English - African Centre for Statistics
Download
Report
Transcript English - African Centre for Statistics
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
African Centre for
Statistics
Session 2
Report on the survey of the current status and needs
assessment for SNA in Africa
Xiaoning Gong
Chief, Economic Statistics and National Accounts Section
African Centre for AGNA Meeting on SNA
12-15 May 2015 UNCC
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Outline of the Presentation
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Main findings
Functions of the survey results
Participating countries
Activities required for the implementation of the 2008 SNA
Status of country action plans and follow-up actions
Number of countries planning to transition to the 2008 SNA per year
Training needs
Technical assistance needs
Financial needs
Summary table
African Centre for
Statistics
Main Finding (I)
• 44 African countries that have responded to the survey
• 38 countries indicated that they have formulated or are in the
process of formulating national actions plans for implementing
the 2008 SNA.
• Most of the countries with completed national action plans have
begun taking concrete follow-up actions for implementation.
• 34 countries have identified a timeframe for transitioning towards
the 2008 SNA
o 12 countries have selected a timeframe between 2010 and 2014 and the
remaining
o 22 counties will begin transitioning towards the 2008 SNA between 2015
and 2018
African Centre for
Statistics
Main Finding (II)
• At the same time, countries have expressed the needs for on-site
training, technical assistance, and financial supports. The most
cited activities for these assistance and supports are as follows:
o
o
o
o
o
o
o
Collection and processing of source data (Pre-SNA)
SNA 2008 compliance for production and assets boundaries (Pre-SNA)
Compilation of employment matrix (Milestone 1)
Compilation of supply and use table (Milestone 1)
Calculation of GDP by expenditure approach (Milestone 1)
Calculation of quarterly GDP (Milestone 2)
Institutional sector accounts to be compiled up to financial accounts
(Milestone 5)
African Centre for
Statistics
Function of the survey results
• Provide useful information for development partners,
international, regional, and sub-regional organizations to design
plans, programs, and projects; and
• For them to coordinate their efforts in support of African
countries in the area of national accounts.
African Centre for
Statistics
Participating countries
Algeria
Côte d'Ivoire
Liberia
Senegal
Angola
Djibouti
Madagascar
Sierra Leone
Benin
Egypt
Mali
South Africa
Botswana
Ethiopia
Morocco
South Sudan
Burkina Faso
Gabon
Mauritius
Swaziland
Burundi
Gambia
Mauritania
Tanzania
Cameroon
Ghana
Mozambique
Togo
Cape Verde
Guinea
Niger
Tunisia
Chad
Guinea-Bissau
Nigeria
Uganda
Comoros
Kenya
Central African Republic
Zambia
Congo
Lesotho
Seychelles
Zimbabwe
African Centre for
Statistics
Activities required for the implementation of
the 2008 SNA (I)
No. Short Title
1 ISIC rev4 and CPC
ver2
2 Data collection and
processing
3
4
5
6
Long Version
Milestones
Implementation of ISIC rev4 and CPC ver2: Adaptation in
Pre-SNA
national level of ISIC rev 4 and CPC ver2
Collection and processing of source data: e.g. Survey of
Pre-SNA
intermediate consumption; Survey of informal sector; Survey
of household consumption, etc.
SNA boundaries
SNA 2008 compliance -- for production and asset
Pre-SNA
boundaries: The SNA 2008 conceptual compliance
questionnaire is achieved; especially important in this is
covering non-observed economy and more specifically the
informal sector. This requires action on many areas.
IT tool for
IT tool for compilation of national accounts: Use of the tools Pre-SNA
compilation
like assistance to the compilation of the national accounts
Employment matrix Employment matrix: Labor input matrix is compiled for these
1
categories and institutional sectors. This is important in the
context of achieving GDP exhaustiveness (e.g. taking into
account the informal sector).
SUT
Supply and use table: Compiled and GDP estimated through
1
this framework
African Centre for
Statistics
Activities required for the implementation of
the 2008 SNA (II)
No.
7
8
9
Short Title Long Version
Milestones
GDP (P) by Production approach GDP – by industrial economic activities:
1
industries Identify the industry groups (compilation categories) according to
ISIC Rev 4 classification that are relevant for the country for which
estimates of GO, IC and GVA and GVA components would be
compiled. These can be at 1/2/3/4 digit ISIC 4 or a combination of
these depending on the relevance to the country.
GDP (P) by Production approach GDP-- by institutions: The GO, IC, GVA and
1
institutions GVA components estimated for these categories would be compiled
separately for (a) general government (within this separately for
administrative departments and departmental enterprises), (b)
financial corporations, (c) non-financial corporations, (d)
households and if possible also for (e) NPISHs;
GDP (E)
Expenditure approach GDP: Expenditure side estimates are
1
compiled for various categories for the overall economy; HFCE and
GFCE will be according to purpose classifications of COICOP and
COFOG, respectively, but it should be possible to convert these data
to compilation categories.
African Centre for
Statistics
Activities required for the implementation of
the 2008 SNA (II)
No.
Short Title
Long Version
Milestones
10
Quarterly GDP
Quarterly GDP: estimated from production and expenditure
and also at current and constant prices.
2
11
Production and
generation of
income accounts
Production and generation of income accounts are compiled
for institutional sectors: This is possible if GVA is estimated by
institutional sectors as above.
3
12
Sector accounts up Institutional sector accounts are compiled until capital
to capital account account: For the overall economy, rest of the world and general
government. The accounts of overall economy will give
estimates of GNI, gross national disposable income and savings.
4
13
Sector accounts up Institutional sector accounts up to financial accounts: Change
to financial
in net worth is compiled for institutional sectors.
accounts
5
African Centre for
Statistics
Status of country action plans and follow-up
actions on the 2008 SNA (by activity)
38
Data collection and processing
24
38
GDP (P) by industries
23
38
ISIC rev4 and CPC rev2
21
37
GDP (P) by institutions
28
37
GDP (E)
25
36
SUT
27
34
Quarterly GDP
23
32
Sector accounts up to capital accounts
26
31
IT tool for compilation
21
30
Production and generation of income accounts
28
30
SNA boundaries
24
28
Employment matrix
22
23
Sector accounts up to financial accounts
21
Included in national action plan
Follow-up action taken
African Centre for
Statistics
Number of countries planning to transition
to the 2008 SNA per year
Period
Number of
countries
6
Percentage (%)
2014
6
14
2015
11
25
2016
7
16
2017
2
5
2018
2
5
To be decided
10
23
Total
44
100
2010-2013
14
African Centre for
Statistics
Training needs of countries (by activity and
planned date for moving to 2008 SNA)
Quarterly GDP
Sector accounts up to financial accounts
7
17
5
16
SNA boundaries
7
Employment matrix
7
Sector accounts up to capital account
GDP (P) by institutions
8
Data Collection and processing
6
ISIC rev4 and CPC rev2
6
4
7
5
9
4
8
5
9
4
10
6
GDP (P) by industries
6
2015-2018
5
8
5
GDP (E)
Already moved
5
10
8
6
5
12
6
SUT
5
14
Production and generation of income accounts
IT tool for compilation
5
2
7
4
4
4
Undecided
African Centre for
Statistics
Technical assistance needs of countries (by
activity and planned moving date)
Sector accounts up to financial accounts
9
SNA boundaries
18
6
Quarterly GDP
4
17
7
Employment matrix
5
15
9
5
14
3
GDP (E)
6
Sector accounts up to capital account
6
11
4
Data Collection and processing
6
11
4
SUT
12
7
GDP (P) by institutions
GDP (P) by industries
Already moved
2015-2018
3
9
7
IT tool for compilation
ISIC rev4 and CPC rev2
10
9
Production and generation of income accounts
4
2
9
6
4
11
5
3
8
7
3
6
2
Undecided
African Centre for
Statistics
Financial assistance needs of countries
(number of countries by activity)
Data collection and processing
27
Sector accounts up to financial accounts
21
Employment matrix
20
Quarterly GDP
19
SNA boundaries
19
IT tools for compilation
17
GDP (P) institutions
17
ISIC rev4 and CPC rev2
15
Sector account up to capital account
14
SUT
14
GDP (P) industries
12
GDP (E)
Production and generation of income accounts
11
10
African Centre for
Statistics
Summary table: Implementation status and
needs assessment by activity (I)
Activities required for the (a) Included in
(b)Follow-up
implementation of the the National
actions
(c1) Training
2008 SNA
action plan % undertaken %
needs
Implementation of ISIC
38
86
21
48
19
rev4 and CPC ver2
Collection and processing
38
86
24
55
18
of source data
Production approach GDP
38
86
23
52
14
– by industrial economic
activities
Production approach GDP-37
84
28
64
20
by institutions
28
64
22
50
24
Employment matrix
37
84
25
57
15
Expenditure approach GDP
SNA 2008 compliance -- for
30
68
24
55
24
production and asset
boundaries
(c2) Technical
(d) Financial
% assistance (TA) %
support
%
43
16
36
15
34
41
21
48
27
61
32
15
34
12
27
45
20
45
17
39
55
34
55
26
22
29
59
50
66
20
11
19
45
25
43
African Centre for
Statistics
Summary table: Implementation status and
needs assessment by activity (II)
Activities required for the (a) Included in
(b)Follow-up
implementation of the the National
actions
(c1) Training
2008 SNA
action plan % undertaken %
needs
36
82
27
61
19
Supply and use table
Production and generation
30
68
28
64
19
of income accounts are
compiled for institutional
sectors
Institutional sector
32
73
26
59
20
accounts are compiled
until capital account
34
77
23
52
29
Quarterly GDP
Institutional sector
23
52
21
48
26
accounts up to financial
accounts
IT tool for compilation of
31
70
21
48
18
national accounts
(c2) Technical
(d) Financial
% assistance (TA) %
support
%
43
20
45
14
32
43
20
45
10
23
45
21
48
14
32
66
59
28
31
64
70
19
21
43
48
41
20
45
17
39
African Centre for
Statistics
United Nations Economic Commission for Africa
African Centre for
Statistics
Thank you