Transcript International passenger railway connections in the BSR

International passenger railway
connections in the BSR: situation and
development possibilities
Jūrmala, 4.9.2008
Artūrs Caune
Cities
Population
Economy
Railways
General trends
• Population decrease
except Scandinavia
and Finland
• High GDP per capita
and low growth rates
vs. Low GDP per
capita and high
growth
• Total length of railway
lines decreases,
significant decrease
in Poland, Germany,
Sweden
• Increase in passenger
flows, except for
Latvia, Lithuania,
Germany and Poland
General trends - 2
• Cities above 25000:
population decrease
by 2,9%
• In important regional
centres and MEGAs:
decrease even more
significant: -6,1% and
-5,7 respectively
• International railway
service available for
15...40% of the
population in the BSR
living in cities above
25000
Railway infrastructure and service
• 1435mm: shorter routes /
higher speeds
• 1520/1524mm: average
route length 680km,
average speeds 4,5%
below average
• Combined gauge routes:
1412km, speeds 8,5%
below average
• Average service speed in
route: ~ 60km/h
• Highest service speeds:
Berlin-Warszawa:
Copenhagen-Stockholm,
Helsinki-Moscow, MalmoCopenhagen,
Copenhagen-Goeteborg
• Berlin-Hamburg: 170km/h
Railway infrastructure and service
Number of routes (<2000 km) and average speed
10
70
63,5
58,5
9
60
8
7
6
50
43,6
37,6
39
37,8
37,2
34,5
40
5
25
4
30
3
20
2
10
1
0
Number of routes
Speed (km/h)
Linear (Speed (km/h))
1801-2000 km
1601-1800 km
1401-1600 km
1201-1400 km
1001-1200 km
801-1000 km
601-800 km
401-600 km
201-400 km
0
0-200 km
0
Slow routes
• Berlin-Kaliningrad
• Gdansk/GdynaKaliningrad
• Warszawa –
St.Petersburg
• Tallinn-St.Petersburg
• SPEEDS BY 30-40
km/h
• If compared by
istance on air – even
considerably slower
speeds!
Competion with air traffic?
• Even in routes
between 200 and 400
km travelling by plane
is 2 times faster
• In routes above 600
km travelling by plane
is from 4,3 to 5,7
times faster...
• Routes: strings or
bananas or even
snake?
• Distance on air
between end stations
of the route – 1,5...2,2
times shorter than the
route
Challenges or realistic tasks?
• Link the city-regions on both sides of
the border by fast train (sucess story
Copenhagen – Malmo): Why not
Helsinki and Tallinn; Berlin – Szczecin?
• Link MEGAs with 1435mm gauge:
Helsinki, Turku, St.Petersburg, Tallin,
Riga, Vilnius, Minsk
Challenges or realistic tasks?
• Improve service speeds up to 100 km/h
in shorter routes up to 400km
• Improve service speeds in longer
routes up to 150 km/h (high – speed
railways)
• How? Strings not snakes; upgrade
from speeds of XIX century to the ones
of XXI century