Transcript Breakout 3: Interactions between human activities sea land ice and

Breakout 3:
Interactions between human
activities sea land ice and
atmosphere.
Hajo Eicken, Victoria Gofman,
Sharman Haley, Larry Hamilton,
John Farrell, Mark Parsons
Framing the discussion
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Who are the stakeholders?
 Why do they care about …
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Atmosphere
Ocean and Sea Ice
Hydrology/Cryosphere
Terrestrial Ecosystems ?
What do they need to know?
 How can we provide it?
 How do Bering Sea Sub Network and ELOKA
integrate with other AON projects?
How do Bering Sea Sub Network
and ELOKA integrate with other
AON projects?
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Research on environmental LTK is directly
about the central Q: how do humans interact
with a changing Arctic environment?
LTK informs the natural sciences:
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Provides AON direction
Informs hypotheses
Contextualizes findings
The data benefits stakeholders
Some examples
 Changing
ocean conditions drive changes
in fish distribution, run timing and
resilience. Fishers observe new
opportunities and adapt very quickly– if the
regulations allow it. Management and
science react more slowly. The
observations and behaviors of fishers
provide information to managers and
research scientists.
Some examples
Uses of ice in the communities:
 In Bering Strait communities the window of
access appears to be getting smaller. Small lead
and lots of ice keeps hunting grounds safe. This
past summer only one week of ice conditions for
hunting bearded seal and walrus, and bad
weather days shortened it further.
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At Gambell lost access to cod because of lack of
stable shorefast ice fishing platform.
Who are the stakeholders?
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Local communities
Fishing industry (various scales, inshore to
long-distance)
Oil, gas and mining
Shipping and transportation
Tourism
Policy makers, regulators & enforcement
Disaster response
Broader public interests
Why do local communities care?
 Subsistence:
animal & plant distribution
 Subsistence: harvesters’ access
 Transportation, travel & safety
 Housing, water supplies, construction
and other infrastructure
 Cultural value
Why do fishers care?
(Various scales, small and local to industrial and longdistance)
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resource abundance and distribution
access/weather/safety and seasons
planning for the future (investments)
operating costs
Infrastructure (vessels, gear, processing,
transport to markets)
How regulations respond to changes
Uncertainty of new or more variable conditions
Why do O&G and shipping
industries care?
 Operating
season
 Infrastructure
 Operating costs
 Environmental hazards & risks
Why does the tourist industry care?
 Marine
access
 Intact cultures
 Pristine environments & wildlife
 Infrastructure
 Weather & environmental hazards
Why do policy makers, regulators &
enforcement agencies care?
 Mission
to manage resource efficiently
for long term social value to multiple
stakeholders
 Need more real-time information
 Need ability to detect changing
conditions and adapt quickly when
needed
Why do disaster response
agencies care?
 Environmental
hazards & risk data for
planning
 Real-time information for response
 Infrastructure and training – preparations
to meet emerging risks
Why does the public care?
 Species
diversity - charismatic megafauna
 Romantic notions of wilderness
 Climate change — Arctic is canary in the
coal mine
 Global consequences of Arctic change
What do they need to know?
How can we provide it?
Example: Sea Ice - bold italics indicate data project
is already providing
Fishing travel &
safety
Oil and Gas
operating
season window
Public managers
Shorefast ice
stability and
persistence
Remote sensing, massbalance & tide gauge
data
Persistence of ice
during transition
period & open
water season
Remote sensing &
coastal obs, trend
analysis & model
Ice regimes from
perspective of
access and
hazards
Remote sensing &
coastal obs, trend
analysis & model