras
Gerhard F. Kuska, Executive Director
Michael F. Crowley, Technical Director
MID-ATLANTIC REGIONAL DRIVERS
Tropical Storms
Climate Change
Ocean
Circulation
Critical
Habitat
Northeasters
Population
Ports
Mid-Atlantic Regional Association Coastal Ocean Observing System
Established 2007: 35 Co-PIs, 25 Institutions, 10 States (&DC), 111 Congr.districts
•
•
•
Sustained regional observing networks
are established
Societal priorities drive development
MARACOOS supports the R&D
continuum throughout the region
MARACOOS REGIONAL THEMES & SUCCESS STORIES
3) Water Quality – a) Floatables, b) Hypoxia, c) Nutrients
5) Energy – Offshore Wind
2) Ecosystem Decision Support - Fisheries
Areas under Consideration for Wind Energy Areas
76°0'W
Pennsylvania
75°30'W
75°0'W
74°30'W
74°0'W
73°30'W
Wilmington
39°30'N
39°30'N
New Jersey
Atlantic
City
Dover
39°0'N
39°0'N
DELAWARE
BAY
38°30'N
38°30'N
Delaware
Ocean
City
37°30'N
CHESAPEAKE
BAY
Vi
rg
i
ni
a
38°0'N
38°0'N
Maryland
37°30'N
New Jersey
Delaware
Maryland
37°0'N
4) Coastal Inundation - Flooding
37°0'N
1) Maritime Operations – Safety at Sea
Virginia
Virginia
Beach
Nautical Miles
0
Virginia
76°0'W
75°30'W
75°0'W
74°30'W
5
74°0'W
10
15
20
25
30
73°30'W
Leveraging Data & Products
Regional
Priority
Themes
Regional Observation & Modeling Capabilities
Weather
Mesonet
HF Radar
Network
Statistical
STPS
Theme 1.
Maritime
Safety
Operational Input
to USCG
SAROPS
Operational input
to USCG
SAROPS
Operational input
to USCG
SAROPS
Theme 2.
Ecological
Decision
Support
Weather forecast
ensemble
validation
Circulation and
divergence maps
for habitat
Theme 3.
Water Quality
Winds for
transport, river
plumes, &
upwelling
Surface currents
for flotables,
bacteria, spill
response
Theme 4.
Coastal
Inundation
Weather forecast
ensemble
validation
Theme 5.
Offshore
Energy
Historical
analysis & wind
model validation
Satellite
Imagery
Glider
Surveys
Dynamical
Ocean
Forecasts
SST for
survivability
planning
Assimilation
dataset for
forecast models
Surface currents
for SAROPS
SST & Color for
habitat
Subsurface T & S
for habitat
3-D fields of T, S,
circulation for
habitat
Ocean color for
river plumes
Nearshore
dissolved oxygen
surveys
Surface currents
for floatables,
bacteria, spill
response
Current forecast
model validation
SSTs
assimilation into
forecast models
Assimilation
dataset for
forecast models
Nested forecast
ensembles
Historical current
analysis & wind
model validation
Historical
analysis surface
fronts & plumes
for siting
Historical
analysis of
subsurface fronts
& plumes
Coupled oceanatmosphere
models for
resource
estimates
Surface currents
for flotables,
bacteria, spill
response
Maritime Safety: U.S. Coast Guard Search and Rescue example
Mid-Atlantic Operational Data Flow to SAROPS
SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area:
SAROPS User Interface
SAROPS 96-Hour Search Area: HF Radar
12,000 km2
Ecological Decision Support – Fisheries
+
Like
Upwelling
Our Approach:
Develop statistical models using
bottom trawl surveys and
MARACOOS 3-D data to predict
species distribution based on
observed or forecasted
MARACOOS 3-D fields.
Hate
Downwelling
Downwelling
Upwelling
Downwelling
Upwelling
Water Quality
Data and Modeling to respond to 120+ million gallons of sewage released into the
Hudson River following North River Wastewater Treatment Plant fire in NYC, July 2011
Coastal Inundation
Chesapeake
Inundation
Prediction
System
(CIPS)
Partners
From Forecast
MATURING TECHNOLOGY
•Regional scale atmospheric wind forecast
model
•Very high-resolution hydrodynamic models
with land flooding
• Very high-resolution land elevation data
(LIDAR)
• Emerging GIS and visualization
capabilities for integrated, high-resolution
pictures and products
To Impact
Offshore Wind Energy
High Resolution Atmospheric Forecast validated with HF radar
Additional Radar Sites
Spatial validation of
Atmospheric Model with
13 MHz Multi-static
HF Radar Array
2-Site Mono-static Coverage
High Resolution Wind Resource
670 m horizontal resolution
Bi-static Geometries
2-Site Multi-static Coverage
The Next Decade
1. Building out the system (10-year BOP)
(www.maracoos.org, see technology tab)
2. Engaging the Stakeholders
- Product Development supported by R&D
3. Education and Communications
Engaging the Stakeholders
• Governance Structure
– User Council
– Working Groups
EDS:
Fish
User
Council
Water
Quality
Wind
Energy
Marine
Safety
• Stakeholder Liaison Service
(Geographic and Theme-focused)
Inundation
Improved Predictive Modeling and Data Assimilation
1) STPS
2) NYHOPS
U. Connecticut
Stevens Institute of Technology
3) ROMS
4) HOPS
Rutgers University
U. Massachusetts, Dartmouth
Enhancing Platforms and Observing Capabilities
L-Band
(installed 1992)
X-Band
(installed 2003)
Satellites
Autonomous
Underwater
Gliders
Drifters
HF Radar
Ships
Education vs. Communications
– Not the same thing; need to distinguish
– Communication / Outreach:
• Stakeholders, Decision makers, Funders
• Developing and selling our products/services
– Education:
• Informal Educators, K-12, Community College/2-yr
programs, Undergrad/4-yr, Graduate, Workforce
• Using real time data in the classroom
THANK YOU
www.maracoos.org
www.usnfra.org