Nov. 2012 & May 2013

Download Report

Transcript Nov. 2012 & May 2013

UNITED NATIONS HUMAN RIGHTS
COMMISSION
WORKSHOP ON UNILATERAL COERCIVE MEASURES
Gallup World Poll
Iran
May 23, 2014
Geneva
GALLUP WORLD POLL COVERAGE
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
2
METHODOLOGY
• Results are based on telephone interviews with 4,507 adults, aged 15 and
older, conducted Dec. 16, 2011-Jan. 10, 2012; Nov. 6- Dec. 11, 2012; and
May 24-June 6, 2013.
• For results based on the total sample of national adults, one can say with
95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error ranges from
±2.8 to ±4 percentage points.
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
3
LIFE EVALUATION:
THE METRICS THAT MATTER
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
EGYPT GDP AND WELL-BEING
$10,000
30%
$9,000
29%
25%
$8,000
$5,838
20%
15%
25%
$5,435
$6,614
$6,466
$6,056
$6,553
$7,000
$6,000
$6,337
$5,000
$5,028
13%
13%
12%
$4,000
9%
10%
9%
8%
$3,000
$2,000
5%
$1,000
0%
$0
2006
2007
2008
Thriving
2009
2010
2011
2012
GDP per capita, PPP*
*In current international dollar, 2009-2012 data from World Bank, 2013 data projected by IMF
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
2013
5
UKRAINE GDP AND WELL-BEING
30%
$10,000
$9,000
25%
22%
20%
15%
$6,217
$6,927
$7,264
20%
21%
$7,141
$7,298
$7,422
$6,633
$8,000
$7,000
21%
$6,000
$6,265
18%
$5,000
16%
16%
$4,000
10%
11%
$3,000
$2,000
5%
$1,000
0%
$0
2006
2007
2008
2009
Thriving
2010
2011
2012
2013
GDP per capita, PPP*
*In current international dollar, 2009-2012 data from World Bank, 2013 data projected by IMF
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
6
Iran: Life Evaluation Index
35%
31%
30%
25%
26%
24%
22%
20%
20%
15%
15%
26%
20%
19%
16%
14%
12%
10%
5%
0%
2006
2007
2008
Thriving
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
2011
2012
Suffering
7
2013
Countries With the Highest Rates of “Suffering” in the
Middle East and Central Asia, 2013
% Suffering
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
Afghanistan
55%
Armenia
36%
Turkey
35%
Egypt
34%
Yemen
27%
Lebanon
26%
Syria
23%
Iran
22%
Georgia
21%
Jordan
18%
8
Iran: Thriving by Gender
30%
28%
26%
24%
22%
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
2006
2007
2008
Male
2011
2012
2013
Female
Urban Males More Likely to be Thriving
Male
Female
Urban
15%
20%
Rural
8%
23%
Nov. 2012 - May 2013
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
9
Iran: Thriving by Have Children or Not
28%
26%
24%
22%
20%
18%
16%
14%
12%
10%
2006
2007
2008
No Children
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
2011
2012
Have Children
10
2013
IMPACT OF SANCTIONS
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
Effects of Sanctions on Iranians' Livelihoods
120%
100%
7%
10%
80%
25%
28%
29%
60%
38%
40%
62%
56%
20%
27%
0%
2011
2012
A great deal
Somewhat
2013
Not at all
2011: The United Nations, the U.S., and Western Europe have recently imposed sanctions on
Iran. Do you think these sanctions will hurt the livelihood of Iranians a great deal, somewhat,
or not at all?
2012-2013: The United Nations, the U.S., and Western Europe continue to impose sanctions on
Iran. Do you think these sanctions have hurt the livelihood of Iranians a great deal, somewhat,
or not at all?
12
Males More Satisfied with Current Situation
Male
Female
Efforts to Deal with the Poor (satisfied)
62%
55%
City Economy Getting Better
32%
28%
Good Affordable Housing (satisfied)
25%
15%
Children Respected
77%
66%
Children Learn and Grow
73%
67%
In Iran, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with efforts to deal with the poor?
Right now, do you think that economic conditions in the city or area where you live,
as a whole, are getting better or getting worse?
In the city or area where you live, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the availability of
good affordable housing?
Do you believe that children in Iran are treated with respect and dignity, or not?
Do most children in Iran have the opportunity to learn and grow every day, or
not?
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
13
May 2013
Feelings about Household Income
Which one of these phrases comes closest to your own feelings about your household income
these days?
Living comfortably on present income
Getting by on present income
Finding it difficult on present income
Finding it very difficult on present income
No Children
13%
47%
24%
16%
Have Children
11%
44%
25%
20%
Not Enough Money for Basic Needs
Have there been times in the past 12 months when you did not have enough money to
buy food that you or your family needed?
Have there been times in the past 12 months when you did not have enough money to
provide adequate shelter or housing for you and your family?
Food
Shelter
No Children
36%
37%
Nov. 2012 & May 2013
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
14
Have Children
42%
44%
Females More Likely to Think Sanctions Hurt A Great Deal
Hurt A Great Deal
Personal Livelihood
Iranians’ Livelihood
Male
47%
55%
Female
50%
61%
Support for Nuclear Programs
Given the scale of sanctions against Iran, do you think Iran should continue to develop its
nuclear power capabilities, or not?
Yes
No
Male
68%
18%
Female
62%
17%
Nov. 2012 & May 2013
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
15
Sanctions and Nuclear Power
Have these sanctions personally hurt your livelihood a great deal, hurt it somewhat, or
have they not hurt your livelihood at all?
Given the scale of sanctions against Iran, do you think Iran should continue to develop
its nuclear power capabilities, or not?
No Children
Have Children
Sanctions Hurt Personal Livelihood A Great Deal
49%
48%
Iran Should Continue Develop Nuclear Power
64%
66%
Nov. 2012 & May 2013
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
16
Groups Responsible for Sanctions
Which of the following groups do you hold MOST RESPONSIBLE for the sanctions
against Iran?
2012
2013
The U.S.
47%
46%
The Iranian government
10%
13%
Israel
9%
9%
Western European countries
7%
6%
The United Nations
7%
6%
DK
16%
15%
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
17
Male, Households with Children and Rural Residents More
Likely to Approve Cutting Ties with Countries Responsible for
Sanctions
Do you approve or disapprove of each of the following? Iran cutting off ties with countries
that impose economic sanctions on Iran
Female
Male
Have
Children
No Children
Urban
Rural
Approve
42%
50%
53%
41%
43%
52%
Disapprove
30%
31%
26%
35%
35%
25%
DK
25%
17%
19%
22%
20%
21%
Nov. 2012
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
18
COPYRIGHT STANDARDS
This document contains proprietary research, copyrighted materials, and literary property of Gallup, Inc. It is for the
guidance of your company only and is not to be copied, quoted, published, or divulged to others outside of your
organization. Gallup®, and (list trademarks with appropriate trademark symbols here) are trademarks of Gallup, Inc.
All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
This document is of great value to both your organization and Gallup, Inc. Accordingly, international and domestic
laws and penalties guaranteeing patent, copyright, trademark, and trade secret protection protect the ideas, concepts,
and recommendations related within this document.
No changes may be made to this document without the express written permission of Gallup, Inc.
Copyright © 2014 Gallup, Inc. All rights reserved.
20