Transcript Approach and challenges

DG MARE
Technical workshop: Socio-economic
monitoring of the Atlantic
23 March 2015
1
Agenda
EY and COWI’s assistance in the development of
guidelines to monitor the AAP
Methodology
encountered
followed
and
key
challenges
Next steps and future challenges
2
1
EY and COWI’s tasks (Sep 2013 – Mar 2014)
Key Objectives
► 1. Identify relevant indicators against which
the Atlantic Action Plan can be monitored
► 2. Identify projects that are aligned to the
priorities of the AAP, and understand how
they could be contributing to achieving the
Atlantic strategy overall objectives
Deliverables
•
Indicators report (links potential
indicators to challenges,
priorities, specific objectives
and action areas of the AAP)
•
Baseline report (gives an
overview of existing
programmes and projects
aligned with the priorities and
action areas of the AAP, as well
as existing data on some
indicators among those
identified in the Indicators
report).
Provide some inputs to prepare the monitoring of the AAP
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2
General approach and challenges
Steps followed
•
1. Review of the intervention logic of the AAP
•
2. Identification of potential indicators aligned with expected outputs, results
and impacts of the AAP and their sources
•
3. Assessment of the quality of each indicator according to RACER criteria and
review of existing sources
•
4. At impact and result level: Shortlist of “preferred” indicators (ie. key
indicators), mainly based on following two key criteria: relevance and
availability of information/ easiness to monitor.
•
5. At output level: description of a complete set of potential quantitative and/or
qualitative indicators and presentation of their sources (primary and secondary)
2.1
•
Approach and challenges: establish the “intervention
logic” of the AAP
Objective : clearly identify the subject to be monitored and express it into inputs,
outputs, results and impacts, linked to the objectives the AAP
Output
indicators
INPUTS
•
Operational
objectives (35)
Results
indicators
Specific
objectives
(14)
Impact
indicators
General
objectives
(10)
Priorities (4)
Challenges:
•
No ex-ante check of the coherence and internal consistency of the AAP
•
No financial means have been specifically dedicated to the implementation of the AAP,
although many of the existing EU funding instruments offer financing opportunities for
projects in line with the priorities and objectives of the Atlantic Action Plan => no
certainty that outputs, results and impacts measured in the Atlantic regions can
be attributed to the implementation of the AAP.
2
Approach and challenges (2) : establish the intervention
logic
2.2
Approach and challenges: identification of indicators
•
Objective: identify indicators that best reflect the progress made in the AAP
• (1) Inputs = financial and administrative means mobilised (e.g. EU funding sources, etc.)
• (2) Outputs = what is accomplished with the means mobilized (projects and actions such as
the number of investment projects in marinas).
• (3) Results = initial benefits arising from the outputs, normally measurable at the level of the
project and actions but otherwise measurable at sectoral/ specific level (e.g. tourist visits
attracted by new marinas)
• (4) Impacts = economic growth, jobs and environment
•
Challenges:
• Need to assess the quality of indicators
The quality of an indicator depends on following criteria:
►
Relevant – i.e. closely linked to the objectives to be
reached
►
►
►
►
Accepted – e.g. by staff and stakeholders
Credible for non experts, unambiguous and easy to
interpret
Easy to monitor (e.g. data collection should be possible at
low cost)
Robust – e.g. against manipulation
2.2
•
Approach and challenges: identification of indicators
Challenges:
• Existing indicators : rely on existing monitoring arrangement only.
• Diversity of sources :
•
Patchwork of varying kinds of indicator types, with sometimes little consistency,
incomplete coverage (geographic/ thematic)  Need to carry out a thorough selection
to ensure that indicators reflect the progress made in the Atlantic area.
• Incomplete overview, at the date of writing of the report (beginning of 2014), of
monitoring arrangements defined for EU funds and programmes
•
No target values were set in the AAP : it will be difficult to draw conclusion on the
achievement of the AAP
•  However, the monitoring framework should bring a picture of what the AAP might
have contributed to, by trying to link some micro/ localized outputs/ projects to macro
indicators (such as the GDP growth rate).
2.2
Approach and challenges: identification of indicators
•Secondary data, ie. data from existing sources
•Primary sources, ie. that require some data collection
work through interviews to receive specific data or
qualitative insights:
At EU level
Authoriti
es/
agencies
-
-
-
Industry
associati
ons
-
-
European Commission: DG
Environment, DG Education, DG
Mobility, DG Regional policy, DG
Research, DG Enterprise, DG
Employment
Members of the Task force on
Maritime Employment and
competitiveness
EU Agencies: Europol
Innovation & Networks Executive
Agency
EMOD
ENIC-NARIC
European Fish Processors
Association and similar national /
regional associations
European Network of Transmission
System Operators for Electricity
European Wind Energy Association
Ocean Energy Europe
At national / regional
level
National ministries
in charge of
industry,
entrepreneurship
or R&D / cluster
development
agencies or
association
National ENICNARIC agencies
and/or ministries
of education
At EU level
Available
statistics:
-
Eurostat
-
-
ESF / ERDF / EMFF core and
common indicators
-
-
European Wind Energy
Association
-
European Atlas of the Seas
-
International tanker owners
pollution federation
-
EMSA
-
Lloyd’s register
-
ICES
-
JRC
Studies:
OSPAR
Evaluation reports and studies
MARNET Observatory
At national / regional
level
National statistics
institutes
National and local
associations
(fisheries,…)
National statistic
institutes
Ocean Energy Europe
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2.3
Approach and challenges: proposed
list
•
Objectives :
• Shortlist a sample of “preferred” indicators (ie. key indicators): result and impact indicators
that can be easily monitored through existing databases and monitoring systems
• Carry out a “gap analysis” to identify data gaps which require additional data collection an
“ad hoc” basis (specific interviews, surveys, etc.).
• Elaboration of a data collection methodology for each selected key indicator through a
detailed description of its characteristics, sources and ways to overcome potential limitations
(see detailed indicators’ profiles in section 4 of the report)
• At output level, propose a set of potential quantitative and/or qualitative indicators and
presentation of their sources (primary and secondary)
•
Challenges:
• Challenges in terms of data collection (availability, level of collection, need to liaise with
other players…)  shortlisted “key indicators” are mostly already tracked and easily
available in existing statistical databases, monitoring systems or regular surveys/ studies
performed at EU level
• Thematic limitation : some data not available for the maritime sectors specifically (Eurostat,
DG Regio..) => collect and retreat data (ex: MARNET)
• Geographical limitation : comparable statistical data is mostly available on a regional basis
(NUTS2). But, in some cases, data is available only at the national level.
• Potential available indicators not robust enough (ex: discards)
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Approach and challenges: proposed list – Key indicators
Name of the indicator (in yellow
Number of
Expected impact
: indicators chosen for
Unit
indicator
monitoring the AAP)
1
GDP in Atlantic regions
More competitive economy thanks to “blue
economy”
2
Reduced impact of climate change/ Reduced
carbon footprint in the Atlantic regions 3
Better health, social inclusion and wellbeing of
coastal populations
Enterprise birthrate
€ ./
inhabitant
Potential
source
(provider)
Related AAP
priority /
specific
objective
Eurostat
Number of
enterprise Eurostat
s
Greenhouse gas (GHG)
emissions in the Atlantic area
CO2
equivalent
s
Eurostat
4
Unemployment rate
unemploy
ment rate
Eurostat
5
Employment rate
% of
Eurostat
population
6
Life expectancy at birth
mean
number of
years
Eurostat
All priorities
Focus:
Priority 1
PRIORITY 2:
Protect,
secure and
develop the
potential of
the Atlantic
marine and
coastal
environment
PRIORITY 4:
Create a
socially
inclusive and
sustainable
model of
regional
development
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2
Approach and challenges: proposed list – Key indicators
Expected result
Increasing the capacity of the Atlantic area
to innovate through research and
technology
Name of the indicator
Unit
7
Number of enterprises cooperating with
research institutions
8
Number of research institutions participating in
Number of
cross-border, transnational or interregional
organisations
research projects
9
10
Number of
enterprises
Expected
result
Potential source
(provider)
Related AAP
priority / specific
objective
DG REGIO
1.1
DG REGIO
1.1
Name of the indicator
27
Nights spent at tourist accommodation
establishments in coastal regions
Unit
Potential source
(provider)
Related AAP
priority / specific
objective
number of
nights
Eurostat
4.2 / 1.3
DG REGIO
4.2 / 1.3
number
EMSA - Maritime
Accident Review
2.1
Number
OSPAR QSR
2.1
True / False
DG-ENV
2.1
No. of ships,
capacity (m3)
European Atlas of the
2.1
Seas, EMSA
tonnes
International tanker
owners pollution
federation ltm
2.1
(or EMSA, Atlas of the
European Sea, Lloyd's
register, EEA)
Adaptation and diversification of economic
% of GDP
1.1
activities by promoting the tourism
potential Eurostat
of the Atlantic area
Increase in expected number of visits to
Number of
28
supported sites of cultural and natural heritage visits/year
applications
Patent applications to the EPO by priority year
Eurostat
1.1
and attractions
per million of
Total intramural R&D expenditure (GERD)
inhabitants
Improving skills and attractiveness in
11
traditional Atlantic industries
Employment in technology and knowledgeintensive sectors
% of total
employment
12
Volume of short-sea shipping in the Atlantic
area
thousands of
tonnes
13
Number of short sea routes
Number
Eurostat
European Atlas of
theSeas
30
Development of ports as hubs of the blue
economy 14
15
16
17
Accelerated development of sustainable
offshore renewable energy 18
19
Better understanding of mining for minerals 20
and development if mining technologies
Foundations for a sustainable, high-valueadded marine biotechnology industry
21
1.2
Number of vessels involved in accidents
29
across the Atlantic
Area
Eurostat
3.1
3.1
Number of non-indigenous species
TEN-T: Progess
report –
Completion status of TEN-T infrastructure
Percentage
Implementation of the 3.1
priority projects
TEN-T Priority
Better safety and security of seafarers, Projects Flood directive: compliance
31
with the article 6
(risk maps) and later 7 (FRMP)
coastal populations, property and
thousands of
Number of cruise passengers
3.1
ecosystemsEurostat
passangers
Maritime transport of freight
1000 tonnes
Share of energy from renewable sources
% gross final
energy
consumption
Eurostat
2.4
Off-shore wind energy production capacities
MW
EWEA
2.4
Supply, transformation, consumption –
renewables (hydro, wind, photovoltaic)
Gigawatt hour
Eurostat
Non renewable resource extraction
Biotechnology patent applications to the EPO
(by priority year and NUTS 3 region)
Eurostat
32
33
m3/toeq
Number of
patent
applications
3.1
Oil response vessels
Oil spills
JRC, OSPAR
2.4
2.2
Eurostat
2.2
Improved market position of EU-sourced
tonnes live
12
3
Future challenges
Clarify the expectations from the monitoring of the Atlantic
How to « evaluate » the AAP ?
Articulate the various monitoring systems
Capitalise on work done
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n
Your contacts:
n
Christina CASTELLA:
n
[email protected]
EY France
Tel. : +33 (0)6 80 04 47 72
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