Transcript Agricultural_situati.. - Southern Africa Trade Hub

South Africa
Agricultural Situation 2011
Economic Highlights
Five year average real GDP growth of 3.7%,
higher then the world average of 3.3% but
lower than the Africa average of 5.0%.
S.A. accounted for 0.5% of the World GDP
and 31% of Sub-Saharan Africa GDP in
2009.
Local household consumption expenditure on
food, beverages, and tobacco is exceeding
$40 billion per annum.
2009
2010
$287.2
24.3%
$350
23%
49.3
49
Disposable Income Per
Capita of Households
$3,503
$3,600
GDP Per Capita
Real GDP growth
$10,400
-1.8%
$10,700
2.8%
Nominal GDP (billions)
Unemployment
Population (millions)
Agriculture & the Economy
South Africa has a highly diversified agricultural sector which includes the
production of all the major grains (except rice), oilseeds, deciduous and
subtropical fruits, sugar, citrus, wine and most vegetables. Livestock
production includes cattle, dairy, pigs, sheep, and a well developed broiler
and egg industry.
Has provided national food security since the start of the 20th
century (Pop: ~4,0 million), right through to the 21st century (Pop: ~47 mill
ion, ~60% in cities)
Primary commercial agriculture contributes about 3.0% to South
Africa’s gross domestic product (GDP)
Decline in commercial producers from 60,938 in 1996 to 39,982 in 2011
Land Use and Crop Zones in South Africa
•80% of the land is used for agriculture, but only 12% is
arable, with the remainder being used for grazing,
conservation, and wildlife.
Sector distribution of SA agricultural
production
Field crops
28%
Animal products
47%
Horticulture
25%
Agro-food trade
•South Africa’s exports of agricultural products amounted to $5.2
billion in 2009.
•Exports of agricultural products constituted 8.3 percent of South
Africa’s total export basket in 2009.
•Imports of agricultural products amounted to $4.2billion in 2009 a
decrease of 10 percent over 2008.
•Imports of agricultural products constituted 6.4 percent of South
Africa’s total import basket in 2009.
Major agricultural products
exported
(US$ millions)
2008
2009
2010
Citrus
$711.4
$667.1
$1,061.6
Wine
$753.9
$727.5
$779.2
Apples
$367.3
$364.7
$462.9
Table grapes
$387.6
$379.7
$444.2
Corn
$510.3
$444.6
$294.1
Sugar
$217.9
$386.7
$254.5
Major export destinations (2010)
Italy
United States
Germany
Japan
Mozambique
Zimbabwe
United Kingdom
Netherlands
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
Percentage of total exports
7
8
9
10
Major agricultural products imported
(US$ millions)
2008
2009
2010
Rice
$463.9
$458.8
$388.0
Soybean cake
$311.9
$297.1
$330.9
Wheat
$444.6
$282.0
$295.2
Palm oil
$299.3
$232.1
$274.4
Whisky
$202.9
$201.6
$251.1
Soybean oil
$288.5
$106.9
$247.6
Major agricultural import countries
(2010)
United States
United Kingdom
Malaysia
China
Germany
Brazil
Thailand
Argentina
0
2
4
6
Percentage of total imports
8
10
12
US – SA Agricultural trade
(US$ millions)
2008
2009
2010
SA ag exports to US
$233.3
$226.4
$271.1
2.9%
4.5%
3.9%
$327.6
$178.3
$277.6
4.6%
3.6%
% of total exports to US
SA ag imports from US
% of total imports from US
4.9%
Major agricultural products exported
to the US:
(US$ millions)
2007
2008
2009
2010
 Wine
$38.7
$38.2
$37.2
$45.0
 Citrus
$27.6
$33.4
$31.0
$50.0
 Sugar
$7.9
$0.0
$19.3
$25.1
 Hides and skins
$26.0
$18.4
$13.3
$0.78
 Fruit juice
$9.5
$13.4
$11.3
$15.8
Major agricultural products
imported from the US:
US$ millions)
2007
2008
2009
2010
 Wheat
$116.2
$95.2
$10.2
$102
 Prepared food
$28.0
$31.2
$28.1
$260
 Whisky
$28.8
$23.0
$22.9
$18.9
 Fats and oils
$13.3
$15.4
$5.6
$4.7
Current broader environment
Negative impacts:










Political uncertainty (new government), also internationally
Crime, safety and security
Macro-economic situation, esp. internationally
Infrastructure constraints, esp. in rural areas
Resource situation, e.g. water quality
Policy issues, esp. Trade and Tariff Policy
Educational system
Competitiveness (Technology and innovation!)
Land Reform
HIV/Aids
Current broader environment
Positive impacts:








Democracy, albeit immature and developing
Free press
Market economy (part of global system)
Strong fiscal position
Greater cooperation between Govt and PS
More external and internal investors
New technology/expertise through multinationals
Soccer World Cup 2010
Thank you
Contact info
Linston Terry
Agricultural Attaché
USDA - Foreign Agricultural Service
Embassy of the United States of America
Pretoria, South Africa
Tel nr 27 12 431 4238
Fax 27 12 342 2264
E-mail: [email protected]