Transcript MasterProject18 - Kennesaw State University

Data Analysis and
Forecasting Project –
Interim Report
Delivered to the DJJ
January 2008
Jennifer Lewis Priestley, Ph.D.
Shan Muthersbaugh, MS Candidate
Kennesaw State University
Overview of Analysis
This interim report provides descriptive statistics on existing data from
three sources:
1. The Department of Juvenile Justice
2. The Administrative Office of the Courts
3. The U.S. Census Bureau
The present analysis was executed to develop a finer understanding
of the trends and patterns which may affect future forecasts.
2
Overview of Analysis
This analysis is arranged in the following order:
 At Risk Population
 Filing Population
 Legal Status
• Intakes
• Probation
• STP
• Commitments
 Placement
• RYDC
• STP
• RYDC
• At Home
• NSC
• YDC
• Commitment
• RYDC
• At Home
• NSC
• YDC
All Legal Status and Placements were
analyzed by:
• Region
• Gender
• Ethnicity
• MSO Type
Placements were also analyzed by ALOS
and ADP.
3
At Risk Population – 10 to 16 Year Olds
Observation:
According to the US Census, Georgia
Population of 10-16 Years has
increased steadily since the 2000
Census.
Analysis:
Data Source:
U.S. Census
http://www.census.gov/popest/cou
nties/asrh/files/CC-EST2006alldata.txt
Based on 159 Counties
4
At Risk Population (10-16) by Region
Observation:
Region 3 has exhibited steady
growth since FY2000 – annualized
average growth rate of 2.9%.
Regions 1 and 2 exhibited
annualized average growth rates
of 1.9% and 2.2%, respectively.
Regions 4 and 5 were relatively
flat.
Analysis:
Data Source:
U.S. Census
www.census.gov/popest/counties
/asrh/files/CC-EST2006-alldata.txt
Based on 159 Counties
5
Filing Population
Observation: The number of Unruly
and Delinquent Filings has remained
fairly consistent from CY2004 to
CY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
Administrative Office of the Courts.
Contact – Tiffany Peete
(404-656-6447)
Filings include all 159 Counties.
Note that for each year, missing
values for a small number of counties
(10> was imputed). As a result, the
total figures are slightly higher than
that reported by the AOC.
6
Filing Population by Region
Observation:
The number of Delinquent and Unruly
Filings varies by region. Region 3 has
experienced a steady increase from
FY2004 to FY2006. The average
annualized increase was 6.4%. The
other regions were relatively stable or
negative.
Analysis:
Data Source:
Administrative Office of the Courts.
Contact – Tiffany Peete
(404-656-6447)
Filings include all 159 Counties.
Note that for each year, missing
values for a small number of counties
(10> was imputed). As a result, the
total figures are slightly higher than
that reported by the AOC.
7
Legal Status (Intakes)
Observation: The overall number of
Intakes has increased fairly steadily.
The average yearly increase
between FY2003 and FY2007 is about
7.3%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
8
Intakes as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of Intakes
as a % of the At Risk Population has
increased since FY2003 for all regions
– but at varying rates
Analysis:
Data Source:
Intakes come from DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007).
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 142 Counties
9
Legal Status - Intakes: Region 1
Observation: The overall number of
Intakes in Region 1 has increased
steadily. The average yearly
increase between FY2003 and
FY2007 is about 7.2%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
10
Legal Status – Intakes: Region 2
Observation: The overall number of
Intakes in Region 2 has been fairly
steadily. The average yearly
increase between FY2003 and
FY2007 is about 5.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
11
Legal Status – Intakes: Region 4
Observation: Unlike the other regions,
Region 4 does not demonstrate the
same trend. The average yearly
increase between FY2003 and
FY2007 is about 7.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
12
Legal Status – Intakes: Region 5
Observation: The average annual
increase for Region 5 is 7.7% .
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
13
Intakes as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of Intakes
as a % of the At Risk Population has
increased since FY2003 for both
genders. However, the rate of
increase for males is higher than the
rate of increase for females.
Analysis:
Data Source:
Intakes come from DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007).
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 142 Counties
14
Legal Status – Intakes: Gender
Observation: Male intakes has grown
at a faster rate than female intakes.
Male growth = 7.6% versus Female
growth = 6.6%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
15
Legal Status – Intakes: Black
Observation: Black intakes have
grown at an average rate of 11.5%
since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
16
Legal Status – Intakes: White
Observation: White intakes have
grown at an average rate of 3.4%
since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
17
Legal Status – Intakes: Hispanic
Observation: Hispanic intakes have
grown at an average rate of 14.7%
since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
18
Hispanic Population Trends
Observation: The total Hispanic
population is GA is growing at an
average annual average rate of
9.9%. It should be noted that there is
a larger number of Hispanic Males
than Hispanic Females (the reverse is
true for the Black population, while
the White population has
approximately equal numbers of
males and females).
Analysis:
Data Source:
U.S. Census
http://www.census.gov/popest/cou
nties/asrh/files/CC-EST2006alldata.txt
Based on 159 Counties
19
Legal Status – Intakes: Ethnicity
Observation: Of total intakes, the
percentage of Black intakes is
increasing, albeit at a decreasing
rate. Although Hispanic intakes is
growing, Hispanics are not
comprising a significant increase in
overall intakes, because the overall
numbers are still fairly small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
Note that “other” race was omitted
due to small numbers.
20
Legal Status – Intakes: Drug Sales (MSO1)
Observation: Intakes related to Drug
Sales has experienced moderate
growth since FY2003 – annual
average growth = 7.4%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
21
Legal Status – Intakes: Drug Use (MSO2)
Observation: Intakes related to Drug
Use has experienced moderate
growth since FY2003 – annual
average growth = 8.5%. However,
the annual growth from 2005 to 2007
was 13.4%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
22
Legal Status – Intakes: Property (MSO3)
Observation: Intakes related to
Property appears to follow the same
general trend as Drug Usage. While
the annual growth rate for property
intakes has been moderate at a rate
of 3.4%, the average rate from
FY2005 to FY2007 is 9.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
23
Legal Status – Intakes: Public Order (MSO4)
Observation: Intakes related to Public
Order have demonstrated a strong
increase since FY2003. The average
annual increase was 14.5%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
24
Legal Status – Intakes: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5)
Observation: Intakes related to Non
Violent Sex have demonstrated a
slight decrease since FY2003 –
average annual decrease of 5.9%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
25
Legal Status – Intakes: Status (MSO6)
Observation: While the overall annual
increase in status intakes has
increase dramatically since FY2003 –
17.1% annual increase – the change
from FY2006 to FY2007 was a slight
decrease.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
26
Legal Status – Intakes: Traffic (MSO7)
Observation: The number of traffic
intakes has remained fairly constant
since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
27
Legal Status – Intakes: Violent (MSO8)
Observation: The growth rate of
violent intakes has been moderate
at an average annual rate of 5.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
28
Legal Status – Intakes: Violent Sex (MSO9)
Observation: While the average
growth of violent sex intakes has
exhibited a slight decrease annual
rate of change since FY2003, the
change from FY2006 to FY2007 was
18.4%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
29
Legal Status – Intakes: Technical (MSO10)
Observation: The number of
technical intakes has remained fairly
constant since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
30
Legal Status – Intakes: Weapons (MSO11)
Observation: The growth rate in
weapons intakes has increased by
an annual growth rate of 13.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
31
Legal Status - Probation
Observation: The overall number of
Probations has varied since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
32
Probation as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of
Probations as a % of the At Risk
Population has decreased since
FY2005 for all regions – but at varying
rates
Analysis:
Data Source:
Intakes come from DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007).
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 142 Counties
33
Probation as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of
Probations as a % of the At Risk
Population has decreased since
FY2005 for both Genders.
Analysis:
Data Source:
Intakes come from DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007).
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 142 Counties
34
Legal Status – Probation: Region 1
Observation: The number of juveniles
on Probation in Region 1 changed
year over year. The annualized
change from FY2003 to FY2007 was
3.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
35
Legal Status – Probation: Region 2
Observation: The number of juveniles
on Probation in Region 2 has
decreased since FY2004. The
annualized decrease from FY2003 to
FY2007 is -3.9%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
36
Legal Status – Probation: Region 4
Observation: The number of juveniles
on Probation in Region 4 increased in
FY2004, and then decreased until
FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
37
Legal Status – Probation: Region 5
Observation: The number of juveniles
on Probation in Region 5 increased
from FY2003 to FY2005, and then
decreased.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
38
Legal Status – Probation: Gender
Observation: Probations
demonstrated roughly the same
trend for both genders until FY2007,
when Females decreased while
Males increased.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
39
Legal Status – Probation: Black
Observation: Black probations were
increasing until FY2005, when they
decreased. There was a slight
increase from FY2006 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
40
Legal Status – Probation: White
Observation: White probations
decreased from FY2004 to FY2006.
There was a slight increase in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
41
Legal Status – Probation: Hispanic
Observation: Hispanic probations
have demonstrated the same trend
as White and Black probations - a
decrease from FY2004 to FY2006 and
an increase in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
42
Legal Status – Probation: Ethnicity
Observation: Of total Probations,
Black juveniles comprise over 50%.
While the numbers are still low, the
percentage of total Probations
comprised of Hispanic juveniles has
increased from 2.9% in FY2003 to
3.7% in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
Note that “other” race was omitted
due to small numbers.
43
Legal Status – Probation: ALOS by Regions
Observation: The Average Length of
Stay in a Probation status varies
significantly by Region, with the
shortest stay in Region 4 (which is also
decreasing) and the longest stay in
Region 5. It is worth noting that all
regions decreased from FY2006 to
FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
44
Legal Status – Probation: ADP by Region
Observation: The Average Daily
Population varies significantly across
the Regions. Region 2 has
experienced the greatest decrease
in ADP, followed by Region 5.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 142 Counties
45
Legal Status - STP
Observation: STP legal status
decreased significantly from FY2005
to FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Includes 159 counties
46
Legal Status – STP: Region 1
Observation: Consistent with the
trend for STP overall, the number of
Legal Status STP for Region 1
decreased significantly from FY2004
to FY 2006. However, FY2007 was an
increase over FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Includes 159 Counties
47
Legal Status – STP: Region 2
Observation: Region 2 has
experienced a dramatic decline in
the number of STP since FY2004. The
overall annualized decline is 10%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Includes 159 Counties
48
Legal Status – STP: Region 3
Observation: Consistent with the
trend for STP in Region 1, the number
of Legal Status STP for Region 3
decreased dramatically from FY2004
to FY2006. Then, in FY2007, there was
an increase. The change from
FY2006 to FY2007 was 23%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
49
Legal Status – STP: Region 4
Observation: Although STP status has
decreased in Region 4, unlike the
other regions, Region 4 has
approximately the same number of
STP status’s in FY2007 as they
experienced in FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Includes 159 Counties
50
Legal Status – STP: Region 5
Observation: As was the case with
Regions 1 and 3, Region 5
experienced a decrease in STP Status
between FY2004 and FY2006, with an
increase in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Includes 159 Counties.
51
Legal Status – STP: by Gender
Observation: While both genders
demonstrated a decrease in STP
Legal Status from FY2004 to FY2006,
males increased in FY2007, while
females decreased in FY2007, albeit
at a lower rate that had been seen
previously.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159Counties
52
Legal Status – STP: Black
Observation: Black STP status
decreased from FY2004 to FY2006
and then remained flat in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
53
Legal Status – STP: White
Observation: Similar to the trend
exhibited by black juveniles, white
juveniles experienced a decrease in
the number of STPs from FY2004 to
FY2006 and then remained flat in
FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
54
Legal Status – STP: Hispanic
Observation: Similar to the trend
exhibited by Black and White
juveniles, Hispanic juveniles
experienced a decrease in the
number of STPs from FY2004 to
FY2006. However, the increase from
FY2006 to FY2007 was an increase of
over 30% - albeit on a small base.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
55
Legal Status – STP: Drug Sales (MSO1)
Observation: With the exception of
FY2006, the number of Drug Sales
MSO with an STP Legal Status has
increased. The annualized average
increase is 10%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
56
Legal Status – STP: Drug Use (MSO2)
Observation: With the exception of
FY2004, the number of Drug Use
MSOs with an STP Legal Status as
decreased, with FY2007 remaining
flat.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
57
Legal Status – STP: Property (MSO3)
Observation: After a slight increase in
FY2004, the number of Property MSOs
with an STP legal status decreased
until FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
58
Legal Status – STP: Public Order (MSO4)
Observation: From FY2004 to FY2007,
the number of Public Order MSOs
with a STP Legal Status has
decreased. The annualized
decrease is 8.6%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
59
Legal Status – STP: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Non-Violent Sex MSO,
receiving a legal status of STP is very
low, and has decreased until FY2007,
when there was a slight increase.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
60
Legal Status – STP: Status (MSO6)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Status MSO receiving
a STP legal status increased until
FY2005, and then decreased in
FY2006 and FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
61
Legal Status – STP: Traffic (MSO7)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Traffic MSO receiving
a STP legal status is very low. The
numbers increased until FY2005, and
then decreased in FY2006 and
FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
62
Legal Status – STP: Violent (MSO8)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Violent MSO
receiving a STP legal status, has
decreased steadily since FY2004.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
63
Legal Status – STP: Violent Sex (MSO9)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Violent Sex MSO
receiving a STP legal status is very
low. The number decreased steadily
from FY2004 to FY2006. There was a
slight increase in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
64
Legal Status – STP: Technical (MSO10)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Technical MSO
receiving a STP legal status,
decreased from FY2004 to FY2006.
There was a slight increase in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
65
Legal Status – STP: Weapons (MSO11)
Observation: The number of
juveniles with a Weapons MSO
receiving a STP legal status, has
decreased from FY2004 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
66
Legal Status - Commitments
Observation: The number of
Commitments has remained fairly
steady since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
67
Legal Status – Commitments: Region 1
Observation: The number of
Commitments in Region 1has
remained fairly steady since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
68
Legal Status – Commitments: Region 2
Observation: The number of
Commitments in Region 2 has
decreased fairly steady since FY2003,
with the exception of FY2006. The
annualized decrease was 8.5%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
69
Legal Status – Commitments: Region 3
Observation: The number of
Commitments in Region 3 has
increased steadily since FY2005. The
annualized increase from FY2005 to
FY2007 was19% .
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
70
Legal Status – Commitments: Region 4
Observation: The number of
Commitments in Region 4 has
remained fairly steady since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
71
Legal Status – Commitments: Region 5
Observation: The number of
Commitments in Region 5 has
remained fairly steady, until FY2007,
when it decreased by 28% from
FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
72
Legal Status – Commitments: Gender
Observation: Male Commitments
have fluctuated over time, while
Female Commitments have
remained steady, until FY2007, when
both genders experienced a
decrease.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159Counties
73
Legal Status – Commitments: Black
Observation: The number of Black
juveniles with a Commitment Legal
Status has fluctuated, with FY2007
decreasing from FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
74
Legal Status – Commitments: White
Observation: The number of White
juveniles with a Commitment Legal
Status has decreased steadily since
FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
75
Legal Status – Commitments: Hispanic
Observation: The number of Hispanic
juveniles with a Commitment Legal
Status has increased steadily since
FY2003. The average annualized
increase is 23.7% - albeit on a small
base.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
76
Legal Status – Commitments: Ethnicity
Observation: The percentage of
Commitments comprised of Black
and Hispanic juveniles is increasing,
while the percentage of
Commitments comprised of White
juveniles is decreasing.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties
77
Legal Status – Commitments: Drug Sales (MSO1)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Drug Sales MSO and a
Committed legal status is very small.
The number has increased steadily
since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
78
Legal Status – Commitments: Drug Use (MSO2)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Drug Use MSO and a
Committed legal status has
fluctuated since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
79
Legal Status – Commitments: Property (MSO3)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Property MSO and a
Committed legal status has
fluctuated since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
80
Legal Status – Commitments: Public Order (MSO4)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Public Order MSO and a
Committed legal status has seen a
slow steady decline since FY2003,
with the exception of FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
81
Legal Status – Commitments: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Non-Violent Sex MSO and a
Committed legal status is very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
82
Legal Status – Commitments: Status (MSO6)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Status MSO and a Committed
legal status is very small and steadily
decreasing.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
83
Legal Status – Commitments: Traffic (MSO7)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Traffic MSO and a Committed
legal status is very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
84
Legal Status – Commitments: Violent (MSO8)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Violent MSO and a
Committed legal status has been
increasing fairly steadily since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
85
Legal Status – Commitments: Violent Sex (MSO9)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Violent Sex MSO and a
Committed legal status decreased
from FY2003 to FY2005, but increased
from FY2005 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
86
Legal Status – Commitments: Technical (MSO10)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Technical MSO and a
Committed legal status has
experienced a general upward trend
until FY2007, when there was a slight
decrease.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
87
Legal Status – Commitments: Weapons (MSO11)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with a Weapons MSO and a
Committed legal status has
fluctuated since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
88
Legal Status – Commitments: All Types
Observation: Of the three types of
Commitments, the majority are
“Regular”. The annualized change in
Regular Commitments is a -2.4%
decrease, while the annualized
change in Designate Felons is a 9.3%
increase.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
89
ALOS for MSO by Legal Status – FY2007
MSOType
INTAKES ALOS
PROBATION ALOS
STP ALOS
COMMITMENTS ALOS
1 (Drug Sales)
2 (Drug Use)
3 (Property)
4 (Public Order)
5 (Non Violent Sex)
101
84
76
63
79
225
242
229
238
254
42
40
39
40
45
537
522
630
588
499
6 (Status)
7 (Traffic)
8 (Violent)
9 (Violent Sex)
10 (Technical)
11 (Weapons)
57
54
78
148
124
83
253
208
229
335
286
227
37
36
41
37
41
36
552
711
687
766
431
621
Each Cell indicates the Average Length of Stay for
the MSO Type/Legal Status combination. For
Example, the average length of stay for an intake
with a Drug Selling Offense is 101 days.
90
The following set of slides reflect placements
91
Placements (RYDC)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering into an RYDC has grown
steadily since FY2003. The
annualized growth rate is 4.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
92
RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of RYDC
Placements as a % of the At Risk
Population has varied by region.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
93
RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: While the number of
RYDC Placements as a % of the At
Risk Population has remained
relatively stable for females, it has
exhibited a slight increase for males.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
94
RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Ethnicity
Observation: While the % of White
juveniles in RYDC Placement has
decreased, the % of Black juveniles
has increased. The % of Hispanic
juveniles has remained relatively
stable.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
95
Placements – RYDC: Region 1
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering into an RYDC in Region 1
has grown annually with the
exception of FY2006. The annualized
growth rate is 4.6%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
96
Placements – RYDC: Region 2
Observation: Until FY2007, the
number of juveniles in an RYDC in
Region 2 was increasing at an
annualized rate of 5.1%. In FY2007,
there was a -16.9% decrease from
FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
97
Placements – RYDC: Region 3
Observation: Region 3 has
experienced a fairly steady increase
in the number of juveniles entering
into an RYDC. The annualized
average growth rate is 5.6%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
98
Placements – RYDC: Region 4
Observation: Region 4 has
experienced a fairly steady increase
in the number of juveniles entering
into an RYDC. The annualized
average growth rate is 7.0%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
99
Placements – RYDC: Region 5
Observation: Region 4 has
experienced a slow steady increase
in the number of juveniles entering
into an RYDC. The annualized
average growth rate is 2.3%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
100
Placements – RYDC: Gender
Observation: There is a difference in
RYDC placement growth rates. The
average annualized growth rate for
males is 4.8%, while the average
annualized growth rate for females is
2.0%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
101
Placements – RYDC: Black
Observation: The number of Black
juveniles in RYDC placement has
increased steadily since FY2003. The
annualized average growth rate is
7.5%. The change from FY2006 to
FY2007 was only 2.0%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
102
Placements – RYDC: White
Observation: After a slight increase
from FY2003 to FY2004, the number of
White juveniles entering into RYDC
placement has decreased at an
average annualized rate of -3.6%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
103
Placements – RYDC: Hispanic
Observation: Although the overall
numbers are small, the rate of
increase for Hispanic juveniles
entering into RYDC placement is
increasing at a rate of 15% per year.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
104
Placements – RYDC: Drug Sales (MSO1)
Observation: The number of RYDC
placements for a Drug Selling offense
has increased 32.5% per year since
FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
105
Placements – RYDC: Drug Use (MSO2)
Observation: The number of RYDC
placements for a Drug Usage offense
has remained fairly stable
sinceFY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
106
Placements – RYDC: Property (MSO3)
Observation: After several years of
decrease, the number of RYDC
placements related to a Property
offense has increased at an
annualized average rate of 7.4%
since FY2005.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
107
Placements – RYDC: Public Order (MSO4)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering RYDC for a Public Order
offense has increased fairly steadily
at an average annualized rate of
4.0%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
108
Placements – RYDC: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering an RYDC with a Non-Violent
Sex offense is very small and has
remained stable since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
109
Placements – RYDC: Status (MSO6)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering an RYDC with a Status
offense has increased steadily until
FY2006 – the average annualized
rate from FY2003 to FY2006 was
12.4%. The number for FY2007 was a
1% decrease from FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
110
Placements – RYDC: Traffic (MSO7)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering an RYDC with a Traffic
offense has increased from FY2003 to
FY2005, and then decreased from
FY2005 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
111
Placements – RYDC: Violent (MSO8)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering an RYDC with a Violent
offense increased steadily since
FY2003. The annualized average
rate of increase is 7.1%. The change
from FY2006 to FY2007 was about
.9%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
112
Placements – RYDC: Violent Sex (MSO9)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering RYDC placement for a
Violent Sex offense has gradually
decreased since FY2003. the
annualized average rate of
decrease is -4.2%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
113
Placements – RYDC: Technical (MSO10)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering RYDC placement for a
Technical offense increased from
FY2003 to FY2005. After a decrease
in FY2006, the number remained
stable in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
114
Placements – RYDC: Weapons (MSO11)
Observation: The number of juveniles
entering RYDC placement for a
Weapons offense has increased
steadily since FY2003. The
annualized average growth rate is
9.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
115
Placements – RYDC: ALOS by Region
Observation: The Average Length of
Stay in an RYDC varies by Region.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
116
Placements – RYDC: ADP by Region
Observation: The Average Daily
Population in an RYDC varies by
Region. It should be noted that
Region 3 experienced a 13.3%
increase from FY2006 to FY2007, and
Region 4 experienced a 16.6%
increase over the same period.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
117
Placement - STP
Observation: Since the high number
of STP placements in FY2004, the
annualized average decrease to
FY2007 has been 18.8%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
118
STP as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of STP
Placements as a % of the At Risk
Population has exhibited a sharp
decline across all regions.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
119
STP as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of STP
Placements as a % of the At Risk
Population has exhibited a sharp
decline for both genders.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
120
STP as a % of At Risk Population: by Ethnicity
Observation: The number of STP
Placements as a % of the At Risk
Population has exhibited a sharp
decline across all Ethnicities.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
121
Placements – STP: Region 1
Observation: Region 1 has exhibited
a similar trend in STP placements.
The overall annualized average
decrease since FY2004 has been
over 22%. However, the change
from FY2006 to FY2007 was only -4.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
122
Placements – STP: Region 2
Observation: Region 2 has exhibited
a similar trend in STP placements.
The overall annualized average
decrease since FY2004 has been
over 17%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
123
Placements – STP: Region 3
Observation: Region 3 has exhibited
a similar trend in STP placements –
until FY2007. The overall annualized
average decrease since FY2004 has
been over 15%. However, from
FY2006 to FY2007, STP placements
increased 2.7%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
124
Placements – STP: Region 4
Observation: Region 4 has exhibited
a slightly different trend in STP
placements. The number of STP
placements peaked in FY2005. The
region has exhibited an annualized
average decrease of 9% since the
FY2005 peak.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
125
Placements – STP: Region 5
Observation: Region 5 has exhibited
a trend in STP placements similar to
that of most of the other regions. The
overall annualized average
decrease since FY2004 has been
12.9%. However, the decrease from
FY2006 to FY2007 was only 5.7%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
126
Placements – STP: Gender
Observation: The number of STP
placements has exhibited
approximately the same trend for
each gender.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
127
Placements – STP: Black
Observation: The number of Black
juveniles entering STP placement has
decreased at an annualized
average rate of 11.9%, since FY2004.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
128
Placements – STP: White
Observation: The number of White
juveniles entering STP placement has
decreased at an annualized
average rate of 17.2% since FY2004.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
129
Placements – STP: Hispanic
Observation: The number of Hispanic
juveniles in STP placement exhibited
a similar trend to juveniles of other
races, until FY2007. The increase
from FY2006 to FY2007 was 13.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
130
Placements – STP: Drug Selling (MSO1)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a drug
selling offense has varied. The
change from FY2006 to FY2007 was a
27.4% increase – albeit on a small
base.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
131
Placements – STP: Drug Use (MSO2)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a drug
usage offense has exhibited the
same basic trend as STP placement
overall – a steady decline since
FY2004. The annualized average
decrease has been 16.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
132
Placements – STP: Property (MSO3)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a
property offense has exhibited the
same basic trend as STP placement
overall – a fairly steady decline since
FY2004. The annualized average
decrease has been 10.9%. Although
the decrease from FY2006 to FY2007
slowed to 4.9%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
133
Placements – STP: Public Order (MSO4)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a Public
Order offense has exhibited the
same basic trend as STP placement
overall – a fairly steady decline since
FY2004. The annualized average
decrease has been 14.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
134
Placements – STP: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a NonViolent Sex offense is very small and
has decreased since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
135
Placements – STP: Status (MSO6)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a Status
offense peaked in FY2005 and
decreased at an annualized
average rate of 18%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
136
Placements – STP: Traffic (MSO7)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a Traffic
offense are small. They peaked in
FY2004 and then decreased.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
137
Placements – STP: Violent (MSO8)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a Violent
offense peaked in FY2004, and then
decreased at an annualized
average rate of 12.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
138
Placements – STP: Violent Sex (MSO9)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a Violent
Sex offense peaked in FY2004, and
then decreased at an annualized
average rate of 12.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
139
Placements – STP: Technical (MSO10)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a
Technical offense peaked in FY2004,
and then decreased at an
annualized average rate of 16.2%.
The decrease from FY2006 to FY2007
was only 5.1%
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
140
Placements – STP: Weapons (MSO11)
Observation: The number of juveniles
with an STP placement for a
Weapons offense peaked in FY2004,
and then decreased at an
annualized average rate of 11.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
141
Placements – STP: ALOS by Region
Observation: The five regions have
demonstrated the same general
decreasing trend in the Average
Length of Stay in a STP Placement
since FY2003, with the exception
of FY2006, when Regions 1 and 2
increased – and then fell back
down in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
142
Placements – STP: ADP by Region
Observation: The five regions have
demonstrated the same general
decreasing trend in the Average
Daily Population in a STP
Placement since FY2003. It should
be noted that Region 1, which
had the highest ADP in FY2003,
had the lowest ADP in FY2007,
while Region 4 had the lowest
ADP in FY2003, had the highest
ADP in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
143
Placements – STP: All Types
Observation: Since FY2005, the mix
of STP Placements has changed
from predominantly RYDC to YDC
(ST).
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
144
Placements – STP: RYDC
Observation: The number of juveniles
in an STP:RYDC placement has
decreased since FY2004. The
annualized average decrease was
22.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
145
STP:RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of
STP:RYDC Placements as a % of the
At Risk Population has exhibited a
sharp decline across all regions.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
146
STP:RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of
STP:RYDC Placements as a % of the
At Risk Population has exhibited a
sharp decline across both Genders.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
147
Placements – STP: RYDC - ALOS
Observation: The Average Length of
Stay in an STP:RYDC varies by Region.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
148
Placements – STP: RYDC - ADP
Observation: Although the Average
Daily Population for STP:RYDC
Placement varies by Region, all five
regions demonstrate the same basic
trend – a dramatic decrease in ADP
from FY2005 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
149
Placements – STP: At Home
Observation: After an increase from
FY2003 to FY2005, there has been a
dramatic decrease in the number of
juveniles placed in STP: At Home.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
150
STP: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: With the exception of
Region 3, all regions have exhibited
an increase in the number of STP:At
Home Placements as a % of the At
Risk Population.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
151
STP: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of STP: At
Home Placements as a % of the At
Risk Population has exhibited an
increase for Genders.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
152
Placements – STP: At Home - ALOS
Observation: The Average Length of
Stay for STP: At Home placement
varies by Region. It should be noted
that from FY2006 to FY2007 both
Region 5 and Region 3 have
experienced a strong increase, while
the other regions have either
decreased or remained stable.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
153
Placements – STP: At Home - ADP
Observation: Across all regions, the
Average Daily Population for STP: At
Home placement has decreased
dramatically since FY2005.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
154
Placements – STP: NSC/Residential
Observation: The number of STP: NSC
placements has varied year over
year since FY2003. However, the
annualized trend has been
downward since FY2004 – the
average annualized decrease from
FY2004 to FY2007 is 27.7%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
155
STP: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of juveniles
in an STP:NSC Placement as a% of
the At Risk Population, has varied
across all five regions. However, all
regions have exhibited a sharp
decline in the percentage of STP:NSC
Placements since FY2005. Note that
the percentages are very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
156
STP: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of STP: NSC
Placements as a % of the At Risk
Population has exhibited a recent
decrease for both Genders. Note
that the percentages are very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
157
Placements – STP: NSC/Residential - ALOS
Observation: The Average Length of
Stay for STP: NSC placement varies
by Region. Regions 1 and 3
exhibited a significant increase from
FY2006 to FY2007 – 40.5% and 67.9%,
respectively.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
158
Placements – STP: NSC/Residential - ADP
Observation: The Average Daily
Population of STP:NSC placements
decreased dramatically for all
Regions from FY2006 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
159
Placements – STP: YDC (Short Term)
Observation: The number of STP: YDC
had decreased steadily from FY2003
to FY2006, but increased from FY2006
to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
160
STP: YDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of juveniles
in an STP:YDC Placement as a% of
the At Risk Population, has
decreased across all five regions.
Note that the percentages are very
small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
161
STP: YDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of juveniles
in an STP:YDC Placement as a % of
the At Risk Population, has
decreased across both Genders.
Note that the percentages are very
small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
162
Placements – STP: YDC (Short Term) - ALOS
Observation: The Average Length of
Stay for STP: YDC has decreased
steadily and consistently across the
five regions from FY2003 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
163
Placements – STP: YDC (Short Term) - ADP
Observation: The Average Daily
Population of STP:YDC placements
has decreased steadily and
consistently across the five regions –
until FY2006. From FY2006 to FY2007,
Regions 1 experienced an increase,
while Regions 3 and 4 were stable
from FY2006 to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
164
Placements – Commitment
Observation: The number of
Commitments has varied over time.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
165
Placements – Commitment
Observation: Note that this is the
same slide with a different axis.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
166
Commitments as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment Placement as a%
of the At Risk Population, has varied
across the five regions.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
167
Commitments as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment Placement as a%
of the At Risk Population, has
remained relatively stable for both
Genders.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
168
Commitments as a % of At Risk Population: by Ethnicity
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment Placement as a%
of the At Risk Population, has varied
by Ethnicity. After several years of
stability, the % of Black juveniles
increased in FY2006.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
169
Placements – Commitment: Region 1
Observation: Region 1 has exhibited
a slight decline in Commitments
since FY2004 – annualized average
decrease of 3.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
170
Placements – Commitment: Region 2
Observation: Region 2 has exhibited
a slight decline in Commitments
since FY2004 – annualized average
decrease of 4.2%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
171
Placements – Commitment: Region 3
Observation: Region 3 has exhibited
a strong increase in Commitments
since FY2005 – annualized average
increase of 9.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
172
Placements – Commitment: Region 4
Observation: Region 4 has exhibited
a slight increase in Commitments
since FY2004 – annualized average
increase of 3.7%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
173
Placements – Commitment: Region 5
Observation: Region 5 has exhibited
variation in Commitments since
FY2003 – but the annualized average
change from FY2003 to FY2007 was a
slight decrease of 1.3%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
174
Placements – Commitment: Gender
Observation: Although the number of
Commitments has not varied
dramatically for either gender, the
change from FY2003 to FY2007 for
males was slightly positive, while the
change for females was slightly
negative.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
175
Placements – Commitment: Black
Observation: The number of Black
juveniles in Commitment has
increased since FY2003. The
annualized average increase has
been 3.7%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
176
Placements – Commitment: White
Observation: The number of White
juveniles in Commitment has
decreased since FY2003. The
annualized average decrease has
been 6.9%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
177
Placements – Commitment: Hispanic
Observation: Although the base is
small, the number of Hispanic
juveniles in Commitment is increasing
at an annualized average rate of
16%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
178
Placements – Commitment: Hispanic
Observation: Same slide with a
different axis
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
179
Placements – Commitment: Drug Selling (MSO1)
Observation: The number of
Commitments for a Drug Selling
offense has increased since FY2003.
The annualized average increase
from FY2003 to FY2007 is 28.8% - albeit
from a small base.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
180
Placements – Commitment: Drug Usage (MSO2)
Observation: The number of
Commitments for a Drug Usage
offense has decreased since FY2004.
The annualized average decrease
from FY2003 to FY2007 is 3.7%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
181
Placements – Commitment: Property (MSO3)
Observation: The number of
Commitments for a Property offense
has varied since FY2004. The
annualized average decrease from
FY2003 to FY2007 is 1.2%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
182
Placements – Commitment: Public Order (MSO4)
Observation: The number of
Commitments for a Property offense
has varied since FY2004. The
annualized average decrease from
FY2003 to FY2007 is 1.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
183
Placements – Commitment: Non-Violent Sex (MSO5)
Observation: The number of
Commitments for a Non-Violent Sex
offense has varied since FY2003.
Although the numbers are small, the
increase from FY2006 to FY2007 was
34%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
184
Placements – Commitment: Status (MSO6)
Observation: Since FY2004, the
number of Commitments with a
Status offense has steadily
decreased at an annualized
average rate of 4.8%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
185
Placements – Commitment: Traffic (MSO7)
Observation: Since the peak number
in FY2005, the number of
Commitments with a Traffic offense
has steadily decreased at an
annualized average rate of 27% albeit from a small base.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
186
Placements – Commitment: Violent (MSO8)
Observation: The number of
Commitments with a Violent offense
has increased steadily since FY2003
at an annualized average rate of
3.6%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
187
Placements – Commitment: Violent Sex (MSO9)
Observation: The number of
Commitments with a Violent Sex
offense had decreased steadily from
FY2003 to FY2006, but then increased
in FY2007 by 3.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
188
Placements – Commitment: Technical (MSO10)
Observation: The number of
Commitments with a Technical
offense had increased steadily from
FY2003 to FY2006, but then
decreased in FY2007. From FY2003 to
FY2007, the annualized average
increase was 9.1%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
189
Placements – Commitment: Weapons (MSO11)
Observation: The number of
Commitments with a Weapons
offense has varied since FY2003.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
190
Placements – Commitment: ALOS by Region
Observation: The five regions have
demonstrated roughly the same
trend for Average Length of Stay – a
variable decrease from FY2003 to
FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
191
Placements – Commitment: ADP by Region
Observation: Consistent with the
ALOS tends, the Average Daily
Population has decreased from
FY2003 to FY2007 across all five
regions. It is worth noting that Region
4 had the lowest ADP in FY2003 and
the highest ADP in FY2007, while
Region 1 had the highest ADP in
FY2003 and the lowest ADP in FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
192
Placements – Commitment: RYDC
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Committed RYDC Placement
has increased since FY2003. While
there has been variation year over
year, the annualized average
increase is 2.3%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
193
Commitments: RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment:RYDC Placement
as a % of the At Risk Population, has
varied across the five regions. Note
the percentages are very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
194
Commitments: RYDC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment:RYDC Placement
as a % of the At Risk Population, has
remained fairly stable for both
Genders. Note the percentages are
very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
195
Placements – Commitment: RYDC - ALOS
Observation: With the exception of
Region 1, all regions have followed
the same basic ALOS trends, with all
regions exhibiting an ALOS of
approximately 42 days in FY2007.
Region 1 is lower at 36 days.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
196
Placements – Commitment: RYDC - ADP
Observation: The Average Daily
Population for Committed RYDC
placements varies by Region. While
the other four regions have
experienced limited or negative
growth between FY2003 and FY2007,
Region 3 has experienced an
annualized growth rate of 5.4% .
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
197
Placements – Commitment: At Home
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Committed At Home Placement
has increased steadily from FY2003 to
FY2007. The average annualized
increase is 2.3%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
198
Commitments: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment: At Home
Placement as a % of the At Risk
Population, has varied across the five
regions. Note the percentages are
very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
199
Commitments: At Home as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment: At Home
Placement as a % of the At Risk
Population, has remained fairly
stable for both Genders. Note the
percentages are very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
200
Placements – Commitment: At Home - ALOS
Observation: The ALOS for
Committed At Home Placements
varies by region. It should be noted
that Regions 2, 4 and 5 experienced
a dramatic rise in ALOS from FY2006
to FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
201
Placements – Commitment: At Home - ADP
Observation: The ADP for Committed
At Home placements varies by
region. It should be noted that
Region 3 exhibited an annualized
average growth of 10.4% since
FY2003 and Region 4 exhibited an
annualized growth rate of 8.2%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
202
Placements – Commitment: NSC/Residential
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Committed NSC Placement has
fluctuated between FY2003 and
FY2007. However, the overall trend
has been one of decrease. The
average annualized decrease is
4.5%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
203
Commitments: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Region
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment: NSC Placement as
a % of the At Risk Population, has
varied across the five regions. Note
the percentages are very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
204
Commitments: NSC as a % of At Risk Population: by Gender
Observation: The number of juveniles
in a Commitment: NSC Placement as
a % of the At Risk Population, has
exhibited recent increases for both
Genders. Note the percentages are
very small.
Analysis:
Data Source:
RYDC Placements come from DJJ
Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
At Risk Population based on US
Census Data.
Based on 159 Counties.
205
Placements – Commitment: NSC/Residential - ALOS
Observation: The ALOS for
Committed NSC Placements varies
by region. With the exception of
Region 3, all Regions have an ALOS
in FY2007 of between 165 and 178.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
206
Placements – Commitment: NSC/Residential - ADP
Observation: The ADP for Committed
NSC Placements has varied since
FY2003 for all five regions. Region 3
continues to have the highest ADP.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
207
Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term)
Observation: After several years of
increases, the number of Committed
YDC Placements decreased in
FY2007.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
208
Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term) - ALOS
Observation: The ALOS for
Committed YDC Placement has
varied across the regions. It is worth
noting that Region 5 has exhibited a
steady increase since FY2003 – an
annualized average increase of
19.3%.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
209
Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term) - ADP
Observation: The ADP for Committed
YDC Placement has varied across
the regions. It is worth noting that
Regions 3 and 4 have exhibited a
steady increase since FY2004 – an
annualized average increase of over
15% for both.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
210
Placements – Commitment: YDC (Long Term) - Types
Observation: The mix of YDC
Commitment Placements has
gradually exhibited an increase in
the percentage of Designated
Felons and decreased the
percentage of Regular
Commitments.
Analysis:
Data Source:
DJJ Case Data
(received December 13, 2007)
Based on 159 Counties.
211
ALOS for MSO by Placement- FY2007
MSOType
RYDC
1
14
22
98
8
37
30
312
125
140
2
15
25
172
222
36
31
308
173
173
3
21
22
89
114
38
38
325
150
170
4
16
19
101
125
37
32
261
159
155
5
23
72
.
438
38
33
426
132
182
6
11
21
235
153
36
20
117
190
172
7
17
22
37
139
34
47
412
136
282
8
27
27
113
123
41
55
403
148
205
9
73
36
.
458
33
140
421
349
282
10
16
23
135
189
36
25
167
138
164
11
15
23
53
79
36
38
324
139
212
STP:RYDC STP:At Home STP:NSC
STP:YDC Commitment Commitment Commitment Commitment
:RYDC
:YDC
:Home
:NSC
212