Transcript 21st Century Workforce: Central Illinois

st
21
Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
Richard W. Judy
Workforce Associates, Inc.
[email protected]
317-841-0133
Workforce 2020 was the
starting point.
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
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Central Illinois defined
Map 1
Central Illinois
Stark
Illinoi
Peoria
Marshall
Woodford
Tazewell
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
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Five axioms
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Economic Development and Workforce
Development are “joined at the hip.”
Every region needs a strong export sector.
Productivity is the key to growth &
prosperity.
Plans for progress & change must come
from the inside.
Follow-through and implementation are the
keys to success.
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
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An overview
1. A brief look at how Central Illinois has
fared economically in recent years.
2. Ten basic findings of the study.
3. Three scenarios of the future.
4. Developing a 21st century workforce
for Central Illinois: 10 key challenges.
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Central Illinois
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The area’s economic growth has
lagged the state’s and nation’s
Indexes of GDP Growth for the U.S., Illinois,
and the Central Illinois Region,
1977-1998 1977=100
200
Central Illinois
180
160
Illinois
United States
140
120
100
80
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis and
estimates based on BEA data.
60
19
77
19
78
19
79
19
80
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81
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82
19
83
19
84
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85
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90
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95
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96
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97
19
98
(conc.)
GDP Growth Index 1977=100
Recent
years
Year
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
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Finding
#1
Central Illinois’ Three Historical Eras of
Economic Development, Early Times Into
Figure 10: The History of Employment in
the 21st Century
(An Leading
impressionistic
Central Illinois’
Industries view)
(an impressionistic view)
(Impress
Heavy
Equipment
Manufacturing
Number
of Jobs
Tomorrow’s
Leader or
leaders
Agricultural
Processing
Farming
1800
1900
2000
2100
Time
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Central Illinois
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Finding
Central Illinois needs new &
stronger “export” clusters
#2
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Export or die.
Conducive conditions:
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Excellent schools & culture of learning.
Physical infrastructure.
Fair and reasonable taxes.
Institutional & government coherence.
Regional cooperation.
First class public services.
A workforce adequate in quantity and high in
quality
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Central Illinois
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Finding
#3
Powerful forces are creating a
“knowledge economy” in America
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Forces driving change:
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Technology
Globalization
Changing industrial & occupational
structure
Profound demographic change
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
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Finding
Competitive success in a
“knowledge-based” economy
#3 (conc.)

Depends on the ability to:
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Produce new ideas, transform old ones, & convert
them into intellectual property.
Incorporate & commercialize knowledge into products
& services.
Respond quickly to rapidly changing opportunities,
threats and other market conditions.
Quickly acquire new technologies, skills and
knowledge.
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True for communities, companies and individuals.
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Central Illinois must become part of America’s
new “knowledge-based” economy or fall behind.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
Wanted: A strategy for
economic development in C.I.
#4
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C.I. has lacked a coherent strategy &
defined direction for its economic
development in the early 21st century.
The Bioscience initiative and its
outgrowths are steps in the right
direction.
“We need more than one vine to climb.”
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Central Illinois
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Finding
C.I.’s workforce growth has
lagged seriously.
Index of Workforce Size,
U.S., Illinois, and Central Illinois, 1975-2000
160
United States
Illinois
Central Ilinois
150
Index: 1975=100
#5
140
130
120
110
100
Source: IDES
90
1975
1980
1985
21st Century Workforce:
1990
1995
Central Illinois
2000
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Finding
#5 (conc.)
Worker dearth: The quantitative
workforce challenge
A Looming Worker Shortage by 2008
in Central Illinois?
Number of Workers or Persons
30,000
25,000
23,822
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,839
5,000
-17,983
0
-5,000
-10,000
-15,000
-20,000
-25,000
Projected
Projected Growth of
Employment Growth,
Working Age
1998-2008
Population, 1998-2008
Possible Shortfall
Sources: Employment growth projections are from Illinois Department of Employment Security. Projected growth of the working age
population is from Illinois Department of Commerce and Community Affairs.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
How to cope with potential
worker dearth?
#5 (conc.)
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Augment workforce growth
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Spur growth of working age population.
Boost participation rates among all groups
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Raise net inbound commuting.
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(including
minorities, women, older residents and persons with disabilities).
Raise productivity
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Increase investment & improve management.
Improve workforce quality.
Improve the match of workers with jobs.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
Improving workforce quality:
What it means.
#6
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In America’s 21st century “knowledgebased” economy, a successful person
and a valuable worker will need:
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Great powers of flexibility, creativity, and
the capability to quickly acquire new skills
& knowledge.
The motivation and ability to quickly learn
what he/she does not yet know.
A sound basic education.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
A sound high-school education
is an essential prerequisite
#6 (conc.)
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Without it, the prospect is for a life of dismal
jobs and meager earnings.
Much room for improvement in C.I
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In 2000-2001, nearly 700 C.I. high students
dropped out of school.
Probably 500 of those will never receive a high
school diploma or G.E.D.
Over the course of 10 years, that totals to 5,000
young people,
Even among those who do graduate, too many fail
to demonstrate at least the minimum level of
achievement according to state standardized tests.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
Improving K-12 education is key to
workforce development in C.I.
#7
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K-12 education is the most important formal
workforce development most people ever
experience.
Reduce dropout rates & raise graduation
rates.
Improve learning outcomes;
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Cognitive skills (The four “Rs” – reading, ‘riting,
‘rithmetic, and reasoning.)
Communication & computer skills.
“Soft skills” including teamwork, leadership &
customer relations, & other “people” skills.
Ability to find and use information and to learn
things that you don’t already know.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
Learning must continue
throughout life.
#8
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A dynamic and ever-changing “knowledgebased” economy means that one’s old skills &
knowledge can become obsolete rapidly &
frequently.
To maintain their employability & earning
power, workers must retool, refresh &
augment their skills & knowledge continually.
Incumbent workforce needs:
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Motivation to retool, refresh, gain new skills, etc.
Opportunities to do so.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
The match of workers with
jobs
#9
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Already pretty good in C.I.
But it can be improved:
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Career counseling.
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Students.
Marginal workers
Incumbent workers.
A promising area for
business-education
collaboration!
Student & worker assessment.
Job profiling.
Comprehensive and up-to-date labor market
information.
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Central Illinois
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Finding
C.I.’s workforce development
system
#10
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Much improved in recent years.
But it is still too fragmented.
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Multiple agencies & departments delivering services.
Each with its own funding streams and bureaucratic
turf to defend
Impedes full implementation of the “one-stop”
concept
It’s past time to bury all bureaucratic and other
parochialisms.
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Central Illinois
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Challenges
Ten key challenges
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
Make C.I. a “Learning Community” and
“brand” it as such.
Reduce high school dropout rates & raise
graduation rates.
Improve educational outcomes of K-12
education.
Ensure proper mix of educational and training
opportunities as well as of career guidance
and counseling.
Make the C.I. worker training and retraining
system the nation’s most responsive &
efficient
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Central Illinois
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A definition
Conc.
What is a learning community?
Two essential components:
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Motivation
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High awareness among all members of the
community of the value and critical importance of
education and lifetime learning.
An avid enthusiasm and drive for learning &
knowledge throughout the community.
Opportunity
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Affordable and accessible opportunity for every
person of every age to further their drive for
learning and self improvement.
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Central Illinois
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Challenges
Conc.
Ten key challenges
6.
7.
8.
9.
10.
(concluded)
Recruit & retain a skilled workforce pool for
Central Illinois.
Lower barriers to workforce participation for all.
Make C.I. highly attractive place to live & work for
the kind of talent needed. (PEEP)
Work together. Banish petty parochialisms.
Bring the Bioscience Strategy and other viable
economic development strategies to fruition.
21st Century Workforce:
Central Illinois
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Thanks Very Much
Richard W. Judy
Workforce Associates, Inc.
[email protected]
317-841-0133