Transcript Document

Investigating Changes in FatalCrash-Involved Drivers’
Cannabinoid Prevalence after
Passage of Medical Marijuana Laws
G. Vanine Guenzburger
Scott V. Masten
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Research & Development
Background
• Marijuana use affects perception, concentration,
decision making, attention, reaction time, and
coordination
• Marijuana use within 4 hrs. before driving
associated with 2-6 times higher risk of crashing
• CA first to pass medical marijuana law in the US:
o Proposition 215 (1996) – Legalized
o Senate Bill 420 (2004) – Operationalized
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US Medical Marijuana Laws
Maryland
New
Mexico
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Research Questions
1. Are medical marijuana laws associated with changes in
cannabinoid prevalence among drivers involved in fatal
crashes in states with such laws?
2. Are changes in prevalence associated with the degree of
patients’ accessibility to marijuana?
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Data
 Source: Fatality Analysis Reporting System
 Outcome Measure:
Prevalence  % of drivers with detected
cannabinoids  not necessarily impaired
 Regions studied: 13 states with Medical
Marijuana laws
 Cohorts: Two were studied
o All drivers involved in fatal crashes
o Fatally-injured drivers
 Time Period: 1992 – 2009
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Confounding Variables
 Driver drug testing regularity in each state
o Related to higher cannabinoid prevalence
• Increased in CA after marijuana law
o Varies greatly from year to year
 National trend for drivers’ cannabinoid
prevalence
oIncreased 1% to 4% in non-medical
marijuana states from 1992-2009
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Drug testing and Cannabinoid Prevalence
among CA Drivers in fatal crashes
State Cannabinoid Prevalence
Percentage of Fatal-Crash-Involved Drivers
50
State Drug Testing
SB 420
Prop 215
(2004)
(1996)
45
National Cannabinoid Prevalence
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
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CA Testing
increased
CA Marijuana
prevalence did not
differ from National
Trend
Step change and
plateau with
operationalization
(2.1%)
National Trend
approaching
California’s
0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20097
Year
All Fatal-Crash-Involved Drivers
State
California
% step change in
prevalence
2.1*
Access
Rankings
(most to least)
1
Michigan
-0.1
2
Rhode Island
-2.5
3
Maine
0.1
4
Montana
-0.6
5
Colorado
-0.2
6
New Mexico
0.1
7
Hawaii
6.0*
8
Washington
3.4*
9
Nevada
1.2
10
Oregon
0.1
11
Vermont
0.0
12
Alaska
-2.2
13
Maryland
0.1
14
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Drug Testing and Cannabinoid
Prevalence Killed CA Drivers
100
State Cannabinoid Prevalence
National Cannabinoid Prevalence
SB 420
Prop 215
90
Percentage of Fatally-Injured Drivers
State Drug Testing
(2004)
(1996)
80
70
60
CA Testing
increased
50
40
30
20
10
CA Marijuana
prevalence
did not differ
from National
Trend
Step change and
plateau with
Operationalization
(5.7%)
National Trend
Approaching
California’s
0
1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Year
9
Fatally-Injured Drivers
State
% step change in
prevalence
Access Rankings
(most to least)
California
5.7*
1
Michigan
0.4
2
Rhode Island
-4.6
3
Maine
0.0
4
Montana
-1.4
5
Colorado
-0.5
6
New Mexico
1.6
7
Hawaii
9.6*
8
Washington
4.6*
9
Nevada
2.0
10
Oregon
-1.2*
11
Vermont
-1.0
12
Alaska
-1.5
13
Maryland
0.1
14
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Conclusions
 Implementation of medical marijuana laws was associated with
changes in cannabinoid prevalence among drivers involved in
fatal crashes in only three states
o California
o Hawaii
o Washington
 Increases were step changes, not upward trends
 Changes in prevalence were not associated with ease of patient
access to marijuana
Note: Volatility of driver drug testing may be masking law
effects in the other states
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Recommendations
• Driver drug testing should be standardized
and more consistent
• Next: Investigate relationship of driver
marijuana use to crash contribution
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Questions / Follow-up
Contact:
Patrice Rogers,
California DMV Research and Development Branch—DUI Unit Manager
[email protected]
G. Vanine Guenzburger
DMV Research and Development Branch—Project Leader
[email protected]
Research & Development Branch
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