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Prognostic and Predictive Factors: Current
Evidence for Individualized Therapy
Predictive Molecular Markers:
Hormone Receptor Status
Presented by
Kathleen I Pritchard
Toronto-Sunnybrook Regional Cancer Centre
and
The University of Toronto
Toronto, Canada
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS
FACTORS WHICH PREDICT THE
RISK OF RECURRENCE OR DEATH
INDEPENDENT OF THERAPY
PREDICTIVE FACTORS
PREDICTIVE FACTORS
FACTORS WHICH PREDICT THE
LIKELIHOOD OF RESPONSE TO A
GIVEN THERAPY
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR AND
PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR
BOTH PREDICTIVE AND
PROGNOSTIC FACTORS
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
EXPRESSED IN 60-70% OF BREAST
CANCERS
A WEAK BUT FAVOURABLE
PROGNOSTIC FACTOR
ESTROGEN AND
PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR
OBJECTIVE RESPONSE RATE
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
ER-ve, PgR-ve
ER+ve, PgR-ve
ER-ve, PgR+ve
ER+ve, PgR+ve
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
RESPONSE RATES INCREASE WITH
INCREASING LEVELS OF ESTROGEN
RECEPTOR PROTEIN
WITLIFF 1988
ER AND PgR MEASUREMENT
METHODS
LIGAND BINDING OR BIOCHEMICAL
DONE ON A “SLURRY” OF TISSUE
YIELDS AN AVERAGE VALUE
IMMUNOHISTOCHEMICAL
DONE ON A SECTION
CAN LOCALIZE RECEPTOR
1-10% OF CELLS STAINING STILL
POSITIVE
COMPARISON OF ER AND/OR PgR
IMMUNOHISTOCHEMICAL METHODS TO OLDER
LIGAND BINDING OR BIOCHEMICAL METHODS
EXCELLENT REVIEW BY CRAIG ALLRED et al
MODERN PATHOLOGY 1998; 11 (2): 155-168
STRESSES VALIDATION OF NEW TEST
METHODOLOGY WITH CLINICAL OUTCOME
AS WELL AS WITH OLDER TEST
METHODOLOGY
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
IHC
PREPARATION OF TISSUE
TYPES OF ANTIBODIES
ARBITRARY
SCORING
INTERPRETATION
REPORTING
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
LB
=
LIGAND ASSAY BINDING
IHC
=
IMMUNOHISTOCHEMICAL
IHC and LB
80-90% CONCORDANT
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF ER BY IHC
~ 10-15% RECURRENCE/SURVIVAL
BENEFIT IN WOMEN WHO DO NOT
RECEIVE HORMONAL ADJUVANT
THERAPY
CONFIRMED IN AT LEAST FOUR
TRIALS INVOLVING UNTREATED
WOMEN
DISEASE FREE SURVIVAL OF
WOMEN RECEIVING HORMONAL
THERAPY
DISEASE FREE SURVIVAL OF
WOMEN RECEIVING HORMONAL
THERAPY
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
PREDICTIVE VALUE OF ER BY IHC
20 STUDIES
1200 WOMEN
ER +ve
~ 70% RR
ER -ve
< 15% RR
PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR
PG-R
AN ER-RELATED GENE PRODUCT
INDICATES WHETHER THE ESTROGEN /
E.R. REGULATED PATHWAYS ARE
INTACT
PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR
LB vs IHC
~ 70% CONCORDANCE
IHC
RR
PgR +ve
70%
PgR-ve
< 10%
PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR
IHC
TISSUE PREPARATION
TYPES OF ANTIBODIES
SCORING
INTERPRETATION
REPORTING
PROGESTERONE RECEPTOR
WEAK PROGNOSTIC FACTOR
~ 5% DIFFERENCE IN 713 UNTREATED
WOMEN
DISEASE FREE SURVIVAL OF
WOMEN RECEIVING HORMONAL
THERAPY
DISEASE FREE SURVIVAL OF
WOMEN RECEIVING HORMONAL
THERAPY
PREDICTIVE VALUE OF RECEPTORS
PHENOTYPE
INCIDENCE
RESPONSE RATE
ER + PgR+
58%
77%
ER + PgR-
23%
27%
ER - PgR+
4%
46%
ER - PgR-
15%
11%
McGuire 1991
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
PREDICTIVE VALUE FOR CHEMOTHERAPY
PROPOSED AS A PREDICTIVE FACTOR
FOR CHEMOTHERAPY RESPONSE
ER -ve
MORE LIKELY TO RESPOND
TO CHEMO
LIPPMAN ET AL
NEJM 1978
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
PREDICTIVE VALUE FOR CHEMOTHERAPY
SUBSEQUENTLY REJECTED AS A
PREDICTIVE FACTOR BASED ON
CONTRADICTORY DATA FROM A SERIES
OF SMALL STUDIES IN METASTATIC
DISEASE
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
AC vs AC
T
DIFFERENCE MAINLY IN ER -ve
LITTLE DIFFERENCE IN ER +ve
HENDERSON ET AL
ASCO 2000
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
OXFORD OVERVIEW
SUGGESTION IN SOME
ANALYSES THAT WOMEN WITH ER
NEGATIVE TUMOURS BENEFIT
MORE FROM CHEMOTHERAPY
COLE, LANCET 2001
COATES, LANCET 1998
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR MECHANISMS
BREAST CANCER DEVELOPMENT AND
PROGRESSION DIRECTLY RELATED TO
EFFECTS OF ESTROGEN
ER
A NUCLEAR RECEPTOR
FUNCTIONS AS A TRANSCRIPTION
FACTOR CONTROLLING ESTROGEN
RELATED GENES
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR MECHANISMS
LIGAND BINDING
RECEPTOR CONFORMATION
INTERACTION OF RECONFORMED
RECEPTOR WITH
COREGULATORS
RESPONSE ELEMENTS IN
PROMOTOR REGIONS OF TARGET
GENES (ERE)
ALL CONTRIBUTES TO NET ESTROGENIC
EFFECTS IN A CELL
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR MECHANISMS
POLYPEPTIDE GROWTH FACTORS AND
THEIR MEMBRANE RECEPTORS ALSO
CONTRIBUTE TO BREAST CANCER
DEVELOPMENT AND PROGRESSION
SIGNALS THROUGH VARIOUS PROTEIN
KINASE PATHWAYS ENHANCE CELL
SURVIVAL AND PROLIFERATION
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR MECHANISMS
THESE PATHWAYS ALSO INTERACT
WITH ESTROGEN RECEPTOR
KINASES IN GROWTH FACTOR CASCADE
CAN PHOSPHORYLATE AND ACTIVATE ER
ER IN TURN ACTIVATES AND AUGMENTS
SIGNALING IN GROWTH FACTOR
PATHWAYS
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR MECHANISMS
SIGNALING THROUGH GF PATHWAYS
MAY CONTRIBUTE TO HORMONAL
RESISTANT STATES BY LIGAND INDEPENDENT ACTIVATION OF ER
THUS TARGETING GF PATHWAYS IN
ADDITION TO ER MAY PROVIDE BETTER
THERAPY
ESTROGEN RECEPTOR MECHANISMS
CLASSIC HORMONAL THERAPIES
BIOLOGIC AGENTS
ANTI HER-2
HERCEPTIN
OTHERS
ANTI EGF
IRESSA
OTHERS
PREDICTIVE MOLECULAR MARKERS:
HORMONE RECEPTOR STATUS
CONCLUSIONS
STILL CRUCIAL IN SELECTION OF
HORMONAL THERAPY
MEASUREMENTS MUST BE STANDARDIZED
TISSUE PREPARATON
ANTIBODY USED
SCORING
INTERPRETATION
REPORTING
PREDICTIVE MOLECULAR MARKERS:
HORMONE RECEPTOR STATUS
QUESTIONS
? ER / PgR
ROLE IN SELECTING CHEMOTHERAPY
? Her 2 - Neu
ROLE IN SELECTING CHEMOTHERAPY
ROLE IN SELECTING HORMONAL
THERAPY
? EGF - R (Erb - B1)
ROLE IN SELECTING THERAPY
PREDICTIVE MOLECULAR MARKERS:
HORMONE RECEPTOR STATUS
QUESTIONS
? OPTIMAL USE OF COMBINATIONS OF
CLASSIC HORMONAL AND BIOLOGIC
FACTORS
? OPTIMAL GUIDANCE OF THIS COMBINED
THERAPY BY CAREFUL STANDARDIZATION
OF LABORATORY MEASUREMENTS