3.5 Unemployment and Inflation
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Transcript 3.5 Unemployment and Inflation
3.5 Unemployment
Unemployment
Full Employment
Equilibrium on the aggregate labor
market
What rate is generally considered to
be full-employment in America?
Underemployment
People cannot find full-time work.
Unemployment Rate
Formula:
%
Unemployed/Labor Force =
2006 Figures Around 5%
90 Vietnam5.50 90 Denmark5.50 90 Romania5.50 91 Lithuania5.30 92
Australia5.20 93 United States5.10 93 Austria5.10 94 Burma5.00 95
Luxembourg4.90 96 Brunei4.80 97 United Kingdom4.70 98 Saint Kitts
and Nevis4.50 99 Japan4.30 100 Taiwan4.20 100 Ireland4.20 100
Norway4.20 100 China
Colombia
10.20 60 Spain10.10 61 Turks and Caicos Islands10.00 Turkey10.00 61
Greenland10.00 61 Egypt10.00 61 France10.00 62 India9.90 62
Brazil9.90 63 Saint Pierre and Miquelon9.80 63 Slovenia9.80 64
Ecuador
Weaknesses of
Unemployment Measures
Definitional Problems
Accounting Problems
Solution: Standardized Measure
International Labour Organization (ILO)
• Used by Organisation of Economic Cooperation and
Development (OECD)
• www.oecd.org
Costs of Unemployment
Loss of output
Lost tax base
Increased Transfer Payments
Opportunity costs
• (roads vs. unemployment benefits)
Tax Increases
Barriers to entry
Deskilling of workforce
Social Costs
Dignity vs. Dependence
Self-image
Crime, Drug Abuse, Physical abuse
Health
Depression
Stress
Mental Health
Types of Unemployment
Structural(mismatch between skills and
demand of economy)
Regional
• Industries specific to a region
Sectoral
• Segments suffer temporary or permanent decline
Technological
• Technology replaces workers
Frictional
Short term/ during job search
Seasonal
Natural Rate of
Unemployment
Some people voluntarily reject the
real wage rate (equilibrium)
There is always some
unemployment
Pg. 418
Cyclical/Demand Deficient U
Keynesian Unemployment
Business Cycle affects Unemployment
Involuntary unemployment Pg. 419
ADL shifts left
• Distance
• ADL1 to ADL2
Why don’t wages clear?
How are AD and ADL correlated?
• See pg. 420
Downward Sticky Supply
Curve
Pg. 420
Same effect as minimum wage
Real Wage Unemployment
Classical View
Disequilibrium Unemployment
Unemploy exceeds natural rate
Doesn’t clear to real wage (equil)
Voluntary + Involuntary Unemployment
Diagrams pg. 421
Why doesn’t in clear?
Minimum wage legislation
Unions
Social Benefits (no incentive to accept lower
wages).
Measures to Deal With
Unemployment
Interventionist
Increase demand for labor through
fiscal and monetary stimulation of AD
Demand Management (Keynes)
• Increase ADL by increasing AD in economy
• Shift in ADL right = Full employment
• Diagram 422
Supply Side Intervention
Govt. intervention in factor markets to
enhance:
Attractiveness of labor
Availability of labor
(ie. Supply of labor)
Secondary affect = increased DL
How?
Training and education incentives
Increase
• Skills
• Job mobility
• Decrease search costs for employers and labor
Market Solutions pg. 423425
Removing market imperfections
Decrease union power
Lower minimum wage
Lower taxes on labor
Decreasing Natural Rate of
Unemployment
Shift ASL right
How?
• Incentives to work
•
•
•
•
Lower social benefits
Lower income taxes
Increase labor flexibility
Retraining and Eduction
• Reduce time between jobs
Critics of market policies
Social Inequality
Marginal Tax decreases don’t affect
ASL
Voluntary is often involuntary