Transcript Business policy

Energy Industry
Country Industry Forecast
Service ( CIF )
Global Econometric Modeling group, India
Political
Outlook
Business
Policy
ENERGY
Consumption
& Investment
INDUSTRY
Labor
Market
Financial
Market
External
Market
F O R E C A S T
Country Industry Forecasts (CIF)
The CIF Report is your authoritative ready reckoner
on the country in focus, providing you comprehensive
inputs on the country's economic, political,
demographic, resource and industry variables.
It serves as your road map to the decisive factors
influencing the industry: government policy and the
political pulse, infrastructure and labor, external trade
and global market integration. A report for both
reactive companies new to a country or market and
proactive companies who stay in step with their
changing context.
Who needs a CIF service
Senior level decision-makers and planners who shape
company strategy in the energy industry
Analysts and industry observers looking for countryspecific Industry intelligence
Marketing professionals wanting to know the ‘lay of the
land’
CIF- An Essential Tool For...
 Entering a new geographical market
 Making strategic decisions on alliances, mergers and acquisitions.
 Learning how non-market forces impact your company's present
performance in a country
 Judging the extent of competition posed for the industry in a
country.
 Shaping and fine-tuning future strategy based on new market
opportunities
 Preparing contingency plans based on likely scenarios
 In-depth micro research into a market with CIF as a guide map.
Special Features of CIF
 Fact sheet – The bird’s eye view of the region, the country
in focus and the automotive industry
 Country-Industry Linkage -Global perspective to a
country-specific study integrated with energy industry
insights.
 Five - year economic forecasts for main macroeconomic
indicators of a country
 Ten - year trend including five - year forecasts for the key
manipulable parameters of the energy industry and its
segments.
Special Features of CIF
 Impact analysis of the country-specific influences on the
energy industry and its key segments.
— Political scenario - system, ruling party stance, events
and developments
— Business policy-including trade policy, fiscal and
monetary policy, trade blocs, tariffs and regulations
— Main Economic Indicators: GDP, Inflation, Interest rates,
Consumer spending, Investment, Labor productivity,
Employment, Exports and Imports.
 Industry progression index reflecting the growth path of the
industry and the contribution of each segment to the industrial
growth.
CIF advantage of Dual expertise
CIF 4 Step Research Process
Country Industry Forecast
Energy Industry CIF service
Political Analysis
Business Policy analysis
Economic Analysis
Impact: Growth determinants
Impact : Growth determinants
Impact: Growth determinants
Impact :Key Energy industry parameters
Impact :Key Energy industry parameters
Impact : Key Energy industry parameters
Energy Industry Progression Index
Energy Industry Segments
CIF Classification of Energy Industry
Energy Industry
Energy Supply Segments
Enery End-user Segments
Industry Analysis
Objective: To measure, assess and forecast the impact of the
various macro indicators analyzed under the economic, business
policy and political outlook for the country on the growth
indicators of Energy industry.
Coverage:
 Global overview of Energy industry
 Historic regional growth and share in world output, consumption
& Trade, industry growth stage in comparison to other regions
and regional competitiveness, growth options and deterrents and
the role of international trade for the Energy industry.
Industry Analysis (Continued)
Analysis:
 A list of dependant & independent variables for all the segments
of the Energy industry is developed
– Dependent variables or Key Industry Parameters:
production, trade, consumption, pricing, labor efficiency,
employment, and Industry revenues.
– Independent Variables or Growth Determinants: capturing
the effect of changes in economic, business policy & political
influences on the growth of the industry.
 Relationships between specific dependant & independent
variables are established
Industry Analysis
 Relationship between dependant and Independent variables of
the energy industry are derived.
 Based on the relationship and outlook of the independent
variables are used to forecast the future growth of the
automotive industry in the country.
 A descriptive analysis of the level of impact of the economic /
Business policy & Political factors on the industry segments for
the future in the country is provided.
Progression Path
 These influences are assigned weights based on the extent
to which they have an impact on the growth of the
segments of the industry.
 The growth path of the Energy industry and its segments is
plotted using a progression index derived through impact
analysis of Key Industry parameters as assessed under
economy/business policy and political heads on the major
measurements for the industry and its segments.