Transcript NATIONAL POLICY DIALOGUE

NATIONAL POLICY DIALOGUE
ASSESSMENT OF
ACHIEVEMENTS IN MKUZA
Friday 20/11/2009
Purpose of the Report
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The Report provides progress in terms of MKUZA
performance, challenges.
The achievements are not linked to MKUZA Goals due
to shortage of time.
The primary objective of the Report is information
sharing and stimulating dialogue.
Data contained up to 2008, in some cases data up to
2007 only.
Per Capita and GDP
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Per capital GDP went up from 516 thousands
(414 US Dollar) in the year 2007 to 639;
thousand (534 US Dollar) in the year 2008, an
increase of 23.8 percent
 Capital formation increased in nominal terms
by 37.5 percent in 2007 compared to 33.0
percent in 2006 – probably no real increase
given the inflation rate of 13% during that
period.
TREND OF PER CAPITA GDP
Figure 2: The Trend of Per Caital GDP From 20032008
700
639
Per Capital GDP
600
500
462
400
300
284
331
516
368
200
100
0
2003
2004
2005
2006
Year
2007
2008
TREND OF CONSTANT PRICE GDP GROWTH
Figure 1: The trend of Constant Price GDP Grow th
Rates From 2003-2008
GDP Growth Rates
7.0
6.0
6.5
6.0
5.9
5.0
6.3
5.4
4.9
4.0
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
2003
2004
2005
2006
Year
2007
2008
REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE PERFORMANCE
 Government Accounts show that in 2007/08, total
domestic revenue collected was TZS110.7 billion
compared to TZS 89.6 billion for 2006/07; an increase
of 23 percent.
 An increase of 16.3% of GDP in 2006/07 to 18.2 % in
2007/08
 Total Government expenditure for 2007/08 was 179.2
billion; out of that 73.9 billion was for development
expenditures [emphasis on development].
Inflation
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Annual inflation rate increased to 20.6 in 2008
compared to 13.1 registered in 2007.
 Current rate during this period (2009): Aug 5.1;
Sept 4.3; and Oct.4.5
 Annual average CPI for 2008 show that: Food
CPI was 154.4, Non-food CPI was 135.4;
overall CPI was 145.4.
SELECTED SECTOR PERFORMANCE - Transport
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The total number of passengers handled at Zanzibar
airport declined by 3.6 percent in 2008 compared to
2007.
 Tonnages of cargo handled in 2008 declined by 57.9
percent.
 Passenger handled at Zanzibar Ports increased by
9.3 percent in 2008 - from 1.33 million passengers in
2007 to 1.45 million passengers in 2008.
 Tonnage of cargo declined in 2008 (311,680)
compared to 2007 (410,408). [due to major repair
works].
 Transport and communication had a growth rate of
28.9 and 22.8 percent respectively
A BRIEF ON ROAD SECTOR PERFORMANCE
PEMBA – roads under construction:
 South Roads Project – total 45.0 km ( management of
rural roads using labour intensive methods-significant
employment creation to about 2000 worker days/km).
 Feeder roads( Ole-Kengeja; Wete-Gando) and Trank
road (Wete – Konde); total 63 km.
Unguja – major trank roads projects;
 Amani(Welezo) – Dunga – 12.7km;
 Mfenesini – Bumbwini
_ 13 km; Both with bridges.
 Mazizini – Fumba
_ 18km
SELECTED SECTOR PERFORMANCE - Agriculture
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Performance in agriculture sector was slightly better in
2008 (5.7 percent) compared to 2007 (negative 0.4
percent).
 Overall, services sector register a constant GDP
growth rate of 6.4 percent in 2008, which is lower
compared to 10.4 percent recorded in 2007.
TRADITIONAL COMMODITIES
 In 2008, cloves production increased to 4,007.3 tons
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compared to 1,085.6 tons in 2007. [price varies
between US$ 3850 to US$ 4000].
Seaweed increased to 11,177 tons in 2008 compare to
8,485 in 2007.
Fish catches in 2007 was 23,582 tons and 24,803
tons in 2008, an increases of 5%.
TREND OF IMPORT AND EXPORT TRADE
Figure 3: The Trend of Imports and Exports Trade in
Zanzibar From 2003-2008
140
Billion Tsh.
120
120.7
107.7
100
80
71.5
93.4
87.5
79.6
60
40
20
17.1
14.2
12.7
15.4
21.2
30.2
0
2003
2004
Imports
2005
2006
Year
2007
Exports
2008
PERFORMANCE IN TOURISM
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Tourist arrival has increased from 19,368 visitors in
1985, to an estimated 219,047 in 2007.
Hotel capacity has grown from 550 beds in 1985 to
9,430 beds in 2007, most rapidly in coastal areas.
In 1985, only 50 beds were located on the coast; by
2007, there were 7,640 (81% of the total).
Tourism represents 40% of all exports of services,
making it one of the largest categories of international
trade, with more potential that could benefit the poor if
value chain and backward linkages are considered.
WATER AND ELECTRICITY
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On water, commercial users increased tremendously
from 319 to 1,347 due to introduce cost sharing
during August 2008 and increase awareness among
the users. New reservoirs constructed with total
capacity of 6.9million liters. Partly Japanese aid valued
at Yen 1.23 billion (US$ 12ml; Tzs 13biln).
TASAF supported 24 water projects
The quantity of electricity distributed decreased from
137,108,000 KW in 2007 to 130,687,000 KW in 2008
(one month break down in June, 2008) re paved in
2007
PERFORMANCE IN EDUCATION
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Number of primary schools increased from 119 in
2007 to 119 in 2008.
Numbers of secondary schools remained constant at
69 in 2007 and 69 in 2008.
Number of private nursery schools decreased at
11.4%; (from 236 schools in 2007 to 209 schools in
2008).
Total number of students in public schools (provide
basic education) increase from 206,611in 2007 to
207,708 in 2008.
Number of students in secondary schools increased
from 72,193 in 2007 to 81,099 in 2008.
PERFORMANCE IN HEALTH
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Introduction of the 2nd line PHCUs to reduce long
distance for delivery services
 Result: increase in delivery in health facilities
attended by skilled personnel
 Result: maternal mortality reached 365/100,000 in
2007 compared to 473/100,000 in 2006
Note: this is from the routine data – survey data may
reveal slightly different numbers!
Performance in Health
Malaria control programme, Zanzibar Aids Control
Programme, and Zanzibar Tuberculosis and Leprosy
Programme are in place. Results:
 modest decline in anaemia in pregnant mothers
from 43.1% in 2006 to 38% in 2007
 malaria incidence in >5 was reduced from 54% of
the total under five population to 24% in 2007.
 of the 2837 people tested for TB,(F-1597;M-1240),
only 13 were found positive (U+P).
MOTHER TO CHILD CARE --- HIV and AIDS
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The government provided ARV drugs, HIV kits,
equipment and supplies to health facilities, offering
voluntary counselling and testing (VCT), and
Prevention of Mother to Child Transmission (PMTCT)
interventions.
PMTCT services were provided in 15 sites
The number of pregnant women accessing PMTCT
services was 3,000 in 2005; is 21,000 women in 2007
INSTITUTIONAL AND HUMAN RESOURCES REFORM
A comprehensive study on ZPSRP has been undertaken
detailing the best coordination mechanism of core
reforms with a comprehensive package on:
 Developing functional institutional structures.
 Advise on developing scheme of service for various
cadres ( work in progress).
 Advise on scope of local government reforms.
 A Zanzibar Human Resources Draft Policy first draft in
place.
 A situation Analysis Report for Civil Service Policy in
Zanzibar (Draft) is ready for discussion by
Stakeholders.
INCLUSIVENESS AND PARTICIPATION
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Involvement of people at grassroots levels widened by
increasing the number of Shehias from 294 to 303;
Strengthening of non-state actors to take part in public
matters (number of CSOs increased from 350 (2007)
to 415 (2008);
Act No. 3 & 4 of 1995 and Act No. 1 of 1998 reviewed
in order to further strengthen linkages with civil society.
Act No 1 of 2006 on PWD enacted; National Disable
Council for PWD established in 2007.
Government of URT set aside Tshs. 21.0 billion and
Tshs 1.2 billion set aside by RGoZ (KK Fund) in
support of micro-enterprises.
YOUTH ENTERPRENUERSHIP-ILO STUDY
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A total of 88 individual and group enterprises were
covered.
 63 in Unguja and 25 in Pemba.
 Magharibi district represented the highest number of
enterprises surveyed ( 25%);
 Kati and Mjini districts, 13.6 percent, Kusini, 10.2
percent.
 Apparently all top five districts with highest number of
enterprises are in Unguja.
GENDER SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS ON OWNERSHIP
Type of Institution ownership by gender in Pemba and Unguja
Number of institutions
40
36
35
30
25
17
20
15
10
5
13
10
8
4
0
Female only groups/individual
Male only groups/individual
Type of ownerships
Type of ownership
Unguja
Pemba
Mixed groups
Economic and Financial Reforms
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Capacity building undertaken in areas of: Economic
Management – to IMF Institute; Postgraduate in Economic
courses; MTEF Seminars; PER Workshops, Planning
Techniques; Macro-Economic Forecasting.
Macro – Economic environment steadily being strengthened
(Management of Public debt Regular CPI data, monthly
management of the budget through Ceiling Committee).
IFMS, (significant improvement in reporting, foster the
reconciliation, facilitate final accounts and National Accounts
generation, increasing transparencies , accountability and no
over commitments).
Strengthening Internal Audit in all MDAs.
Good Governance Reforms
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A Good Governance Coordination Department formed
within the Ministry of CAGG
 Civilianization of Prosecution processes is on going.
 Work on the development of the Zanzibar Good
Governance framework and action plan has already
commenced.
 A case flow Management Committee to facilitate smooth
administration of Court Cases has been established
 Law Review Commission is in place and review work in
progress.
 Computerization of vital registration is on going at the
Registrar General’s Office.
CHALLENGES
Financial resources
 Human capacities
 Institutional weaknesses
 Division of duties among DPs
 Coordination
 Monitoring and Evaluation
 Data availabiliy
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End of presentation
MANY THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION
Dr. Hamed R.H.Hikmany
Commissioner
National Planning, Sector Development and Poverty Reduction,
Ministry of Finance and Economic Affairs, Zanzibar