Transcript Regional Dialogue Support - REDD+ for the Guiana Shield

REDD+ FOR THE GUIANA SHIELD
Technical Cooperation Project
Session 3 – Creating a
Regional Dialogue Platform
Marie Calmel, ONF International
December 11th, 2013
2nd Steering Committee Meeting, Macapá
Presentation outline
 Introduction
 Presentation of the envisioned tools and ways to produce those
tools
 PhD projects and CIRAD agreement
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Production of regional data
 Discussion
Introduction
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Final and main objective of the project
All countries acknowledge the benefit of such dialogue
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Current obstacle to it:
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Each country has developed or is developing their own tools, methodologies and products
Differences in methodologies make the comparability of data difficult
Sovereignty
Prioritization of national systems improvement
Stakes and importance of regional tools:
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Highlight linkages and leakages issues
Improve efficiency at country level
Encourage the Eco-Region conservation
Tools to support decision making
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Several previous experiences
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Underlying assumption – Model are informative
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Guyasim software (CIRAD)
Models of future deforestation (e.g. CI/Imazon/ClarkLabs), Brazil
Results
Processes
Challenges:
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Data / inputs
Appropriateness
General overview
Regional GIS Database
Participative development of the tools
Model spatially
explicit of future
deforestation
Regional Scale
Econometric model
(equilibrium) to
assess socioeconomical impacts
Creation of a dialogue platform around those tools
Long term objective
Create a dynamic and user friendly
software at the regional scale
PhD project 1
Regional GIS Database
Participative development of the tools
PhD 1
Model spatially
explicit of future
deforestation
Regional Scale
Econometric model
(equilibrium) to
assess socioeconomical impacts
Creation of a dialogue platform around those tools
Long term objective
Create a dynamic and user friendly
software at the regional scale
PhD project 1
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Funded PhD under “CIRAD Forêt” supervision (Bruno Hérault) and the “Laboratoire
Montpelliérain d’Economie Théorique et Appliquée » (LAMETA – Jean –Michel Salles)
PhD student – Camille Dezecache
Objective:
 To develop a spatially explicit model of future deforestation, taking into consideration
several development scenario
Participation to the project:
 Component 2 :
 Development of maps of deforestation risks
 Collection of data and preparation of a GIS database of drivers of deforestation (in
partnership with ONF Guyane)
 Component 3:
 Critical review of the available models
 Preparation of deforestation risk maps and modeling model
 Participation to Working Groups in order to share the model construction process
 Part of the scientific platform on modeling future land use and land cover changes
[MCa1]À
compléter par Bruno Hérault
Implementation and budget
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Implementation through a consultancy contract with CIRAD Forêt (ONF/CIRAD)
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Budget provided by the project in order to:
 Ensure the good articulation within the project objectives and approach
 Ensure participation to Working Groups, events, etc. in order to share experience and
advancements
 Missions in the countries
 Preparation of deliverables scheduled in the framework of the project
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Total budget: 55 780€
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Draft agreement to be submitted to FFEM non objection
PhD project 2
Regional GIS Database
Participative development of the tools
Model spatially
explicit of future
deforestation
Regional Scale
Econometric model
(equilibrium) to
assess socioeconomical impacts
Creation of a dialogue platform around those tools
Long term objective
Create a dynamic and user friendly
software at the regional scale
PhD 2
PhD project 1
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Objective:
 Assess the impacts of REDD+, land-use planning and sectoral measures and policies on
forest cover changes and socio-economical development
How:
 Development of a partial equilibrium model that would focus on most relevant sectors:
 Forestry
 Agriculture
 Mining
 Others?
 Participative construction of the model
 Policies and measures to be tested
 Cause-effect chain
 Construction of scenarios
 Development of a regional dialogue platform
 To follow the model development
 To dialogue on the results and tools
[MCa1]À
compléter par Bruno Hérault
Implementation and budget
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Project still to be launched
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Total budget: 70k€ from CIFRE co-fundings + functioning costs
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PhD project under scientific review
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Call for application in the different countries
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Likely start: mid 2014
General overview
Regional GIS Database
Participative development of the tools
Scientific
collaboration
platform
Model spatially
explicit of future
deforestation
Regional Scale
Econometric model
(equilibrium) to
assess socioeconomical impacts
Creation of a dialogue platform around those tools
Long term objective
Create a dynamic and user friendly
software at the regional scale
General
consideration
of political
approprietness
of those tools
in the REDD+
and Land-Use
planning
framework
Decisionmaking tools
Input Data – A real challenge
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Using data that are available in the countries:
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Collection of data
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Bring national data to the regional floor when they are produced using different
methodologies and shows different characteristics (different resolution and level of details,
different type of data, different underlying assumptions, etc.)
Rely on data that are still under development (need for country to gain confidence on those
data before sharing it)
Some confidentiality and sovereignty consideration
To avoid duplication
Necessity to produce new regional data
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Control of the agenda
Avoid intrusion in the national framework and therefore to facilitate dialogue
Probably lesser resolution to enable a global homogeneous tool
Possibilities to combine lower and higher level data when available
Production of data
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Land-Use and Land-Cover Historical Analysis
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4 time points
Resolution and cloud coverage (meeting to be organized between different stakeholders)
Modalities for implementation:
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On free imageries
Validation with high resolution data
Subcontract (under development)
Including a review of existing data
Budget: 30k€ (initial budget scheduled for the Forest cover Monitoring Study)
GIS Database on drivers of deforestation
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Variables to be tested in the different models
Modalities for implementation:
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CIRAD PhD student preparing a review of existing data
ONF-Guyane administrating the Database (online options?)
Creation of additional data if required
Budget: under estimation
Discussion
MERCI / THANK YOU / DANK U / OBRIGADA
[email protected]
http://www.onfinternational.org
Photo credit: ONF Guyane