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Priority Medicines Project
Background review
Tuberculosis
Dr Mary Moran
London School of Economics
September 2004
Tuberculosis (TB)
TB is an old disease with old management tools
No novel TB drugs for 30 years
No new vaccine for 80 years
No new field diagnostic test for 120 years
(My report is also “old” – things move quickly)
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Tuberculosis (TB)
Current TB strategy (DOTS) is superior to other approaches but
is not enough in areas of:
High MDR-TB prevalence
High HIV/AIDS prevalence
TB case notifications are rising rapidly in:
Eastern Europe and Former Soviet Union
The expanded EU has 50,000 TB cases/year
10% of these cases are resistant to one or more TB drugs
Africa
HIV-linked TB now represents >20% of all TB cases globally.
HIV-TB has quadrupled between 1995 and 2000
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TB growth rates in Europe
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Obstacles to TB control
Technical limitations of existing TB tools
Dx test (AFB) detects only around 50% of active TB cases
No cheap, rapid reliable tests for screening / MDR-TB*
Lengthy drug treatment with up to 80-100 observed doses*
MDR-TB treatment very poor*
*An issue in both OECD and DC
Expensive and cumbersome system needed to manage old TB tools
Costs of “managing” cheap old tools make up 80-90% of treatment cost (e.g. frequent
observation; repeat testing)*
The 2-year MDR-TB treatment costs up to 1,400 times more*
*An issue in both OECD and DC
70% global case detection targets may not be realistic using current DOTS
tools and approaches
DC infrastructure problems (common to all diseases i.e. not TB-specific)
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Lessons from past/current research
Breakthroughs in basic research (genome/proteins)
Driven by increased public funding since early ‘90s (now $120 million/year)
The multinational pharmaceutical industry is no longer the lead
player in TB
Few multinational companies have retained TB activities (~ all EU-based)
Modest but useful activity in vaccines/drug discovery
The majority of TB R&D is now done by smaller players:
Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs)
1 drug; 1 diagnostic; 2 vaccine
•
Small to mid-size industry (biotechs/CROs/med technology firms), often in
collaboration with public funders, PPPs or via PPP-outsourcing
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Lessons from past/current research
The US dominates R&D for TB (funding and activity)
EC funding for new TB tools is minimal
$8.5 mill/year under FP5 for drug, diagnostics and vaccines R&D and
basic research. (Latvia’s MDR costs alone are $7.7 million for 600
patients)
Additional $8 mill/year announced on World TB Day 2004 for vaccine R&D
(TB and delivery systems)
Public funding is poorly targeted
No incentives to link industry activity with PPPs willing and eager to
outsource to industry
Incentives poorly designed for the small to mid-size companies who are
active in TB
Almost no funding of PPPs, who are driving new R&D
<$2.5 million total for drug/dx PPPs since inception
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Current pipeline
•
50 diagnostics currently on the market or in development, many
promising for DC adaptation
–
–
•
FIND (PPP) co-developing DC tests with small industry (biotechs/medical technology)
Expected around 2005-2008
~13 novel drug compounds in known development for TB (as of end
2003)
–
–
Ten compounds by the TB Alliance (PPP)
Half a dozen small company/biotech projects
•
•
–
–
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3 active TB collaborations (NIAID, other nfp)
Several commercial projects (e.g. immune regulators), but looking for public partners for
possible TB development
Plus early discovery activity, academic and industry
Expected around 2010
3 vaccines in Phase I trials
–
–
Public or PPPs
Expected around 2015 or later
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Gaps/opportunities for R&D
• New diagnostics
– Adapt existing Dx’s to poor settings
– Cheap ($5-20 million); fast (1-3 years); EU small industry very active; US
not a big player
• New drugs
– Current new pipeline compounds!! (MDR and TB)
– Adapt existing antibiotics for a TB indication: could halve treatment times
(not MDR)
– Follow-up early compounds with promising anti-TB activity (>200 hits)
– Cost of new drug development: around $76-115 million (from lead
compound up to registration); industry outsourcing opportunities+++;
opportunity to increase role of EU biotechs/academics/CROs
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Gaps/opportunities for R&D
• New delivery mechanisms and approaches
– Depot and slow-release drugs (greatly reduce observations)
– Skin patch and “electronic nose” diagnostics
– Mucosal vaccines (recent EC funding boost)
• Develop supportive technologies
– Surrogate markers that will cut drug/vaccine trial times and costs
– Vaccine adjuvants
• Follow-up the basic research needed for new tools
– Molecular targets for drugs/vaccines
– Better understanding of latency, reactivation and the human immune
response to TB
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Filling the gaps
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Systematic approach to compounds with anti-TB promise (e.g. an EU
consortium supported by a public screening facility)
•
Use PPPs to act as a conduit/co-ordinator:
– Identify gaps, seek out and prioritise R&D opportunities, link
academia/industry to these R&D gaps (see following)
•
Outsource identified R&D needs to industry (e.g. pre-clinical, medicinal
chemistry)
• Potentially lucrative for industry
• Keeps industry activity tightly focussed on R&D gaps
• Reduces risk for government funders
•
Link industry incentives to R&D on identified pipeline “gaps” (e.g. drug
discovery; adjuvant technologies) rather than lower priority areas
•
Develop incentives tailored to small and mid-size industry
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Conclusions
TB and MDR-TB are on the increase, including in the EU
Current TB tools and approaches are insufficient to manage resurgent
HIV-TB and MDR-TB
There are many promising new TB diagnostic and drug leads
A major obstacle to developing these is the lack of appropriate incentives
to link industry activity (small and large) to desired TB R&D outcomes and
pipelines
PPPs offer a useful link between government funding and industry activity;
and between industry activity and health outcomes
Well-designed funding strategies can:
Deliver high-impact new TB tools within 3-6 years
Support EU industry and academia
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