Transcript National Income

Chapter
19
Measuring National Output
and National Income
Prepared by:
Fernando & Yvonn Quijano
© 2007 Prentice Hall Business Publishing Principles of Economics 8e by Case and Fair
CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
Measuring National Output
and National Income
19
Chapter Outline
Gross Domestic Product
Final Goods and Services
Exclusion of Used Goods and Paper
Transactions
Exclusion of Output Produced
Abroad by Domestically Owned
Factors of Production
Calculating GDP
The Expenditure Approach
The Income Approach
Nominal versus Real GDP
Calculating Real GDP
Calculating the GDP Deflator
The Problems of Fixed Weights
Limitations of the GDP Concept
GDP and Social Welfare
The Underground Economy
Gross National Income Per Capita
Looking Ahead
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
MEASURING NATIONAL OUTPUT
AND NATIONAL INCOME
national income and product
accounts Data collected and published
by the government describing the
various components of national income
and output in the economy.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
gross domestic product (GDP) The
total market value of all final goods and
services produced within a given period
by factors of production located within a
country.
GDP is the total market value of a country’s output. It is the market value of all final goods
and services produced within a given period of time by factors of production located within
a country.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
FINAL GOODS AND SERVICES
final goods and services Goods and
services produced for final use.
intermediate goods Goods that are
produced by one firm for use in further
processing by another firm.
value added The difference between
the value of goods as they leave a stage
of production and the cost of the goods
as they entered that stage.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
Tires taken from that pile and mounted on the wheels of the new car
before it is sold are considered intermediate goods to the auto producer.
Tires from that pile to replace tires on your old car are considered final
goods. If, in calculating GDP, we included the value of the tires (an
intermediate good) on new cars and the value of new cars (including the
tires), we would be double counting.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
TABLE 6.1 Value Added in the Production of a Gallon of Gasoline (Hypothetical
Numbers)
STAGE OF PRODUCTION
VALUE OF SALES
VALUE ADDED
$ 1.00
$1.00
(2) Refining
1.30
0.30
(3) Shipping
1.60
0.30
(4) Retail sale
2.00
0.40
(1) Oil drilling
Total value added
$2.00
In calculating GDP, we can either sum up the value added at each stage of production or we
can take the value of final sales. We do not use the value of total sales in an economy to
measure how much output has been produced.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
EXCLUSION OF USED GOODS AND PAPER
TRANSACTIONS
GDP is concerned only with new, or current, production.
GDP ignores all transactions in which money or goods change hands but in which no new
goods and services are produced.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT
EXCLUSION OF OUTPUT PRODUCED ABROAD
BY DOMESTICALLY OWNED FACTORS OF
PRODUCTION
GDP is the value of output produced by factors of production located within a country.
gross national product (GNP) The total
market value of all final goods and
services produced within a given period
by factors of production owned by a
country’s citizens, regardless of where
the output is produced.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
expenditure approach A method of
computing GDP that measures the
amount spent on all final goods during a
given period.
income approach A method of
computing GDP that measures the
income—wages, rents, interest, and
profits—received by all factors of
production in producing final goods.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
THE EXPENDITURE APPROACH
There are four main categories of expenditure:
Expenditure Categories:
■ Personal consumption expenditures (C):
household spending on consumer goods
■ Gross private domestic investment (I):
spending by firms and households on new
capital, i.e., plant, equipment, inventory, and
new residential structures
■ Government consumption and gross
investment (G)
■ Net exports (EX - IM): net spending by the
rest of the world, or exports (EX) minus
imports (IM)
GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
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CALCULATING GDP
TABLE 6.2 Components of U.S. GDP, 2004: The Expenditure Approach
BILLIONS OF
DOLLARS
Personal consumption expenditures (C)
Durable goods
Nondurable goods
Services
Gross private domestic investment (l)
Nonresidential
Residential
Change in business inventories
Government consumption and gross
investment (G)
Federal
State and local
Net exports (EX – IM)
Exports (EX)
Imports (IM)
Gross domestic product (GDP)
PERCENTAGE
OF GDP
8,214.3
70.0
987.8
2,368.3
4,858.2
8.4
20.2
41.4
1,928.1
16.4
1,198.8
673.8
55.4
10.2
5.7
0.5
2,215.9
18.9
827.6
1,388.3
-624.0
11,734.3
7.1
11.8
- 5.3
1,173.8
10.0
1,797.8
15.3
100.0
Note: Numbers may not add exactly because of rounding.
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
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CALCULATING GDP
Personal Consumption Expenditures (C)
personal consumption expenditures
(C) A major component of GDP:
expenditures by consumers on goods
and services.
There are three main categories of consumer
expenditures: durable goods, nondurable goods,
and services.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
durable goods Goods that last a
relatively long time, such as cars and
household appliances.
nondurable goods Goods that are
used up fairly quickly, such as food and
clothing.
services The things we buy that do not
involve the production of physical things,
such as legal and medical services and
education.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
Gross Private Domestic Investment (I)
gross private domestic investment (I)
Total investment in capital—that is,
the purchase of new housing, plants,
equipment, and inventory by the private
(or nongovernment) sector.
nonresidential investment
Expenditures by firms for machines,
tools, plants, and so on.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
residential investment Expenditures
by households and firms on new houses
and apartment buildings.
Change in Business Inventories
change in business inventories The
amount by which firms’ inventories
change during a period. Inventories are
the goods that firms produce now but
intend to sell later.
GDP = final sales + change in business inventories
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
Gross Investment versus Net Investment
depreciation The amount by which an
asset’s value falls in a given period.
gross investment The total value of all
newly produced capital goods (plant,
equipment, housing, and inventory)
produced in a given period.
net investment Gross investment
minus depreciation.
capitalend of period = capitalbeginning of period + net investment
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
Government Consumption and Gross
Investment (G)
government consumption and gross
investment (G) Expenditures by
federal, state, and local governments for
final goods and services.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
Net Exports (EX - IM)
net exports (EX - IM) The difference
between exports (sales to foreigners of
U.S.- produced goods and services) and
imports (U.S. purchases of goods and
services from abroad). The figure can
be positive or negative.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
THE INCOME APPROACH
national income The total income
earned by the factors of production
owned by a country’s citizens.
TABLE 6.3 National Income, 2004
BILLIONS OF
DOLLARS
National Income
Compensation of employees
Proprietors’ income
Corporate profits
Net interest
Rental income
Indirect taxes minus subsidies
Net business transfer payments
Surplus of government enterprises
PERCENTAGE
OF NATIONAL INCOME
10,275.9
100.0
6,687.6
889.6
134.2
1,161.5
505.5
809.3
65.1
8.7
1.3
11.3
4.9
7.9
91.1
-3.0
0.9
-0.0
Source: See Table 6.2.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
compensation of employees Includes
wages, salaries, and various
supplements—employer contributions to
social insurance and pension funds, for
example—paid to households by firms
and by the government.
proprietors’ income The income of
unincorporated businesses.
rental income The income received by
property owners in the form of rent.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
corporate profits The income of
corporate businesses.
net interest The interest paid by
business.
indirect taxes minus subsidies Taxes
such as sales taxes, customs duties,
and license fees, less subsidies that the
government pays for which it receives no
goods or services in return.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
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CALCULATING GDP
net business transfer payments Net
transfer payments by businesses to
others.
surplus of government enterprises
Income of government enterprises.
TABLE 6.4 GDP, GNP, NNP and National Income, 2004
GDP
Plus: Receipts of factor income from the rest of the world
Less: Payments of factor income to the rest of the world
Equals: GNP
Less: Depreciation
Equals: Net national product (NNP)
Less: Statistical discrepancy
Equals: National income
DOLLARS
(BILLIONS)
11,734.3
+ 415.4
- 361.7
11,788.0
- 1,435.3
10,352.8
- 76.9
10,275.9
Source: See Table 6.2.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
CALCULATING GDP
net national product (NNP) Gross
national product minus depreciation; a
nation’s total product minus what is
required to maintain the value of its
capital stock.
TABLE 6.5 National Income, Personal Income, Disposable Personal
Income, and Personal Saving, 2004
DOLLARS
(BILLIONS)
National income
Less: Amount of national income not going to households
Equals: Personal income
Less: Personal income taxes
Equals: Disposable personal income
10,275.9
- 562.6
9,713.3
- 1,049.1
8,664.2
Personal consumption expenditures
Personal interest payments
Transfer payments made by households
Equals: Personal saving
Personal saving as a percentage of disposable personal income:
- 8,214.3
-186.7
-111.5
151.8
1.8%
Source: See Table 6.2.
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CALCULATING GDP
statistical discrepancy Data
measurement error.
personal income The total income of
households before paying personal
income taxes.
disposable personal income or aftertax income Personal income minus
personal income taxes. The amount that
households have to spend or save.
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CALCULATING GDP
personal saving The amount of
disposable income that is left after total
personal spending in a given period.
personal saving rate The percentage
of disposable personal income that is
saved. If the personal saving rate is low,
households are spending a large amount
relative to their incomes; if it is high,
households are spending cautiously.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP
current dollars The current prices that
one pays for goods and services.
nominal GDP Gross domestic product
measured in current dollars.
weight The importance attached to an
item within a group of items.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP
CALCULATING REAL GDP
TABLE 6.6 A Three-Good Economy
(1)
(2)
PRODUCTION
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
Q1
Q2
(3)
(4)
PRICE PER UNIT
YEAR 1
YEAR 2
P1
P2
(5)
(6)
(7)
(8)
GDP IN
YEAR 1
IN
YEAR 1
PRICES
P1 x Q1
GDP IN
YEAR 2
IN
YEAR 1
PRICES
P1 x Q2
GDP IN
YEAR 1
IN
YEAR 2
PRICES
P2 x Q1
GDP IN
YEAR 2
IN
YEAR 2
PRICES
P2 X Q2
Good A
6
11
$.50
$ .40
$3.00
$5.50
$2.40
$4.40
Good B
7
4
.30
1.00
2.10
1.20
7.00
4.00
Good C
10
12
.70
.90
7.00
8.40
9.00
10.80
$12.10
$15.10
$18.40
$19.20
Total
Nominal GDP
in year 1
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Nominal GDP
in year 2
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP
base year The year chosen for the
weights in a fixed-weight procedure.
fixed-weight procedure A procedure
that uses weights from a given base
year.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP
CALCULATING THE GDP DEFLATOR
The GDP deflator is one measure of the overall price level.
The GDP deflator is computed by the Bureau of Economic
Analysis (BEA).
Overall price increases can be sensitive to the choice of
the base year. For this reason, using fixed-price weights
to compute real GDP has some problems.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
NOMINAL VERSUS REAL GDP
THE PROBLEMS OF FIXED WEIGHTS
The use of fixed-price weights to estimate real GDP leads
to problems because it ignores:
• Structural changes in the economy.
• Supply shifts, which cause large decreases in
price and large increases in quantity
supplied.
• The substitution effect of price increases.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT
GDP AND SOCIAL WELFARE
Society is better off when crime decreases; however, a
decrease in crime is not reflected in GDP.
An increase in leisure is an increase in social welfare, but
not counted in GDP.
Nonmarket and household activities are not counted in
GDP even though they amount to real production.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT
THE UNDERGROUND ECONOMY
underground economy The part of the
economy in which transactions take
place and in which income is generated
that is unreported and therefore not
counted in GDP.
Whenever sellers looking for a
profit come into contact with
buyers willing to pay, markets
will arise, often “underground.”
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT
GROSS NATIONAL INCOME PER CAPITA
gross national income (GNI) GNP
converted into dollars using an average
of currency exchange rates over several
years adjusted for rates of inflation.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
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LIMITATIONS OF THE GDP CONCEPT
TABLE 6.7 Per Capita Gross National Income for Selected Countries,
2004
COUNTRY
Norway
Switzerland
United States
Denmark
Japan
Sweden
Ireland
United Kingdom
Finland
Austria
Netherlands
Belgium
Germany
France
Canada
Australia
Italy
Spain
Greece
U.S. DOLLARS
52,030
48,230
41,400
40,650
37,180
35,270
34,280
33,940
32,790
32,300
31,700
31,030
30,120
30,090
28,390
26,900
26,120
21,210
16,610
COUNTRY
Portugal
South Korea
Czech Republic
Mexico
Argentina
Turkey
South Africa
Brazil
Romania
Jordan
Colombia
Philippines
China
Indonesia
India
Pakistan
Nepal
Rwanda
Ethiopia
U.S. DOLLARS
14,350
13,980
9,150
6,770
3,720
3,750
3,630
3,090
2,920
2,140
2,000
1,170
1,290
1,140
620
600
260
220
110
Source: World Bank, 2005.
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CHAPTER 19: Measuring National Output
and National Income
REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS
base year
change in business inventories
compensation of employees
corporate profits
current dollars
depreciation
disposable personal income, or after-tax
income
durable goods
expenditure approach
final goods and services
fixed-weight procedure
government consumption and gross
investment (G)
gross domestic product (GDP)
gross investment
gross national income (GNI)
gross national product (GNP)
gross private domestic investment (I)
income approach
indirect taxes minus subsidies
intermediate goods
national income
national income and product accounts
net business transfer payments
net exports (EX - IM)
net interest
net investment
net national product (NNP)
nominal GDP
nondurable goods
nonresidential investment
personal consumption expenditures (C)
personal income
personal saving
personal saving rate
proprietors’ income
rental income
residential investment
services
statistical discrepancy
surplus of government enterprises
underground economy
value added
weight
Expenditure approach to GDP: GDP = C + I + G + (EX - IM)
GDP = final sales - change in business inventories
net investment = capital end of period - capital beginning of
period
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