Microeconomics: Theory and Applications David Besanko and
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Transcript Microeconomics: Theory and Applications David Besanko and
Chapter 2
Demand and Supply Analysis
Outline
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Competitive Markets Defined
The Market Demand Curve
The Market Supply Curve
Equilibrium
Characterizing Demand and Supply:
Elasticity
2
Example: Oil Market
Crude oil prices 1947 – 2004
OPEC oil production
Why?
Weather, Hurricanes in Gulf
China and India economies booming
Political Crisis with Iran, Iraq, Russia, Nigeria
Oil production per day in Non-OPEC countries declining
Uncertainty over OPEC production capabilities
3
Example: Oil Market (cont’d)
How could we bring prices down?
Reduce Demand – short-run
Find new reserves – short-run
Develop new technologies that are not reliant on
oil
Forward thinking solution
These become feasible as oil prices rise. Many are
now feasible
4
Competitive Markets
Definition: Are those with sellers and buyers
that are small and numerous enough that they
take the market price as given when they
decide how much to buy and sell.
5
Competitive Market Assumptions
1. Fragmented market: many buyers and sellers
Implies buyers and sellers are price takers
2. Undifferentiated Products: consumers
3.
4.
perceive the product to be identical so don’t
care who they buy it from
Perfect Information about price: consumers
know the price of all sellers
Equal Access to Resources: everyone has
access to the same technology and inputs.
Free entry into the market, so if profitable for
new firms to enter into the market they will
6
Market Demand
Market Demand function: Tells us how the quantity
of a good demanded by the sum of all consumers in the
market depends on various factors.
Qd =(Q,p,po, I,…)
The Demand Curve: Plots the aggregate quantity of a
good that consumers are willing to buy at different
prices, holding constant other demand drivers such as
prices of other goods, consumer income, quality.
Qd=Q(p)
7
Market Demand – Example
Demand for New Automobiles in the US
Price (thousands of dollars)
53
40
0
Demand curve for automobiles in the
United States in 2000
2
5.3
Quantity (millions of
automobiles per year)
8
Market Demand
Note
On a graph:
P, price, is ALWAYS on vertical axis and Q on
horizontal axis.
When writing out a demand function:
we write demand as Q as a function of P… If P is
written as function of Q, it is called the inverse
demand.
Demand Function: Qd=100-2P
Inverse Demand Function: P=50 - Qd/2
9
Market Demand
Law of Demand
Law of Demand states that the quantity of a
good demanded decreases when the price of
this good increases.
Empirical regularity
The demand curve: shifts when factors other
than own price change…
If the change increases the willingness of
consumers to acquire the good, the demand curve
shifts right
If the change decreases the willingness of
consumers to acquire the good, the demand curve
shifts left
10
Market Demand
Some Demand Shifters
Consumer incomes
Consumer tastes
Advertising
What would a rise in tax rate do?
Note: For a given demand curve we assume everything
else but price is held fixed.
11
Market Demand
Rule
A move along the demand curve for a good can
only be triggered by a change in the price of
that good.
Any change in another factor that affects the
consumers’ willingness to pay for the good
results in a shift in the demand curve for the
good
12
Market Supply
Market Supply Function: Tells us how the
quantity of a good supplied by the sum of all
producers in the market depends on various
factors
Qs=Q(p,po,w, …)
Po = price of other goods
Market Supply Curve: Plots the aggregate
quantity of a good that will be offered for sale at
different prices.
Qs=Q(P)
13
Market Supply
E.g. Supply Curve for Wheat in Canada
Price (dollars per bushel)
Supply curve for wheat
in Canada in 2000
0
0.15
Quantity (billions of
bushels per year)
14
Market Supply
The Law of Supply states that the quantity of a
good offered increases when the price of this good
increases.
Empirical regularity
The supply curve shifts when factors other than
own price change…
If the change increases the willingness of producers to
offer the good at the same price, the supply curve
shifts right
If the change decreases the willingness of producers
to offer the good at the same price, the supply curve
shifts left
15
Market Supply
Supply Shifters
Price of factors of production e.g. wage
Technology changes
Weather conditions
Hurricane Katrina reduced supply of oil
Number of producers change
What is the effect of a rise in the minimum wage?
16
Market Supply
Rule
A move along the supply curve for a good can
only be triggered by a change in the price of that
good.
Any change in another factor that affects the
producers’ willingness to offer for the good
results in a shift in the supply curve for the
good.
17
Market Supply
E.g. Canadian Wheat
Supply Curve: QS = p + .05r
QS = quantity of wheat (billions of bushels)
p = price of wheat (dollars per bushel)
r = average rainfall in western Canada,May –
August (inches per month)
Questions:
1.What is the quantity of wheat supplied at price of
$2 and rainfall of 3 inches per month?
2.15
18
Market Supply
E.g: Canadian Wheat
QS = p + .05r
2.
3.
4.
How do you write the supply curve if rainfall is 3
inches per month?
QS = p + 0.15
Does the law of supply hold?
We know because the constant in front of p is
positive.
As rainfall increases how does it shift the supply
curve? (e.g., r = 4 => Q = p + 0.2)
To the right
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Market Supply
E.g: Canadian Wheat
QS = p + .05r
Price ($)
r=0
r=3
Supply with
no rain
Supply with 3” rain
0 .15
Quantity,
Billion bushels
20
Market Equilibrium
Definition: A market equilibrium is a price such
that, at this price, the quantities demanded and
supplied are the same.
(Demand and supply curves intersect at
equilibrium)
21
Market Equilibrium
Practice: Finding Equilibrium Price and
Quantity for Cranberries
Set-Up:
Qd = 500 – 4p
QS = -100 + 2p
p = price of cranberries (dollars per barrel)
Q = demand or supply in millions of barrels per
year
Questions:
1.Find the equilibrium price of cranberries?
22
Market Equilibrium
Practice: Finding Equilibrium Price and
Quantity for Cranberries
Set supply equal to demand (Qd = Qs )
1.
500 – 4p = -100 + 2p
Now solve for P:
P* = $100
Find the equilibrium price of cranberries?
2.
Plug P* back into either Qd OR Qs
Plugging into Qd: 500-4(100)=100
Plugging into Qs: -100+2(100)=100
Q*=100
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Market Equilibrium
Practice: Finding Equilibrium Price and
Quantity for Cranberries
1.
Now lets see how to graph supply and demand
Some folks like to rewrite so Q is on the RHS
Qd = 500 – 4p OR p = 125 - Qd/4
Find intercepts: if q=0 p=125, if p=0 Q=500
QS = -100 + 2p OR P = 50 + QS/2
Q=0 then P=50
24
Practice: Finding Equilibrium Price and
Quantity for Cranberries
Price
125
Market Supply: P = 50 + QS/2
P* = 100
Equilibrium
50
Market Demand: P = 125 - Qd/4
Q* = 100
Quantity
25
Elasticity
Elasticity of Demand: tells us how demand for a
good changes when some other variable
changes. Or the percentage change in quantity
demanded resulting from a 1 percent change in
another variable.
% Q
d
% som ething else
Where Qd is a demand function.
26
Elasticity continued
Own price elasticity of demand: how demand
for a good changes when the price (P) of that
good changes
%DQ
DQ Q ¶Q
P
=
=
* d
%DP
DP / P
¶P Q
d
d
Note: if you are given P you can figure out Q from the demand
curve.
27
Elasticity (more of the math)
% Q
% P
Q
P
*
Q
Q
P
P
P
Q
Q
P
(Q
*100
*100
2
Q1)
Q1
( P 2 P1 )
p1
*
P
Q
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Elasticity: examples
%DQ
DQ Q ¶Q
P
=
=
*
%DP
DP / P
¶P Q
d
d
E.g. elasticity = -2 (imagine it is -2/1)
If the price goes up by 1 percent demand will be reduced by 2
percent
E.g. elasticity = -0.5 (imagine it is 0.5/1)
If the price goes up by 1 percent demand will be reduced by .5
percent percent.
29
Elasticity Continued
Price Elasticity of Demand is very useful.
Suppose own a car business total revenue is:
price * quantity= P.Q
You can increase the price (P), but if you do that
demand (Q) for your good will drop
The price elasticity of demand tell you how much
the quantity will drop.
30
Types of Elasticity
When a one percent change in price leads to a greater than
one-percent change in quantity demanded, the demand curve
is elastic. (Q,P < -1)
When a one-percent change in price leads to a less than onepercent change in quantity demanded, the demand curve is
inelastic. (0 > Q,P > -1)
When a one-percent change in price leads to an exactly onepercent change in quantity demanded, the demand curve is
unit elastic. (Q,P = -1)
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How Elastic are These Curves?
D2 Perfectly
Inelastic
P
P1
D1
Q2
Perfectly
Elastic
Q
32
Elasticity Estimates: Price Elasticity of
Demand for Selected Grocery Products
C a te g o ry
E stim a te d Q ,P
S o ft D rin ks
-3 .1 8
C a n n e d S e a fo o d
-1 .7 9
Canned Soup
-1 .6 2
C o o kie s
-1 .6
B re a kfa st C e re a l
-0 .2
T o ile t P a p e r
-2 .4 2
La u n d ry
D e te rg e n t
T o o th p a ste
-1 .5 8
S n a ck C ra cke rs
-0 .8 6
F ro ze n E n tre e s
-0 .7 7
P a p e r T o w e ls
-0 .0 5
D ish D e te rg e n t
-0 .7 4
F a b ric S o fte n e r
-0 .7 3
Which products is
demand elastic
and which is
demand inelastic?
-0 .4 5
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Elasticity Versus Slope
Slope: is the ratio of absolute changes in
quantity and price. (= Q/P).
Measures the absolute change in quantity
demanded (in units of quantity) due to a one-unit
change in price.
Qd=a-bP
a is the intercept, -b is the slope
Elasticity: is the ratio of relative (or percentage)
changes in quantity and price.
Measure percentage change in quantity
demanded due to one-percent change in the price
of the good
34
Elasticity Versus Slope
Why elasticity is more useful?
it is unitless so allows us to easily compare across
countries and goods
Units of quantities will be different for different
goods. How to compare snow boards to oranges.
Prices are different across different countries. More
difficult to compare Yemeni Ryials to US $
35
LINEAR Demand Curve (straight line)
Slope, choke price, elasticity
Linear Demand Fn (general form) Qd = a – bp
a, b are positive constants
p is price
Notice that:
b is the slope
a/b is the choke price: price at which quantity
demanded is zero
Easier to see if look at inverse demand curve: P=a/b-Qd/b
36
Linear Demand Curve
Slope, choke price, elasticity
Elasticity is:
Q,P = (Q/p)(p/Q) …definition…
=-b(p/Q)
Note that:
When Q=0, elasticity is -
When p=0, elasticity is 0
so…elasticity falls from 0 to - along the linear
demand curve, but slope is constant.
37
Elasticity with a Linear Demand Curve
P
a/b
Q,P = -
Elastic region
a/2b
•
Q,P
= -1
Inelastic region
Q,P = 0
0
a/2
a
Q
38
What Affects Elasticity?
Availability of Substitutes:
Demand is more(less) elastic when there are
more(fewer) substitutes for a product.
E.g: Demand for all beverages less elastic than
demand for Coca-Cola
There are substitute for Coca-Cola, drink Pepsi
It is harder to find a substitute for soda if you love
soda.
% of income spending on product
Demand is more(less) when the consumer’s
expenditure on the product is large(small)
39
What Affects Elasticity?
Necessity Products
The demand is less price elastic when the product
is a necessity.
Market Level vs Brand-Level Price
Demand tends to be more elastic for a particular
brand of a good, than for the good in general
40
Problem: Determining Elasticity
Linear demand curve
if Qd = 400 – 10p, and p = 30, what is the
elasticity of demand w.r.t own price?
Q,P = (-b)(P)/(Q)
Q = 400 – 10 (30) = 100
Q,P = (-10)(30)/(100) = -3 "elastic”
Or use calculas’
¶Q d
P
30
30
* d = -10 *
= -10 *
= -3
¶P
400 -10P
400 -10(30)
Q
Why is elasticity negative?
demand curve downward sloping.
41
Problem: Determining Elasticity
Constant elasticity demand curve
Constant Elasticity Fn (general form): Qd = Ap
= elasticity of demand and is negative
p = price
A = constant
Example: If demand can be expressed as QP =
100, what is the price elasticity of demand?
Q=100P-1 , so elasticity is -1
42
Constant Elasticity Demand Curve
Price
•
P
Observed price and quantity
Constant elasticity demand curve
Linear demand curve
0
Q
Quantity
43
Importance of Brands
Model
Price
Estimated
Q,P
Mazda 323 $5,039
-6.358
Nissan
Sentra
$5,661
-6.528
Ford
Escort
$5,663
-6.031
Lexus
LS400
$27,544
-3.085
BMW 735i $37,490
-3.515
• Demand for individual
models is highly elastic
• Market-level price
elasticity of demand for
automobiles -1 to -1.5
• Compact automobiles
have lots of substitutes
Luxury cars have less
substitutes
Demand for compact cars
more elastic than luxury
cars.
Example: Price Elasticities of Demand for Automobile Makes, 1990.
44
Other Common Types of Elasticities
Other Elasticities -- Elasticity of "X" with respect to "Y":
(X/Y)(Y/X)
X and Y could be anything
Price elasticity of supply: (QS/p)(p/QS)
measures curvature of supply curve
Income elasticity of demand:(Qd/I)(I/Qd)
measures degree of shift of demand curve as income
changes.
Cross price elasticity of demand: (Qd/Po)(Po/Qd)
measures degree of shift of demand curve when the
price of a substitute changes
45
The Cross-Price Elasticity of Cars
Demand
PRICE
Sentra
Escort
LS400
735i
Sentra
-6.528
0.454
0.000
0.000
Escort
0.078
-6.031
0.001
0.000
LS400
0.000
0.001
-3.085
0.032
735i
0.000
0.001
0.093
-3.515
Practice Questions:
What is the cross price elasticity of demand of the
Sentra with respect to Escort?
0.454
If the price of the Escort increases by 10 %, what
will happen to the demand for the Sentra?
The demand for Sentra will increase by 4.54 %
46
Elasticities of Demand for Coke/Pepsi
Elasticity
Coke
Pepsi
Price elasticity of demand
-1.47
-1.55
Cross-price elasticity of demand
0.52
0.64
Income elasticity of demand
0.58
1.38
Practice Question:
What will happen to the demand for coke if
income increases by 10%?
If income increases by 10%, the demand for coke
will increase by 5.8%
47