Transcript Chapter 19 - Bond Portfolio Management Strategies

Lecture Presentation Software
to accompany
Investment Analysis and
Portfolio Management
Eighth Edition
by
Frank K. Reilly & Keith C. Brown
Chapter 19
Chapter 19 - Bond
Portfolio Management Strategies
Questions to be answered:
• What are the four major bond portfolio
management strategies?
• What are the two passive portfolio
management strategies available?
Chapter 19 - Bond
Portfolio Management Strategies
• What are the five active bond portfolio
management strategies available?
• What is meant by care-plus bond
management and what are some plus
strategies?
• What is meant by matched-funding
techniques, and what are the four specific
strategies available in this category?
Chapter 19 - Bond
Portfolio Management Strategies
• What are the major contingent procedure
strategies that are also referred to as
structured active management strategies?
• What are the implications of capital market
theory for those involved in bond portfolio
management?
Chapter 19 - Bond
Portfolio Management Strategies
• What is the evidence on the efficient market
hypothesis as it relates to bond markets?
• What are the implications of efficient
market studies for bond portfolio managers?
Alternative Bond Portfolio Strategies
1. Passive portfolio strategies
2. Active management strategies
3. Core-plus management strategy
3. Matched-funding techniques
4. Contingent procedure (structured active
management)
Passive Portfolio Strategies
• Buy and hold
– A manager selects a portfolio of bonds based on
the objectives and constraints of the client with
the intent of holding these bonds to maturity
• Indexing
– The objective is to construct a portfolio of
bonds that will equal the performance of a
specified bond index
Active Management Strategies
• Interest-rate anticipation
– Risky strategy relying on uncertain forecasts
– Ladder strategy staggers maturities
– Barbell strategy splits funds between short
duration and long duration securities
• Valuation analysis
– The portfolio manager attempts to select bonds
based on their intrinsic value
• Credit analysis
– Involves detailed analysis of the bond issuer to
determine expected changes in its default risk
Active Management Strategies
• High-Yield Bond Research
– Several investment houses such as Merrill Lynch, First
Boston, Lehman Brothers, etc., have developed
specialized high-yield groups that examine high-yield
bond issues and monitor high-yield bond spreads
• Yield spread analysis
– Assumes normal relationships exist between the yields
for bonds in alternative sectors
• Bond swaps
– Involve liquidating a current position and simultaneously
buying a different issue in its place with similar
attributes but having a chance for improved return
Bond Swaps
• Pure Yield Pickup Swap
• Substitution Swap
• Tax Swap
• Swap strategies and market-efficiency
– Bond swaps by their nature suggest
market inefficiency
A Global Fixed-Income
Investment Strategy
Factors to consider
– The local economy in each country including
the effects of domestic and international
demand
– The impact of total demand and domestic
monetary policy on inflation and interest
rates
– The effect of the economy, inflation, and
interest rates on the exchange rates among
countries
Core-Plus Bond Portfolio
Management
• This involves having a significant (core) part of
the portfolio managed passively in a widely
recognized sector such as the U.S. Aggregate
Sector or the U.S. Government/Corporate sector.
• The rest of the portfolio would be managed
actively in one or several additional “plus” sectors,
where it is felt that there is a higher probability of
achieving positive abnormal rates of return
because of potential inefficiencies
Matched-Funding Techniques
• Dedicated Portfolios
 Dedication refers to bond portfolio
management techniques that are used to
service a prescribed set of liabilities
– Pure Cash-Matched Dedicated Portfolios
• Most conservative strategy
– Dedication With Reinvestment
• Cash flows do not have to exactly match
the liability stream
Matched-Funding Techniques
• Immunization Strategies
– A portfolio manager (after client consultation)
may decide that the optimal strategy is to
immunize the portfolio from interest rate
changes
– The immunization techniques attempt to derive
a specified rate of return during a given
investment horizon regardless of what happens
to market interest rates
Immunization Strategies
• The process intended to eliminate interest
rate risk is referred to as interest rate risk
• Components of Interest Rate Risk
– Price Risk
– Coupon Reinvestment Risk
Classical Immunization
• Immunization is neither a simple nor a
passive strategy
• An immunized portfolio requires
frequent rebalancing because the
modified duration of the portfolio
always should be equal to the
remaining time horizon (except in the
case of the zero-coupon bond)
Classical Immunization
• Duration characteristics
– Duration declines more slowly than term to
maturity, assuming no change in market interest
rates
– Duration changes with a change in market
interest rates
– There is not always a parallel shift of the yield
curve
– Bonds with a specific duration may not be
available at an acceptable price
Matched-Funding Techniques
• Horizon matching
– Combination of cash-matching dedication and
immunization
– Important decision is the length of the horizon
period
Contingent Procedures
• A form of structured active management
– Constrains the manager if unsuccessful
• Contingent immunization
– duration of portfolio must be maintained at the
horizon value
– cushion spread is potential return below current
market
– safety margin
– trigger point
Implications of Capital Market Theory
and the EMH on Bond Portfolio
Management
• Bonds and Total Portfolio Theory
• Bonds and Capital Market Theory
• Bond Price Behavior in a CAPM
Framework
• Bond-Market Efficiency
The Internet
Investments Online
http://www.ryanalm.com
http://www.cmsbondedge.com
http://smithbarney.com/research/fixed_income.html
http://www.smithbarney.com/products_services/fixed_inc
ome/
http://www.bergencapital.com/research/files/LadderedPor
tfolio.html
http://www.askmerrill.ml.com/investments/
http://www.mlim.ml.com/usa/
http://www.finpipe.com
End of Chapter 19
–Bond Portfolio Management
Strategies
Future topics
Chapter 20
• An Introduction to Derivative Markets and
Securities