Transcript SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL (Contd)

SUSTANIBILITY : PROSPERITY THAT
PRESERVES RESOURCES AND LIMITS
EMISSIONS
By
Y.S. Rajan
www.ysrajan.com
[email protected]
BENGALURU
12 –January 2016, CII PARTNERSHIP SUMMIT
BETTER TO HAVE A COMMON
UNDERSTANDING ABOUT THE WORD
SUSTAINABILITY
“ It is the ability to hold on to the STATUS
which we consider to be good for us, our
society and perhaps the world (?) “
PROSPERITY : GOOD MATIERIAL LIFE,
WITHOUT SEROIUS MISMATCH BETWEEN
“WANTS” AND “WHAT WE HAVE” FOR ALL (?)
10 + BILLION.
PRESERVE
RESOURCES : OF EARTH,
OCEANS, ATMOSPHERE, BIOSPHERE, AND
THE COSMIC SPACE AROUND.
LIMITS EMISSION : REMEMBER LAWS OF
THERMODYNAMICS!
DIMENSIONS







SCIENTIFIC, TECHNOLOGICAL
ECONOMIC, BUSINESS
GEOCOMMERCIAL
SOCIAL, POLITICAL (NATIONAL, GEO)
UNIVERSAL, REGIONAL, LOCAL
CULTURES, RELEGIONS, IDEOLOGIES
HUMAN VALUES (NOT EASY TO CAPTURE)
…………..MORE
SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL
 CLEANER COAL USE, LESSER FOSSIL
FULES, LESSER USE OF MATERIALS, LESSER
CONSUMPTION, LESSER WASTE : REDUCE,
RECYCLE, REUSE.
CARBON
NEUTRAL
SOURCES:
MOST
BIOPRODUCTS, BIOPROCESSING, BIOFUELS.
SCIENTIFIC AND TECHNICAL (Contd)
RENEWABLES (BEST TECHNOLOGIES ARE
IPR’s OF A FEW ADVANCED COUNTRIES!)
NUCLEAR: HIGHLY CONTROLLED, LINKED
TO MASS DESTRUCTION AS BOMBS AND
ACCIDENTS.
 MOST
TECHNOLOGIES
USED
BY
EMERGING COUNTRIES IN CATCH UP
PROCESS (SOLD BY ADVANCED COUNTRIES)
HAVE MUCH LESS OF ABOVE FEATURES!
ECONOMIC, BUSINESS, GEOCOMMERCIAL
 GDP is no longer the sole indicator of
prosperity for individuals, groups.
 Production
functions
overtaken
by
“MONEY” : “COST EFFECTIVENESS” is no
longer linked to consumption of material
resources or human inputs.
It is interest rates, exchange of money,
taxes, laws and speculation!
ECONOMIC, BUSINESS, GEOCOMMERCIAL
(Contd)
Govts are becoming clueless about the
“CONTROL SYSTEMS” within business and
economy.
Business top managements more or less
“sucked into” quarterly performance and
market capitalization (as the networth of
top persons depend on these!)
WTO etc engulfed by various other
bilateral, multilateral treaties. Freedom of
trade is often chained. Competition is no
longer WIN - WIN
SOCIAL, POLITICAL, NATIONAL, GEO etc
Population increasing in emerging countries;
much more galloping are aspirations, fuelled
by business advertisements and media and
electoral democracies.
 S & T, industrial, business methods of the
past are all wasteful of economic and natural
resources!
SOCIAL, POLITICAL, NATIONAL, GEO etc
(contd)
 Will people of rich nations “adjust” their
prosperity levels?
For that matter will rich and super rich in
emerging nations give up some “prosperity”
for their own less privileged, less endowed
brothers, sisters and others?
Welfare
measures
of
the
developed
countries are floundering….In emerging
economies they are seen as anti – business,
anti – free trade.
MORE FORCES
It is amid such heavily shaken global
systems, other forces of human society
neglected during the super – race period of
scientific, technological and economic (read
business and GDP) from mid 20th century,
are raising their heads with force!
MORE FORCES (Contd)
 Universal, regional, local forces with a
heady mix of cultures, religions, ideologies,
and new mantras of “RIGHTS” etc explode
through
social
speeds….Most
media
people
with
are
unimagined
happy
with
“ILLUSIONS OF REALITY” than trying to find
our actual realities. Media has resorted to
titillating, anger promoting depictions of
“reality”.
MORE FORCES (Contd)
 Social scientists often ideologically
conditioned (most often truth seeking with
colour filters on) and under the glamour of
mathematization, have created a world of
“CORRELATION” as truthful depiction of
reality….
( A Murray Gell Mann quote)
 Even philosophers have gotten into such
traps!
MORE FORCES (Contd)
 HOLISTIC look is thus reduced to smaller
groups,
advisers of powerful Govts
influential
NGO’s
extremist
leaders
or
or
media
barons
nationalistic
or
or
or
religious or cultural revivalists.
So urgent solutions for the topic at
hand are not easy to come by.
WE HAVE TO TRY
 Still we have to try. We have to do that
for the sake of the future of humanity and
also many of us here who will live long.
 Methods of past not effective. Speeds of
the past in serving the underserved (trickle
down, bottom of pyramid etc) are INVAILD.
Indian Society : Many Strata
100 Million
Rich and Super Rich (RSR)
200 Million
Upper Middle Class (UMC)
200 Million
Middle and Lowe Middle
Class (MLMC)
700 Million
BULKY BASE (BB) –
Poorly Skilled
Struggling, Hard
Working
YSR (Aug 2013)
SWINGING EXTREMES

EUPHORIC
DEMOGRAPHIC
ABOUT:
DIVIDEND;
YOUTH
INDIAN
POWER;
HUMAN
CAPITAL; ETC

SELF FLAGGELATION ABOUT: POOR QUALITY;
GLOBAL INDEXES; “MUSHROOMING”, CRAZE FOR
“FOREIGN PATTING”. ETC

RESULTANT: ONE POINT SOLUTIONS!
…………… REALITY IS COMPLEX
2005 A.D
NUMBER
20 million
--------------------------------------------------
1yr
2yr
5yr
10yr
AGE
15yr
18yr
25yr
YOUNGEST NATION
• 20 million each Bogie newly added during
past 25 years being pulled by the Steam
Engine
• New 20 million Bogie Every year
1.5% HIGH PROFESSIONAL
STUDIES
8%
3 or 5 Year after 10 +2
ORDINARY HIGHER
EDUCATION
20%
10+2 OR 10+
PASS OR FAIL - TOUCHED
70%
DROPOUTS OF VARIOUS
FORMS POST 5 or JUST
8 CLASS ETC
(SWELLS LITERACY
STATISTICS)
REALITY CHECK
 Bulk of the GDP gains is with RSR and
UMC
Bulky Base of Indians is still neglected
after close to seven decades of Indian
Independence but they keep the “political
electoral democracy” going on! Will they
sustain?
 So is with many emerging countries
except perhaps China and a few others
CHURNING in the BB takes different forms.
SOME SOLUTIONS
 Uniform STANDARDS of consumptions and
comparisons there of to be DROPPED.
Accept and celebrate DIFFERENT LIFESTYLES
and DIVERSITY OF PRODUCT STANDARDS.
 STANDARDS for food items, to water to
phytosanitary conditions to several others
items not a UNIFORM derivative from Europe
and USA. Not to be taken as NON - TARIFF
barriers or to be played up into SCARE CROW
publicity
for
commercial
reasons
or
theoretical visions of EQUALITY!
SOME SOLUTIONS (Contd)
 Multinational businesses may still compete
but under situations of different standards
and not their own being the SUPERIOR . I am
suggesting this not for national jingoism or
protectionism,
technical/
but
engineering
because
scientific/
considerations
will
show that if we do not adopt different (call it
inferior, if you may) layered standards the
BULKY BASE of the world would be miserable.
SOME SOLUTIONS (Contd)
 Since IPR’s for modern waste minimizing
Reduce – Recycle – Reuse technologies in
many areas for PRESERVING RESOURCES as
well as IPR’s for Renewable Energy
Technologies for LIMITING EMISSION are
with a few business houses of a very few
ADVANCED countries, it is essential to have
a regime where BULK LICENCING for such
IPR’s to countries on purchase basis
(not freebie!!) but with much more realistic
considerations and not use the monopoly
pricing!!
SOME SOLUTIONS (Contd)
 Education to be freed to suit the relevance
of the realistic world and not decided only by
RSR
and
UMC’s
–
Let
them
have
their
innovative and creative world – But other
persons of LMC’s & BB’s would have to find
items suitable for them, relevant to have a
reasonable prosperity for them.
HUMAN VALUES
 Beyond all of these, there is something
subliminal in lives of people. Under the ideal
visions of Rationalism, Modernism, Post
Modernism , Equality, Rights etc, let us not
create a state and elite society which is
derogatory to older cultures, religions etc.
This is a very tricky question But needs to be
addressed with new “Ideology of Diversity” in
action.
(Murray Gell Mann quote)
HUMAN VALUES (Contd)
 Core to the above is to learn to
 EMPATHISE with others
 And be ready for relationships which are
 SYMBIOTIC
 And societies which are
 SYNCRETIC
 Individuals practicing
 RESTRAINT
An Einstein Quote … …
THANK YOU