Transcript Electronic South East Europe

• New Skills for New Jobs in the
Western Balkans
Sarajevo, 13 July 2012
New Skills for New Jobs
Summary of discussions
• Identify a development model, including long term goals and potential
niches
• Address the issue of skills and jobs in a coordinated manner among
institutions in charge of labor and employment, education and
economic/industrial/regional development + SD
• RCC as platform for linking at regional level work done on education (LLL)
and investment (SEEIC)
• Current vs. future needs (VET and education based on skills forecast)
• Workforce information system: reliable statistics and research for
evidence based policy making (systematic review and evaluation)
Summary of discussions (2)
• Establish a virtual space for sharing all information at national
and regional level
• Strengthen vocational education in technical areas and life
long learning
• Labor mobility can fill gaps (bilateral and regional
agreements?)
• Local labor markets and employment partnerships (+ clusters
of local firms)
• Internships
• The role of media in awareness raising and promotion
Western Balkans 2020
Social Agenda
Priorities and Targets
Europe 2020: Three interlinked priorities
1.Smart growth: developing an economy based on
knowledge and innovation
2.Sustainable growth: promoting a more efficient,
greener and more competitive economy
3.Inclusive growth: fostering a high-employment
economy delivering social and territorial
cohesion
Europe 2020 headline targets
additional suggestions
Europe 2020: Integrated Guidelines for National Reforms
Programmes
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Guideline 1: Ensuring the quality and the sustainability of public finances
Guideline 2: Addressing macroeconomic imbalances
Guideline 3: Reducing imbalances within the euro area
Guideline 4: Optimising support for R & D and innovation, strengthening the
knowledge triangle and unleashing the potential of the digital economy
Guideline 5: Improving resource efficiency and reducing greenhouse gases
Guideline 6: Improving the business and consumer environment, and modernising and
developing the industrial base
Guideline 7: Increasing labour market participation and reducing structural
unemployment
Guideline 8: Developing a skilled workforce responding to labour market needs,
promoting job quality and lifelong learning
Guideline 9: Improving the performance of education and training systems at all levels
and increasing participation in tertiary education
Guideline 10: Promoting social inclusion and combating poverty
Europe 2020 “flagship initiatives”
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Innovation Union
Youth on the move
Digital Agenda for Europe
Resource efficient Europe
Industrial policy for the globalization era
Agenda for new skills and jobs
European platform against poverty
SEE 2020 Vision
SEE 2020 Vision adopted at the SEE Ministers of
Economy Conference in November 2011:
i. Integrated growth to deepen regional trade and
investment linkages
ii. Smart growth – innovation and competition based on
value-added rather than labour costs
iii.Sustainable growth – private sector competitiveness,
entrepreneurship, greener and energy-efficient
development
iv.Inclusive growth – skills development, employment
creation & labour market participation by all
v. Governance for growth – improve capacity of public
administrations to strengthen the rule of law and
reduce corruption
Rationale for target setting
• In light of the accession process, align with EU
policies and strategies
• Demonstrate commitment to address priority issues
• Focus attention, resources and ensure greater
accountability
• Motivate stakeholders to achieve the stated
objective
• Create a regional momentum building on existing
national priorities and strategies
• Need to be relevant, attributable, well-defined,
timely, reliable, comparable and verifiable
Set of possible targets
iii.
Sustainable growth
i. Integrated growth
a. CO2 emissions
a. Total value of trade in goods
b. Renewable energy
b. Total value of trade in goods as % of GDP c. Energy efficiency
d. Fossil fuel consumption
c. Foreign direct investment net inflows
e. Entrepreneurship
d. Foreign direct investment as % of GDP
f. Trade balance in goods as % of GDP
e. Annual GDP growth
iv.
Inclusive growth
f. Standards and technical regulations
a. Employment
ii. Smart growth
b. Female employment
a. Business expenditure on R&D
c. Gender ratio of income
b. Gross expenditure on R&D
d. Poverty headcount / People at risk of
c. Tertiary education attainment
poverty
e. Early leavers from school
d. GDP per person employed
f. Formal training
e. High technology exports
g. Youth employment
f. Internet users
h. Gini co-efficient
g. Software Piracy Rates
v. Governance for growth
h. Participation in lifelong learning
a. Unofficial payments are frequent
b. Government debt as % of GDP
c. Rule of law
d. Regulatory quality
SEE 2020 Strategy
• Overall strategic goals: (i) Convergence of GDP per capita
with the EU, (ii) Growth of total trade of goods and service,
(iii) Improvement of overall trade balance;
• Integrated growth: (iv) Growth of intra-regional trade in
goods and services, (v) Growth of overall FDI inflows into
the region;
• Smart growth: (vi) Growth of GDP per person employed;
• Sustainable growth: (vii) Growth of enterprise creation and
(viii) Growth of export of goods and services per capita;
• Inclusive growth: (ix) Growth of employment rate, (x)
Growth of rate of population with tertiary degree;
• Governance for growth: (xi) Government effectiveness
composite index.
WB 2020 Social indicators
Employment rate
50
45
40
35
BiH
Axis Title
30
Cro
25
Mac
Mon
20
Serbia
15
10
5
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
CPESSEE
WB 2020 Social indicators
Activity rate
60
50
40
Axis Title
BiH
Cro
30
Mac
Mon
Serbia
20
10
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
CPESSEE
WB 2020 Social indicators
Unemployment rates
50
45
40
35
Alb
BiH
Axis Title
30
Cro
25
Kos
Mac
20
Mon
15
Serbia
10
5
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
CPESSEE
WB 2020 Social indicators
Employment to population ratio
60
50
40
Axis Title
Alb
BiH
30
Cro
Mac
Serbia
20
10
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
WB
WB 2020 Social indicators
Labor Participation Rates
70
60
Axis Title
50
Alb
40
BiH
Cro
30
Mac
Serbia
20
10
0
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
WB
GDP per person employed
USD PPP
30,000
25,000
Axis Title
20,000
Alb
BiH
15,000
Cro
Mac
10,000
5,000
0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
WB
Growth rate GDP per person employed
14.0
12.0
10.0
8.0
Axis Title
6.0
Alb
BiH
4.0
Cro
Mac
2.0
0.0
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
-2.0
-4.0
-6.0
WB
Employment
– Youth
– Female
– Long Term
– Older
– Minorities
– People with disabilities
– Informal
– Labor mobility
Poverty headcount ratio
Poverty headcount ration at national poverty line (% of population)
50
45
40
35
Albania
Axis Title
30
BiH
25
Koso
Mon
20
Ser
15
10
5
0
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
WB
Poverty and social exclusion
• At risk of poverty rate – persons with equivalized disposable
income below the risk of poverty threshold, which is set at
60% of the national median equivalized disposable income.
• Index of material deprivation – experience of at least 4 out of
9 deprivation items (cannot afford to pay rent or utility bills,
keep home warm, face unexpected expenses, eat meat or fish
every second day, a week holiday away from home, car,
washing machine, color TV, telephone.
• Percentage of people living in households with very low
work intensity – are those aged 0-59 living in hoseholds
where the adults (18-59) work less than 20% of their total
work potential during the past year.
Europe 2020 Governance
• All national, regional and local authorities should
implement the partnership, closely associating
parliaments, as well as social partners and
representatives of civil society contributing to the
elaboration of national reform programs as well as to
its implementation. By establishing a permanent
dialogue between various levels of government, the
priorities of the Union are brought closer to citizens,
strengthening the ownership needed to deliver the
Europe 2020 strategy.
WB 2020 Governance
• Include all stakeholders for real ownership
• Permanent consultations – key to ensuring
success of reforms at national and regional
level
• Equal participation ensures greater
engagement and contribution